EGU21-4025
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-4025
EGU General Assembly 2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Minimal impact of model biases on northern hemisphere ENSO teleconnections.

Nicholas Tyrrell and Alexey Karpechko
Nicholas Tyrrell and Alexey Karpechko
  • Finnish Meteorological Institute, Meteorology, Helsinki, Finland (nicholas.tyrrell@fmi.fi)

Correctly capturing the teleconnection between the ENSO and Europe is of importance for seasonal prediction. Here we investigate how systematic model biases may affect this teleconnection. A two–step bias–correction process is applied to an atmospheric general circulation model to reduce errors in the climatology. The bias–corrections are applied to the troposphere and stratosphere separately and together to produce a range of climates. ENSO type sensitivity experiments are then performed to reveal the impact of differing climatologies on ENSO–Europe teleconnections.

The bias–corrections do not affect the response of the tropical atmosphere, nor the Aleutian Low, to strong ENSO anomalies. However, the anomalous upward wave flux and the response of the northern hemisphere polar vortex differs between the climatologies. We attribute this to a reduced sensitivity of waves to the strength of the Aleutian Low. Despite the differing responses of the polar vortex, the NAO response is similar between the climatologies, implying that for strong ENSO events the stratospheric response may not be the primary driver for the ENSO–North Atlantic teleconnection.

How to cite: Tyrrell, N. and Karpechko, A.: Minimal impact of model biases on northern hemisphere ENSO teleconnections., EGU General Assembly 2021, online, 19–30 Apr 2021, EGU21-4025, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-4025, 2021.

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