CL3.8 Probabilistic climate prediction on multi-decadal to multi-centennial time scales |
Convener: Thomas Schneider von Deimling | Co-Conveners: James Annan , Reto Knutti |
Oral Programme
/ Mon, 04 Apr, 15:30–17:00
/ Room 17
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Mon, 04 Apr, 17:30–19:00
/
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This session invites contributions which explore recent progress in generating probabilistic climate forecasts, covering multi-decadal to multi-centennial time scales. We encourage papers discussing aspects of quantifying and reducing forecast uncertainty -- especially in light of analysing model feedbacks and using (different lines of) observational constraints. We welcome contributions from a hierarchy of climate models, ranging from simple to complex.