Probabilistic climate prediction on multi-decadal to multi-centennial time scales
Convener: Thomas Schneider von Deimling  | Co-Conveners: James Annan , Reto Knutti 
Oral Programme
 / Mon, 04 Apr, 15:30–17:00  / Room 17
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Mon, 04 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Display Mon, 04 Apr, 08:00–19:30  / Hall XL

This session invites contributions which explore recent progress in generating probabilistic climate forecasts, covering multi-decadal to multi-centennial time scales. We encourage papers discussing aspects of quantifying and reducing forecast uncertainty -- especially in light of analysing model feedbacks and using (different lines of) observational constraints. We welcome contributions from a hierarchy of climate models, ranging from simple to complex.