Orals OSA1.8/ES3.2
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OSA1.8/ES3.2 Forecast verification (co-organized) |
| Convener: Pertti Nurmi | Co-Conveners: Anna Ghelli , Manfred Dorninger , Marion Mittermaier |
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Wednesday, 6 September 2017 Room Business school 2 Chairperson: Pertti Nurmi |
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| 09:45–10:00 |
EMS2017-487
Ensemble verification: Old scores, new perspectives Sabrina Wahl, Jan D. Keller, and Petra Friederichs |
| 10:00–10:15 |
EMS2017-550
Verification of forecast ensembles by allowing for observation uncertainties in complex terrain Manfred Dorninger and Simon Kloiber |
| 10:15–10:30 |
EMS2017-193
Verification of probabilistic rainfall forecasts: Getting new insights into forecast services Harry Jack, Deryn Griffiths, Ioanna Ioannou, Maoyuan Liu, Michael Foley, Philip Riley, Timothy Hume, and Gary Weymouth |
| 10:30–10:45 |
EMS2017-112
| presentation
Assessing the hourly precipitation forecast skill with the fractions skill score Zhao Bin and Zhang Bo |
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Coffee break
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| 11:15–11:30 |
EMS2017-11
| presentation
Categorical Verification of Site-Specific Weather Events Using Local Climatologies Emily Stewart, Rebecca Hemingway, and Michael Sharpe |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EMS2017-819
The link between catchment precipitation forecast skill and spread to that of downstream ensemble hydrological forecasts Gabriella Csima, Seonaid R A Dey, Marion P Mittermaier, Robert J Moore, and Steven J Cole |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EMS2017-705
| presentation
Operational user-centric verification of severe weather warnings Evelyn Müller, Dennis Schulze, Jonathan Schubert, and Veronika Schreiner |
| 12:00–12:15 |
EMS2017-97
17 years 'Berlin Weather Forecasting Contest' - a unique verification tool Klaus Knüpffer and Jan Hoffmann |
| 12:15–12:30 |
EMS2017-47
| presentation
Verifying and Validating Impact Models Rebecca Hemingway |
| 12:30–12:45 |
EMS2017-394
Results of the Fog Forecast Verification in TAF Forecasts for Zagreb Airport Jadran Jurković, Marko Zoldoš, and Igor Kos |
| 12:45–13:00 |
EMS2017-785
Warnings verification – all at sea Michael Sharpe |
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Lunch break
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| 14:00–14:15 |
EMS2017-431
| presentation
Verification of Flare Forecasts at the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre Sophie Murray, David Jackson, Suzy Bingham, and Mike Sharpe |
| 14:15–14:30 |
EMS2017-586
The final approach? Verification of Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts Michael Sharpe |