Low-level cloud feedbacks in CMIP6 models and EUREC4A observations

How will low-level clouds respond to global warming? We approach this question by first investigating the spread of climate sensitivity and cloud feedbacks in CMIP6 models. We stratify the cloud response by circulation regime and focus in greater detail on the cloud response in tropical regimes of subsidence and weak ascent  (i.e., their vertical structure in the present-day and future climate, how cloud profile changes relate to changes in cloud-controlling factors). This CMIP6 model analysis dovetails with an observational analysis of low cloud responses from the EUREC4A field campaign. We seek to employ a simple model of low cloud behavior, constrained with observations from EUREC4A and longer time series from the Barbados Cloud Observatory, to better constrain the range of low cloud behavior spanned by CMIP6 models.