SB11 | The Rubin Observatory Census of the Solar System: Initial Commissioning Results and First Year Science Expectations for the Legacy Survey of Space and Time

SB11

The Rubin Observatory Census of the Solar System: Initial Commissioning Results and First Year Science Expectations for the Legacy Survey of Space and Time
Co-organized by MITM
Conveners: Megan E. Schwamb, Mario Jurić | Co-conveners: Colin Chandler, Laura Inno, Pedro H. Bernardinelli, Sarah Greenstreet, Henry Hsieh
Orals WED-OB3
| Wed, 10 Sep, 11:00–12:30 (EEST)
 
Room Saturn (Hall B)
Orals WED-OB5
| Wed, 10 Sep, 15:00–16:00 (EEST)
 
Room Saturn (Hall B)
Posters TUE-POS
| Attendance Tue, 09 Sep, 18:00–19:30 (EEST) | Display Tue, 09 Sep, 08:30–19:30
 
Finlandia Hall foyer, F197–206
Wed, 11:00
Wed, 15:00
Tue, 18:00
The Vera C. Rubin Observatory is a new next-generation survey facility on Cerro Pachón, Chile. It houses the 8.4m Simonyi Survey Telescope coupled with the 3.2 Gigapixel LSSTCam camera. Over a ten-year period – projected to start in late 2025 – Rubin will execute the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). Enabled by its 9.6 square degree field of view and a cadence that will image the sky in multiple filters every 3-4 days to ~24.5 mag, within a year the LSST will become the largest catalog of small body observations to date. This survey will discover millions of new objects ranging from orbits inward of Venus to far beyond that of Neptune. The LSST will go beyond just discovery; over its 10-year mission, it will obtain broad-band optical colors and phase curves, and perform real-time monitoring capturing episodes of cometary activity, changes in orbit, asteroid collisions, rotational breakup events, as well as rotational brightness variations. With its volume, richness, and precision, the LSST can dramatically advance the understanding of the Solar System.

The session will present the first Solar System discoveries and characterization data from Rubin commissioning efforts, and preliminary analyses made with those observations. We will also introduce the services and resources for public data access, including documentation and tutorials. We welcome submissions focused on topics related to early LSST Solar System science such as: predictions of discovery yields, presentations on Solar System-oriented alert brokers and other science-enabling tools, follow-up observations and campaigns, citizen science projects, and ways to combine LSST data with other sources of astronomical data. With the full LSST data stream arriving just a few months following this session, we hope to excite and prepare the community for science with this one-of-a-kind dataset.

Session assets

Orals WED-OB3: Wed, 10 Sep, 11:00–12:30 | Room Saturn (Hall B)

Chairpersons: Colin Chandler, Megan E. Schwamb
11:00–11:12
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EPSC-DPS2025-242
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On-site presentation
Mario Jurić, Aren Heinze, Jacob Kurlander, Pedro Bernardinelli, Joachim Moeyens, Sarah Greenstreet, Eric Bellm, and Ian Sullivan

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory is a new NSF/DOE-funded facility on Cerro Pachón, Chile. It houses the 8.4m Simonyi Survey Telescope and the 3.2 Gigapixel LSSTCam camera. The Observatory is in the final stages of commissioning, expected to enter operations by the end of 2025. Once operational, Rubin will execute the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). Enabled by its 9.6 square degree field of view and a cadence covering the sky every 3-4 days to ~24.5 mag, the LSST dataset will dramatically advance numerous area of astronomy, including our understanding of the Solar System by delivering the largest catalog of small bodies to date.

This talk will present the first public Solar System-related results from Rubin's early commissioning efforts. We will discuss the discovery yields, measured performance of the observatory, early comparison to predictions, and talk through the expectations for further data during commissioning's Science Validation surveys. With a steady stream of public solar system discoveries expected to start in late commissioning, small bodies are likely to be one of the first areas of highly impactful early science. We hope this talk will help prepare the Solar System community for those imminent opportunities, and illustrate the transformational capabilities that Rubin is about to bring.

How to cite: Jurić, M., Heinze, A., Kurlander, J., Bernardinelli, P., Moeyens, J., Greenstreet, S., Bellm, E., and Sullivan, I.: Initial Rubin Solar System results: Performance, first discoveries, and expectations for operations, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-242, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-242, 2025.

