Orals OSA1.6
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OSA1.6 Probabilistic and ensemble forecasting at short and medium-ranges |
| Convener: Andrea Montani | Co-Conveners: Jan Barkmeijer , Fernando Prates |
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Thursday, 7 September 2017 Gallery Chairperson: Andrea Montani |
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| 09:45–10:15 |
EMS2017-313
| presentation
Predicting uncertainty in the global ICON Ensemble (solicited) Michael Denhard, Cristina Primo, Felix Fundel, Andreas Rhodin, Harald Anlauf, Ana Fernandez del Rio, and Roland Potthast |
| 10:15–10:30 |
EMS2017-432
An Operational Global System for forecasting Point rainfall and Flash flood risk Tim Hewson, Fatima Pillosu, and Ervin Zsoter |
| 10:30–10:45 |
EMS2017-144
Application of Blended Forecasts to High Spatial- and Temporal- Resolution Time-lagged Ensemble Forecasts Yunsung Hwang and Dong-In Lee |
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Coffee break
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| 11:15–11:30 |
Poster introduction
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| 11:30–12:00 |
EMS2017-277
| presentation
Generating probabilistic forecasts from convection-permitting ensembles (solicited) Nigel M. Roberts |
| 12:00–12:15 |
EMS2017-207
A new stochastic scheme perturbing partial model tendencies Clemens Wastl, Yong Wang, and Christoph Wittmann |
| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2017-817
| presentation
Probabilistic fog forecasting with COSMO model Andrea Montani, Giulio Monte, Chiara Marsigli, and Tiziana Paccagnella |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2017-673
Probabilistic forecasts of ice formation on wind turbines with a limited-area ensemble prediction system Lukas Strauss, Stefano Serafin, and Manfred Dorninger |
| 12:45–13:00 |
EMS2017-783
Ensemble based high-impact weather warning and its verification in korea Kyoungjun Lee, Seungbum Kim, Changjae Lee, and Eun-joo Lee |