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Orals SM3.3/NH4.4

SM3.3/NH4.4

Time-dependent earthquake occurrence and seismic hazard: physics and statistics (co-organized)
Convener: Gert Zöller 
Co-Conveners: Massimo Cocco , Mark Naylor 
Session details
Orals
 / Tue, 09 Apr, 13:30–17:00 / Room B5
Posters
 / Attendance Tue, 09 Apr, 17:30–19:00 / Blue Posters
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Tuesday, 09 Apr 2013
Room B5
Chairperson: Gert Zöller
13:30–14:00
EGU2013-4874
New challenges for seismology and decision makers after L'Aquila trial (solicited)
Warner Marzocchi
14:00–14:15
EGU2013-3387
The Importance of Small Aftershocks for Earthquake Triggering
Jochen Woessner, Men-Andrin Meier, Max Werner, and Stefan Wiemer
14:15–14:30
EGU2013-11243
On the adaptive daily forecasting of seismic aftershock hazard
Hossein Ebrahimian, Fatemeh Jalayer, Domenico Asprone, Anna Maria Lombardi, Warner Marzocchi, Andrea Prota, and Gaetano Manfredi
14:30–14:45
EGU2013-5303
To b or not to b
Stefan Hiemer and Yavor Kamer
14:45–15:00
EGU2013-4823
Space and time distribution of foci and source-mechanisms of West-Bohemia/Vogtland earthquake swarms - a tool for insight into their triggering mechanisms and driving forces
Josef Horalek, Tomas Fischer, and Hana Cermakova
COFFEE BREAK
Chairperson: Massimo Cocco
15:30–15:45
EGU2013-3253
Don't say the P word? New horizons in earthquake Prediction
Arnaud Mignan
15:45–16:00
EGU2013-6294
Exploring aftershock properties with depth using Bayesian statistics
Clement Narteau, Peter Shebalin, and Matthias Holschneider
16:00–16:15
EGU2013-9168
How informative are slip models for aftershock forecasting?
Christoph Bach and Sebastian Hainzl
16:15–16:30
EGU2013-7181
On testing of the maximum magnitude based on catalog data
Matthias Holschneider, Gert Zoeller, and Sebastian Hainzl
16:30–16:45
EGU2013-4753
Self-correcting models driven by seismic strain, moment or energy. Applications to the Italian seismicity
Elisa Varini, Renata Rotondi, Roberto Basili, Salvatore Barba, and Bruno Betrò
16:45–17:00
EGU2013-4311
Analysis of Induced seismicity after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake by non-stationary ETAS models
Takao Kumazawa and Yosihiko Ogata