11:12–11:18
11:18–11:30
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EPSC-DPS2025-1075
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On-site presentation
Meg Schwamb, Steph Meritt, Grigori Fedorets, Sam Cornwall, Pedro Bernardinelli, Mario Jurić, Matthew Holman, Jake Kurlander, Siegfried Eggl, Drew Oldag, Max West, Jeremy Kubica, Joe Murtagh, Lynne Jones, Peter Yoachim, and Ryan Lyttle and the Sorcha Team

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will provide an unprecedented dataset to explore the Solar System’s small body inventory. The survey will discover nearly 4 million new Solar System bodies. This is nearly 3 times the current inventory of main-belt asteroids and 6 times more trans-Neptunian objects than are currently known today.  The LSST will go beyond just discovery; with a 10-year baseline, the survey will be able to measure broad-band optical colors and phase curves and capture episodes of cometary activity, orbit changes, rotational breakup events, and rotational brightness variations. Planetesimals are the bricks and mortar left over after the construction of planets. Their compositions, shapes, densities, rotation rates, and orbits help reveal their formation history, the conditions in the planetesimal-forming disk, and the processes active in the Solar System today. LSST will transform our current view of the Solar System and let us peer back into the Solar System’s past like never before.

The LSST Solar System Science Collaboration (SSSC) has identified key software products/tools that the Rubin user community must develop to achieve the planetary community’s LSST science goals. Near the top of the SSSC’s software roadmap is a Solar System survey simulator to enable comparisons of model small body orbital and size/brightness distributions to LSST discoveries. For the past several years, we have been developing Sorcha, an open-source community LSST Solar System Survey Simulator handling the scale of the LSST data and the ability to predict on-sky positions for billions of simulated Solar System objects. Sorcha takes a model Solar System small body population and uses the pointing history, observation metadata, and expected Rubin Observatory detection efficiency to output what LSST should find so that the numbers and types of simulated detections can be directly compared to the number and types of real small bodies found in the actual LSST survey.  In this presentation, we will provide an overview of Sorcha, highlight the software design and architecture, provide a demonstration of how Sorcha works, and present key science cases for Sorcha in the context of early LSST Solar System science during the first year of the survey

How to cite: Schwamb, M., Meritt, S., Fedorets, G., Cornwall, S., Bernardinelli, P., Jurić, M., Holman, M., Kurlander, J., Eggl, S., Oldag, D., West, M., Kubica, J., Murtagh, J., Jones, L., Yoachim, P., and Lyttle, R. and the Sorcha Team: Sorcha: A Solar System Survey Simulator for the Legacy Survey of Space and Time, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1075, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1075, 2025.

11:30–11:42
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EPSC-DPS2025-418
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Jacob Kurlander and the Sorcha Predictions Team

The NSF-DOE Vera C. Rubin Observatory is a new 8m-class survey facility presently being commissioned in Chile, expected to begin the 10yr-long Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) by the end of 2025. Using the purpose-built Sorcha suvey simulator, and near-final observing cadence, we perform the first high-fidelity simulation of LSST’s solar system catalog for key small body populations. We show that the final LSST catalog will deliver over 1.1 billion observations of small bodies and raise the number of known objects to 1.27E5 near-Earth objects, 5.09E6 main belt asteroids, 1.09E5 Jupiter Trojans, and 3.70E4 trans-Neptunian objects. These represent 4-9x more objects than are presently known in each class, making LSST the largest source of data for small body science in this and the following decade. We characterize the measurements available for these populations, including orbits, griz colors, and lightcurves, and point out science opportunities they open. Importantly, we show that ~70% of the main asteroid belt and more distant populations will be discovered in the first two years of the survey, making high-impact solar system science possible from very early on. We make our simulated LSST catalog publicly available, allowing researchers to test their methods on an up-to-date, representative, full-scale simulation of LSST data.

How to cite: Kurlander, J. and the Sorcha Predictions Team: Predictions of the LSST Solar System Yield: Near-Earth Objects, Main Belt Asteroids, Jupiter Trojans, and Trans-Neptunian Objects, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-418, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-418, 2025.

11:42–11:54
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EPSC-DPS2025-719
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Joseph Murtagh, Meg Schwamb, Pedro Bernardinelli, Hsing Wen Lin, Steph Merritt, Jacob Kurlander, Sam Cornwall, Mario Jurić, Grigori Fedorets, Matthew Holman, Siegfried Eggl, David Nesvorný, Kat Volk, R. Lynne Jones, Peter Yoachim, Joachim Moeyens, Jeremy Kubica, Drew Oldag, Max West, and Colin Orion Chandler

