Orals AS1.16
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AS1.16 The global monsoon system: variability, dynamics and prediction |
| Convener: Jianping Li | Co-Conveners: Andrew Turner , Pascal Terray |
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Monday, 13 April 2015 Room B10 Chairperson: Dr Andy Turner |
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Decadal variability and climate change
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| 10:30–10:45 |
EGU2015-8811
Poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon low level jetstream under global warming (solicited) Sandeep S. and Ajayamohan R. S. |
| 10:45–11:00 |
EGU2015-1615
Warm Indian Ocean, Weak Asian Monsoon Mathew Koll Roxy, Kapoor Ritika, Pascal Terray, Raghu Murtugudde, Karumuri Ashok, and Buphendra Nath Goswami |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2015-14653
Variability and Predictability of West African Droughts. A review in the role of Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Belen Rodríguez de Fonseca, Elsa Mohino, and Carlos R. Mechoso |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2015-14314
Long term changes of East Asian Summer Monsoon: Internal variability versus external forcing (solicited) Tianjun Zhou |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2015-4060
Synchronized trend shift of Sahel rainfall with global oceanic evaporation occurred in the mid-1980s Alima Diawara, Yoshihiro Tachibana, Kazuhiro Oshima, Hatsumi Nishikawa, and Yuta Ando |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2015-1821
Missing pieces of the puzzle: understanding decadal variability of Sahel Rainfall Michael Vellinga, Malcolm Roberts, Pier-Luigi Vidale, Matthew Mizielinski, Marie-Estelle Demory, Reinhard Schiemann, Jane Strachan, and Caroline Bain |
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Model bias and monsoon simulation
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Lunch Break
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| 13:30–13:45 |
EGU2015-6013
Systematic errors in the simulation of the Asian summer monsoon: the role of rainfall variability on a range of time and space scales Gill Martin, Richard Levine, Nicholas Klingaman, Stephanie Bush, Andrew Turner, and Steven Woolnough |
| 13:45–14:00 |
EGU2015-7774
Sensitivity of the Maritime Continent precipitation to horizontal resolution in a coupled regional model Yue Li, Nicolas Jourdain, Andréa Taschetto, Alex Sen Gupta, Sébastien Masson, and Wenju Cai |
| 14:00–14:15 |
EGU2015-14065
Uncertainties from above and below: West African monsoon patterns generated by a WRF multi-physics ensemble Cornelia Klein, Dominikus Heinzeller, Jan Bliefernicht, and Harald Kunstmann |
| 14:15–14:30 |
EGU2015-1987
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The representation of north Australian rainfall in CMIP5 Duncan Ackerley |
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Variability and predictability on subseasonal scales
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| 14:30–14:45 |
EGU2015-1473
The role of remote and regional boundary forcing in the evolution of 2010 summer monsoon heavy rainfall over northwest Indo-Pak region Pattancheri Priya, Milind Mujumdar, Sabin T P, Terray Pascal, and Raghavan Krishnan |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EGU2015-1105
Predicting Indian Summer Monsoon onset through variations of surface air temperature and relative humidity Veronika Stolbova, Elena Surovyatkina, and Jurgen Kurths |
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Coffee Break
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| 15:30–15:45 |
EGU2015-642
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Changing monsoon intraseasonal variability and its relation with extreme events over India Nirupam Karmakar, Arindam Chakraborty, and Ravi Nanjundiah |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EGU2015-10758
Prediction of the most extreme rainfall events in the South American Andes: A statistical forecast based on complex networks Niklas Boers, Bodo Bookhagen, Henrique Barbosa, Norbert Marwan, Jürgen Kurths, and Jose Marengo |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EGU2015-14828
Impacts of Boreal Winter Monsoon Cold Surges and the Interaction with MJO on observed and projected future Southeast Asia rainfall Charline Marzin, See-Yee Lim, and Prince Xavier |
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Interannual variability and predictability
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| 16:15–16:30 |
EGU2015-3152
Land-surface processes and monsoon climate system Yongkang Xue, Fernando De Sales, William Lau, Arron Boone, and Carlos Mechoso |
| 16:30–16:45 |
EGU2015-8563
Role of soil moisture-atmosphere interactions in model simulation of the West African Monsoon Alexis Berg, Benjamin Lintner, and Alessandra Giannini |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EGU2015-11970
Sources of Indian Summer Monsoon predictability besides ENSO variability in a coupled model framework (withdrawn) Julie Leloup, Pascal Terray, Sébastien Masson, and Roxy Mathew Koll |