Impact of Climate change on tropical terrestrial water use efficiency

Variability in precipitation and temperature are key markers of climate change. Extreme events like heat waves, droughts, frosts, wind storms, flooding rains and fires greatly affect ecosystem and terrestrial carbon balance. Tropical regions in particular make strong contributions to the global carbon cycle and are the focus of our research. Our initial analysis confirmed the long-known pattern of large variability in rainfall in the tropical southern hemisphere (i.e. between the Tropic of Capricorn and the Equator) w.r.t. the north, with less variation in temperature between the hemispheres. In the follow-up analysis, we focus on exchanges of carbon and water and water use efficiency, based on 39 eddy covariance flux sites which represent 25 years of data across the tropics. Our working hypothesis is that long-term increases in temperature and significant changes (+/-) in rainfall will be reflected in changes in water use efficiency and cropping period, albeit with greater spatial and temporal variation in the south than in the north. We are also investigating relationships between water use efficiency of tropical regions calculated using eddy covariance flux data, with that calculated using tree ring data. We seek to combine methodologies that can help drive our understanding of the impact of climate change on water use efficiency of tropical regions.

Keywords: Eddy covariance, Tropics, Water use efficiency, Carbon cycle, Tree ring data