The giant planet region of the Solar System (5.2 au < a < 30.1 au) can be a highly chaotic and dynamic environment of small body science, whose resident minor bodies can offer unique insights into both early Solar System formation and present-day evolution processes. Co-orbiting with Neptune in a 1:1 resonance, the Neptune Trojans (NTs) are a family of objects that can be dynamically stable on the order of billions of years (e.g., Lin et al., 2022). Numerical studies show that Neptune’s outwards migration is capable of capturing and retaining NTs (e.g., Gomes & Nesvorný, 2016), implying that the present day observed population may retain some information about the primordial protoplanetary disk conditions. Further in from Neptune, the Centaurs are a class of objects on giant-planet-crossing orbits, evolving inwards due to their many gravitational perturbations. They are an intermediate population, with colour distributions similar to smaller trans-Neptunian Objects (TNOs) (e.g., Wong & Brown, 2017), and physical sizes more typical of the nuclei of Jupiter family comets (e.g., Fernández et al., 2013). Understanding Centaur properties in ensemble is therefore a means of providing insight into the evolution of dynamically scattering TNOs into present day comets, as well as probing the evolution of how their surfaces are processed.

Over decades of observations, the Minor Planet Center (MPC) only notes <30 NTs, and∼300 Centaurs to date. These small sample sizes are set to be revolutionised with dawning of the Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). With first light having already occurred in July, the LSST is scheduled to commence operations in late 2025. One of its main science goals is to ”create an inventory of the Solar System”, cataloguing as many objects as possible across all orbital classes. This is achieved through its unprecedented combination of depth (mr ∼24.7), coverage in 6 broadband optical/NIR filters (ugrizy), and its observing cadence of 30s visits to 18,000 deg2 of the southern hemisphere every three nights over its full decadal observational baseline. Early estimates for the LSST’s performance predicted an order of magnitude increase in Near Earth Objects, Main Belt Asteroids, Jupiter Trojans, and TNOs (Ivezić et al., 2007; LSST Science Collaboration et al., 2009; Jones et al., 2015; Ivezć et al., 2019), with more refined estimates detailed in Kurlander et al. (2025a). Predictions for the LSST’s discovery metrics, including the total number of observations available per object, when they are discovered, and how many will be discovered, are vitally important in understanding the potential for small body science within the LSST through light curve, phase curve, and surface colour studies. Further, such predictions are crucial in understanding the gaps in the LSST’s observation cadence, which will enable the design of follow-up observational campaigns to supplement and bolster the LSST.

In this work, we present the very first estimates for the Neptune Trojan and Centaur discoveries within the LSST. We use the best available dynamical models for both populations (Nesvornŷ et al., 2019; Lin et al., 2021), and absolute magnitude and colour distributions drawn from Dark Energy Survey Neptune Trojan discoveries (Bernardinelli et al., 2025) and Pan-STARRS1 Centaur discoveries (Kurlander et al., 2025b). We use the new high-fidelity survey simulator Sorcha (Merritt et al., In Press; Holman et al., In Press) in order to generate ephemerides using the in-built N-body integrator ASSIST (Holman et al., 2023) (itself an extension of REBOUND, Rein & Liu, 2012; Rein & Spiegel, 2015). Sorcha is able to take the most recent LSST cadence simulations (SCOC, 2024), in order to forward bias these objects and simulate LSST discoveries. We highlight the year 1 science potential for both populations, including discovery numbers, and the prospects for light/phase curve and surface colour studies. The implications for understanding the Neptune Trojan colour-inclination dependency, as well as assumptions of symmetry of the L4 and L5 clouds are also discussed. Finally, we will discuss Centaur activity searches in the era of the LSST.

How to cite: Murtagh, J., Schwamb, M., Bernardinelli, P., Lin, H. W., Merritt, S., Kurlander, J., Cornwall, S., Jurić, M., Fedorets, G., Holman, M., Eggl, S., Nesvorný, D., Volk, K., Jones, R. L., Yoachim, P., Moeyens, J., Kubica, J., Oldag, D., West, M., and Chandler, C. O.: The Captured and the Crossing: Predictions for the LSST Discovery Yields for Neptune Trojans and Centaurs, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-719, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-719, 2025.

11:54–12:06
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EPSC-DPS2025-1189
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Colin Orion Chandler, Maxwell Frissell, Naomi Morato, Jacob Kurlander, Dmitrii Vavilov, Chadwick Trujillo, Mario Jurić, Andrew Connolly, Clare Higgs, Chris Lintott, William Oldroyd, Nima Sedaghat, William Burris, Jay Kueny, Henry Hsieh, Jarod DeSpain, Kennedy Farrell, Pedro Bernardinelli, Mark Jesus Mendoza Magbanua, and Scott Sheppard and the Rubin Comet Catchers

Cometary activity — visible as tails or comae — offers a fleeting glimpse into the icy, volatile-rich small bodies of our solar system. Yet, despite the anticipated discovery of five million minor planets by the Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST; Ivezic et al. 2019; Vera C. Rubin Observatory LSST Solar System Science Collaboration et al. 2021; Kurlander et al. 2025), LSST’s data products are not specifically designed to identify visible cometary activity such as tails or comae in its nightly torrent of images. Enter Rubin Comet Catchers, a new Citizen Science program designed to unlock this potential. By combining artificial intelligence with the power of human eyes, volunteers will help identify active small bodies hiding in plain sight among known asteroids, Centaurs, near-Earth objects, and beyond.

