NH9.10Incorporating spatio-temporal variability into risk management
|Convener: C. Neuhold | Co-Conveners: S. Fuchs , C. Aubrecht|
The assessment and management of risk considers aspects of individual risk, economic risk and environmental risk yielding qualitative and quantitative information which are typically subjected to substantial uncertainties. Risk assessment comprises hazard and vulnerability assessment. In the frame of hazard assessment, events are analyzed by means of recurrence intervals and spatio-temporal characteristics. In advance, hazard prone land use types are typically characterized by stage-damage functions or risk curves within vulnerability assessment. Risk assessment is typically conducted for current states of land use whereas future developments are mostly neglected. Introducing a temporal scale by considering future developments (people exposed, buildings, accumulated goods, economic growth, etc.) as well as time dependent human behavior, enables more robust risk assessment approaches also accounting for residual risk.
This session aims at attracting an interdisciplinary attendance from diverse research fields in both natural and social sciences. The multi-stage concept of disaster management serves as background and outline in order to have comprehensive discussions on all related aspects ranging from risk analysis including hazard and vulnerability assessment via risk mitigation and early warning to emergency response and impact assessment. The session particularly intends to cover temporal aspects of disaster risk research, including short-term and long-term temporal variability in spatial patterns of risk and vulnerability. Contributions of both conceptual and applied research are very much welcomed to this session. We are looking forward to an interesting program including innovative approaches in risk assessment and management and intend raising awareness about pending issues in integrative analysis of complex human-natural coupled systems.