CL4.1/NP8.1

Chaotic and Stochastic Climate Dynamics (co-organized)
Convener: Michael Ghil 
Oral Programme
 / Thu, 06 May, 13:30–15:00  / Room 17
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Thu, 06 May, 17:30–19:00  / Halls X/Y
Aims & Scope : Understanding more deeply climate dynamics is of fundamental importance in attempting to estimate future climate evolution over the next decades and centuries. This session invites contributions from scientists who try to understand the dynamics based on past and current observations --- whether from instrumental, historical or proxy records --- as well as on a full hierarchy of models. This understanding can be rooted in a theoretical and numerical framework that relies on dynamical system theory, both deterministic and stochastic. Contributions based on chaotic and/or stochastic models from the simplest ones ("toy models") that describe in depth a small number of fundamental mechanisms to more elaborate ones that include a greater variety of physical, chemical and biological processes, are encouraged; so are contributions that carry out a comparison between the properties of data sets and model simulations.