Climate and environmental hazards increasingly interact with conflict, displacement, food insecurity and other social and structural vulnerabilities, creating compound and cascading crises that challenge conventional approaches to disaster preparedness and adaptation.
In these contexts, the effectiveness of adaptation and anticipatory action depends on a systemic understanding of risk: how it interacts across sectors and timescales, how to plan under uncertainty, how vulnerabilities evolve, how to protect vulnerable communities, cultural heritage and ecosystems, and how actions can be financed, implemented, and adapted to rapidly changing conditions.
This session explores the different stages of anticipatory action:, from understanding the dynamic interactions between natural and societal hazards in the evolution of crises and identifying early warning signs to designing, financing, implementing, and evaluating actions in complex and compound risk settings.
We welcome contributions across scales and disciplines: from single-site interventions and community-based action to global modelling, from social science to physical risk, from humanitarian responses to new insurance and financial instruments. The session's purpose is to encourage dialogue and sharing between researchers who might otherwise work separately.
Contributions may address, but are not limited to:
- Dynamics of risks, including spatio-temporal interactions between different hazards, conflict, food insecurity, displacement and migration
- Early warning monitoring and triggers for action
- Decision-making under uncertainty
- Anticipatory action in fragile, conflict-affected and violence-prone regions
- Impact- and trigger-based financing, and financial products for more vulnerable countries and communities
- Interventions to reduce economic and non-economic Loss and Damage, and approaches to staying within 'tolerable risk'
- Adaptation and action for the benefit of ecosystems and biodiversity
- Reviews and critiques of existing interventions and how we think about action