Oral ECAM3

ECAM3

From NWP and Nowcasts to Forecasts and Warnings
Conveners: B. Reichert , Y. Wang 
Oral
 / Mon, 09 Sep, 17:00–19:00  / Room G10
 / Tue, 10 Sep, 08:30–12:15  / Room G10
Poster
 / Attendance Tue, 10 Sep, 10:30–11:30  / Display Mon, 09 Sep, 09:00–Tue, 10 Sep, 19:00  / Poster Area 1

Monday, 9 September 2013
Room G10
Chairperson: B. K. Reichert
17:00–17:15
EMS2013-167 | presentation
NowCastMIX - automatic integrated warnings from continuously monitored nowcasting systems using spatially clustered fuzzy-logic assessments of storm attributes
P. M. James, B. K. Reichert, and D. Heizenreder
17:15–17:30
EMS2013-682 | presentation
iCAST: A Thunderstorm Nowcasting and Alerting Prototype Focused on Optimization of the Human-Machine Mix
D. Sills, N. Driedger, B. Greaves, E. Hung, R. Paterson, W. Burrows, and J. Chiu
17:30–17:45
EMS2013-742
INCA-CE: Nowcasting and its applications for Central Europe
Y. Wang, A. Kann, F. Strauss, I. Meirold-Mautner, C. Wastl, B. Bica, and B. Stuhl
17:45–18:00
EMS2013-448
Statistical forecast of thunderstorms from model-derived instability indices in NE Italy
L. Feudale and A. Manzato
18:00–18:15
EMS2013-307
The Met Office Nwp-Based Nowcasting Demonstration Project For The Summer 2012 Floods And London Olympics 2012
S. P. Ballard, Z. Li, D. Simonin, J-F. Caron, R. Tubbs, and G. Kelly
18:15–18:30
EMS2013-159 | presentation
Objective Optimization of Local Weather Forecasting
F. Ebach, M. Rohn, L. Wenke, and B. K. Reichert
18:30–18:45
EMS2013-106 | presentation
Ensemble-based first-guess warnings in support of the risk-based UK National Severe Weather Warning Service
R. Neal and K. Mylne
18:45–19:00
EMS2013-138 | presentation
Exploring the probabilistic performance of an operational, distributed hydrological model driven by high-resolution rainfall forecast ensembles
R. J. Moore, C. Pierce, S.J. Cole, M. Mittermaier, and A. Wynn

Tuesday, 10 September 2013
Room G10
Chairperson: Y. Wang
08:30–08:45
EMS2013-633 | presentation
A new approach to effectively utilize the ensemble spread in extended logistic regression
J.W. Messner, A. Zeileis, D.S. Wilks, and G.J. Mayr
08:45–09:00
EMS2013-400 | presentation
Combining multi-system forecasts of the FROST-2014 project for meteorological support of the Olympic Games «Sochi-2014»
D. Kiktev, E. Astakhova, A. Smirnov, and R. Zaripov
09:00–09:15
EMS2013-784
AutoWARN - Automated Decision Support for the Weather Warning Service
B. K. Reichert
09:15–09:30
EMS2013-223 | presentation
Production and Distribution of Warnings - An AutoWARN Postprocessing Component
B. Erbshäußer
09:30–09:45
EMS2013-256
Met Office Global Hazard Map - a prototype GIS Web Map Service for forecasting high-impact weather across the globe for the week ahead
H. A. Titley and J. C. Robbins
09:45–10:00
EMS2013-322 | presentation
The evolving role of the forecaster and data in the Scottish Flood Forecasting Service
L. Speight, R. Maxey, M. Cranston, and P. Buchanan
10:00–10:30
Introduction to Posters (2 minutes for each author, in ascending order of abstract IDs)

Coffee Break & Poster Sessions
11:30–11:45
EMS2013-780
Training and forecast tool evaluation at the ESSL Testbed in 2012 and 2013
P. Groenemeijer, A. M. Holzer, and G. Pistotnik
11:45–12:00
EMS2013-148
Intercomparison of spatial forecast verification methods: a review and new project launch
M. Mittermaier, E. Gilleland, M. Dorninger, E. Ebert, and L. Wilson
12:00–12:15
EMS2013-765
Verification of Impact Based Rainfall Warnings at the UK Met Office
M. Sharpe, G. Robbins, and R. Stretton