ASI9 Interfacing hydrological and meteorological models in forecasting systems |
Convener: Bodo Ahrens | Co-Conveners: Massimiliano Zappa , Herbert Formayer |
Oral Programme
/ Thu, 15 Sep, 08:30–10:30
/ Room Sorbonne
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Thu, 15 Sep, 16:00–17:00
/ Poster Hall (Ground Floor)
|
The scope of this session addresses recent developments in the coupling between meteorological and hydrological models. As computational power increases,models become more detailed and ensemble systems emerge. This creates new challenges: forecasting systems get more complex, the data flow between meteorological and hydrological models intensifies, and the interpretation of more complex models and ensemble systems is involved. At the same time, expectations from decision makers and the general public are increasing, raising demands for accurate and well-presented forecasts. This session welcomes contributions from modelers with experience in operational short-term real-time forecasting, as well as long-term seasonal or climatic forecasting.
Major questions to be addressed include:
(i) What is the optimal coupling strategy of meteorological forecasting or climate models and hydrological models/ensembles?
(ii) How can additional information (e.g., remotely sensed data) be used in coupled systems?
(iii) How can these systems be evaluated and the output be post-processed?
(iv) How should the forecasts be presented and what type of risk analysis can be used in supporting decision makers?
(v) Can hydrological extreme events or forecasted satisfactorily by coupled systems today?