Menu









Oral Programme CL3.1/NP5.5

CL3.1/NP5.5

Decadal, seasonal and monthly forecasts (co-organized)
Convener: Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes  | Co-Conveners: Geert Jan van Oldenborgh (deceased), Mark A. Liniger , Stéphane Vannitsem 
Oral Programme
 / Mon, 04 Apr, 08:30–10:00  / Room 17
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Mon, 04 Apr, 13:30–15:00  / Display Mon, 04 Apr, 08:00–19:30  / Hall XL
Poster Summaries & DiscussionsPSD22 

Monday, 4 April 2011
Room 17
Chairperson: Dominik Renggli, Francisco Doblas-Reyes
08:30–08:45
EGU2011-1251
Towards coupled data assimilation in an intraseasonal-seasonal ensemble forecast system
Patricia Okely, Debra Hudson, Oscar Alves, and Yonghong Yin
08:45–09:00
EGU2011-10030
Towards seasonal forecasts with the coupled climate model ECHAM6/MPIOM
Johanna Baehr, Wolfgang Müller, Michael Botzet, Robert Piontek, Luis Kornblueh, and Daniela Matei
09:00–09:15
EGU2011-6033
Diagnosing the origin and predictability of extratropical circulation anomalies
Thomas Jung, Laura Ferranti, Gereon Gollan, Richard Greatbatch, Torben Kunz, Jean-Jacques Morcrette, and Frederic Vitart
09:15–09:30
EGU2011-1109 | presentation
Spread induced by initial perturbations in decadal forecasts: Where are the major sources of uncertainties?
Hui Du, Yves Soufflet, Francisco J Doblas-Reyes, Virginie Guemas, Javier Garcia-Serrano, and Muhammad Asif
09:30–09:45
EGU2011-1678
Ensemble generation for decadal scale forecasts using breeding in the ocean
Robert Piontek and Johanna Baehr
09:45–10:00
EGU2011-11828
Decadal predictability of the North-Atlantic region in the EC-Earth model
Bert Wouters, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, and Wilco Hazeleger