Orals OSA1.8/ES3.2

OSA1.8/ES3.2

Forecast verification (co-organized)
Convener: Pertti Nurmi 
Co-Conveners: Anna Ghelli , Manfred Dorninger , Marion Mittermaier 
Session details
Orals
 / Wed, 06 Sep, 09:45–14:30 / Room Business school 2
Posters
 / Attendance Wed, 06 Sep, 18:00–19:30 / Display Tue, 05 Sep, 13:00–Wed, 06 Sep, 19:30 / Poster area
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Wednesday, 06 Sep 2017
Room Business school 2
Chairperson: Pertti Nurmi
09:45–10:00
EMS2017-487
Ensemble verification: Old scores, new perspectives
Sabrina Wahl, Jan D. Keller, and Petra Friederichs
10:00–10:15
EMS2017-550
Verification of forecast ensembles by allowing for observation uncertainties in complex terrain
Manfred Dorninger and Simon Kloiber
10:15–10:30
EMS2017-193
Verification of probabilistic rainfall forecasts: Getting new insights into forecast services
Harry Jack, Deryn Griffiths, Ioanna Ioannou, Maoyuan Liu, Michael Foley, Philip Riley, Timothy Hume, and Gary Weymouth
10:30–10:45
EMS2017-112 | Presentation
Assessing the hourly precipitation forecast skill with the fractions skill score
Zhao Bin and Zhang Bo
Coffee break
Chairperson: Manfred Dorninger
11:15–11:30
EMS2017-11
Categorical Verification of Site-Specific Weather Events Using Local Climatologies
Emily Stewart, Rebecca Hemingway, and Michael Sharpe
11:30–11:45
EMS2017-819
The link between catchment precipitation forecast skill and spread to that of downstream ensemble hydrological forecasts
Gabriella Csima, Seonaid R A Dey, Marion P Mittermaier, Robert J Moore, and Steven J Cole
11:45–12:00
EMS2017-705 | Presentation
Operational user-centric verification of severe weather warnings
Evelyn Müller, Dennis Schulze, Jonathan Schubert, and Veronika Schreiner
12:00–12:15
EMS2017-97
17 years 'Berlin Weather Forecasting Contest' - a unique verification tool
Klaus Knüpffer and Jan Hoffmann
12:15–12:30
EMS2017-47 | Presentation
Verifying and Validating Impact Models
Rebecca Hemingway
12:30–12:45
EMS2017-394
Results of the Fog Forecast Verification in TAF Forecasts for Zagreb Airport
Jadran Jurković, Marko Zoldoš, and Igor Kos
12:45–13:00
EMS2017-785
Warnings verification – all at sea
Michael Sharpe
Lunch break
Chairperson: Marion MIttermaier
14:00–14:15
EMS2017-431 | Presentation
Verification of Flare Forecasts at the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre
Sophie Murray, David Jackson, Suzy Bingham, and Mike Sharpe
14:15–14:30
EMS2017-586
The final approach? Verification of Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts
Michael Sharpe