HS7.4/AS1.22/CL2.15 Hydrological extremes in a changing climate: Risk and impacts on water infrastructure and insurance costs (co-organized) |
Convener: Manfred Mudelsee | Co-Conveners: João de Lima , Xiaolan Wang , Carmen Maftei |
A warmer atmosphere can carry more water, and climate warming may increase the magnitude of hydrological extremes. Yet the system air-water-soil is a complex network with many poorly understood variables and processes. With our currently available tools (data, models, and statistical methods) we considerably lack knowledge about changes in risk of floods or droughts on yearly to decadal timescales.
This session explores how the climate risk insurance and water infrastructure industries, and also how the academic climate-impact model community deal with this challenge. We welcome contributions about advances in data, models, and methods that help us to make more accurate predictions of changes in hydrological risk.
Invited speakers:
Juergen Grieser
Risk Management Solutions, UK
Dag Lohmann
KatRisk LLC, USA