NP2.1ENSO: Dynamics, Predictability and Modelling
|Convener: Dietmar Dommenget | Co-Conveners: Michael McPhaden , Andrew Wittenberg , Eric Guilyardi|
ENSO is the dominant source of interannual climate variability in the tropics and throughout the globe. Understanding ENSO's dynamics, predicting El Niño and La Niña, and anticipating changes in ENSO's characteristics and impacts are thus of vital importance for society. This session invites contributions regarding the dynamics of ENSO, including multi-scale interactions; low frequency, decadal and paleo ENSO variability; ENSO theory; ENSO diversity; ENSO impacts on climate, society and ecosystems; seasonal forecasting of ENSO; and climate change projections of ENSO. Studies aimed at understanding ENSO in coupled models are especially welcomed, including analysis of CMIP model intercomparisons.
|Public information:||The time slot of the withdrawn talk at 14:30–14:45 will be replaced by a talk from Mike McPhaden about "The 2014 La Nada and the potential for the 2015 El Nino"|