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Orals NP4.4

NP4.4

Inferring Models from Data for Qualitative vs. Quantitative Forecasts
Convener: Alexander Feigin  | Co-Conveners: Jürgen Kurths , Jonathan Donges , Karsten Steinhaeuser 
Orals
 / Mon, 13 Apr, 08:30–12:00
Posters
 / Attendance Mon, 13 Apr, 17:30–19:00

Monday, 13 April 2015
Room B1
Chairperson: Alexander Feigin
08:30–09:00
EGU2015-5729
Reconstruction of principal dynamical modes from climatic variability: nonlinear approach (solicited)
Dmitry Mukhin, Andrey Gavrilov, Evgeny Loskutov, Alexander Feigin, and Juergen Kurths
09:00–09:15
EGU2015-2853
Stochastic Modeling of Decadal Variability in Ocean Gyres
Dmitri Kondrashov and Pavel Berloff
09:15–09:45
EGU2015-3263
The use of complex network techniques to determine (future) climate transitions (solicited) Media interest
Qingyi Feng, Jan Viebahn, and Henk A. Dijkstra
09:45–10:00
EGU2015-12425
Optimal model-free prediction from multivariate time series
Jakob Runge, Reik V. Donner, and Jürgen Kurths
Coffee Break
10:30–11:00
EGU2015-3865
Data-based Non-Markovian Model Inference (solicited) Media interest
Michael Ghil
11:00–11:15
EGU2015-3384
Weather and event generators based on analogues of atmospheric circulation
Pascal Yiou
11:15–11:30
EGU2015-10483
Percolation-based precursors of transitions in dynamical systems
Victor Manuel Rodriguez Mendez, Victor M. Eguiluz, Jose J. Ramasco, and Emilio Hernandez-Garcia
11:30–11:45
EGU2015-10922
How Amazonian deforestation can alter the South American circulation regime: Insights from a non-linear moisture transport model
Niklas Boers, Norbert Marwan, Henrique Barbosa, and Jürgen Kurths
11:45–12:00
EGU2015-14422
Climate network reveals the effect of deep equatorial Pacific ridge on El-Nino
yang wang, avi Gozolchiani, Yosef Ashkenazy, and Shlomo Havlin