Please note that this session was withdrawn and is no longer available in the respective programme. This withdrawal might have been the result of a merge with another session.
ST4.5 | Advancing Space Weather Prediction for Solar Wind Transients: Observational, Modeling, and Evaluation Approaches
EDI
Advancing Space Weather Prediction for Solar Wind Transients: Observational, Modeling, and Evaluation Approaches
Convener: Maike Bauer | Co-conveners: Tanja Amerstorfer, Mateja Dumbovic, Dario Del Moro, Evangelos PaourisECSECS
Coronal mass ejections (CMEs), interplanetary shocks, co-rotating interaction regions (CIRs), and solar energetic particles (SEPs) are the main drivers of heliosphere variability. These phenomena trigger disturbances in space and have a significant impact on space-based technologies and terrestrial systems, including human well-being. Accurate prediction of their occurrence and potential consequences is of paramount importance to modern space exploration and our electronics-driven society.

Over the past decade, significant progress has been made in improving predictive capabilities through state-of-the-art observational and modeling techniques. Despite considerable progress, new challenges require innovative approaches. Challenges include the acquisition of reliable, real-time, observation-based data for accurate model inputs, the accurate tracking of solar wind transients in the inner heliosphere, and the robust evaluation of predictive models. Addressing these challenges will require a combination of improving current capabilities and introducing innovative approaches.

This session will provide a comprehensive overview of the current landscape of space weather forecasting with respect to the timing and impact of various solar wind transients. It will also present new and promising observational and modeling techniques. We invite contributions that address ongoing observational and modeling work, as well as contributions that focus on the evaluation of space weather prediction methods. By presenting an overview of our current capabilities and potential future opportunities, we aim to provide guiding principles for the future course of upcoming science efforts and space mission planning.