EGU2020-20309
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-20309
EGU General Assembly 2020
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Deconstructing the subtropical AMOC variability

Quentin Jamet1, William Dewar1,2, Nicolas Wienders2, Bruno Deremble3, Sally Close4, and Thierry Penduff1
Quentin Jamet et al.
  • 1Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, Grenoble INP, IGE, 38000, Grenoble, France.
  • 2Dept. of EOAS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306, USA
  • 3Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, ENS, Paris, France
  • 4Laboratoire d’Océanographie Physique et Spatiale, Université de Bretagne Occidentale, Brest

Mechanisms driving the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) variability at low-frequency are of central interest for accurate climate predictions. However, the origin of this variability remains under debate, complicating for instance the interpretation of the observed time series provided by the RAPID-MOCHA-WBTS program. In this study, we aim at disentangling the respective contribution of the local atmospheric forcing, the signal of remote origin and the ocean intrinsic dynamics for the subtropical low-frequency AMOC variability. We analyse for this a set of four ensembles of a regional (20oS - 55oN), eddy-resolving (1/12o) North Atlantic oceanic configuration, where surface forcing and open boundary conditions are alternatively permuted from fully varying (realistic) to yearly repeating signals.

The analysis of the four ensemble mean AMOCs reveals predominance of local, atmospherically forced signal at interannual time scales (2-10 years), while signals imposed by the boundaries imprint at decadal (10-30 years) time scales. Due to this marked time scale separation, we show that most of the subtropical AMOC forced variability can be understood as a linear superposition of these two signals. Analyzing the ensemble spread of the four ensembles, we then show that the subtropical AMOC is also characterized by an intrinsic variability, which organizes as a basin scale mode peaking at interannual time scales. This basin scale mode is found to be weakly sensitive to the surrounding forced signals, suggesting no causal relationship between the two. Its spatio-temporal pattern shares however similarities with the atmospherically forced signal, which is likely to make the attribution from a single eddy-resolving simulation, or from observations, more difficult.

How to cite: Jamet, Q., Dewar, W., Wienders, N., Deremble, B., Close, S., and Penduff, T.: Deconstructing the subtropical AMOC variability, EGU General Assembly 2020, Online, 4–8 May 2020, EGU2020-20309, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-20309, 2020

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