Building on the remarkable success of the Active Asteroids Citizen Science program, which discovered some 30 previously unknown active minor planets, including the first AI-discovered active asteroids and an active near-Earth object (Chandler et al. 2024a, 2024b; Sedaghat et al. 2024), Rubin Comet Catchers will extend this proven approach to LSST’s unprecedented dataset. Volunteers will inspect daily-updated images using an intuitive Zooniverse interface, supported by a machine learning pipeline that filters and prioritizes candidates. Promising discoveries will be escalated to expert review, followed by targeted archival searches and professional telescope observations to confirm activity and submit new comets to the Minor Planet Center.

In this presentation, we will introduce the Rubin Comet Catchers project, describe our AI-enhanced discovery workflow, and showcase initial results from commissioning and early LSST data. We will also highlight the scientific questions this project is uniquely positioned to address — ranging from activity occurrence rates across dynamical classes to the identification of new populations of active small bodies — and invite the global community to join us in the search.

How to cite: Chandler, C. O., Frissell, M., Morato, N., Kurlander, J., Vavilov, D., Trujillo, C., Jurić, M., Connolly, A., Higgs, C., Lintott, C., Oldroyd, W., Sedaghat, N., Burris, W., Kueny, J., Hsieh, H., DeSpain, J., Farrell, K., Bernardinelli, P., Magbanua, M. J. M., and Sheppard, S. and the Rubin Comet Catchers: The Rubin Comet Catchers Citizen Science Project: Launch and Initial Results, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1189, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1189, 2025.

12:06–12:18
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EPSC-DPS2025-96
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On-site presentation
Josef Durech and Josef Hanus

Asteroids’ phase curves – the dependence of their brightness on the solar phase angle – carry information about asteroid surface properties in terms of light scattering. Phase curves are related to surface roughness, albedo, and taxonomic classification. In its basic form, a phase curve plots an asteroid’s brightness reduced to unit distance from the Sun and the Earth as a function of the phase angle (Sun–asteroid–Earth). Observed phase curves fitted with a theoretical model serve to estimate the absolute magnitude H (Bowell et al. 1989; Muinonen et al. 2010). However, an asteroid’s brightness depends not only on the phase angle; it also varies with changing geometry and rotation, so these factors inevitably affect real phase curves. Several techniques have been used to account for these effects (Muinonen et al. 2020, 2022; Carry et al. 2024). 

In our approach, we use the light curve inversion method of Kaasalainen & Torppa (2001); Kaasalainen et al. (2001), where the phase curve is expressed as a combination of linear and exponential functions with three parameters that are optimized during the modeling. This way, the shape and geometry effects are
removed, and the phase curve is affected only by measurement errors. When observations in different filters are available, the color shift between the data sets is another information that we extract from the data. Moreover, phase curves are wavelength-dependent, so that each filter can have different parameters, and we can study the phase reddening effects.

In the case of LSST of the Vera Rubin Observatory, asteroid photometry will be available in six filters covering wavelengths 320–1050 nm. For a typical main-belt asteroid, 200–300 individual measurements will be taken over 10 years of the survey. Fitting of the phase function will be treated inside the processing pipeline, so the H and G12 parameters for each filter will be provided as part of the data releases. However, for those asteroids for which the light curve inversion will provide a unique model, it will be possible to derive more precise phase curves for all six filters.

As a preparatory work before the LSST data will be available, we processed asteroid photometry from these surveys: Catalina, Mt. Lemmon, Pan-STARRS, ZTF, ATLAS, TESS, ASAS-SN, USNO, and Gaia DR3. From about 330,000 processed asteroids, we were able to derive unique spin solutions and corresponding convex shape models for about 23,000. The most abundant data set was ATLAS photometry in cyan and orange filters with hundreds of data points per asteroid. For a subsample of about 15,000 asteroids with abundant ATLAS photometry, we used the model to remove outlying photometric points and derived precise phase curves from ATLAS observations in two filters. This allowed us to compare colors and phase curves of different collisional families, taxonomic types, etc. We also searched for phase coloring effects (Alvarez-Candal 2024; Wilawer et al. 2024; Colazo et al. 2025).

The left plot below shows photometric data of asteroid (1495) Helsinki from eight observatories collected over the past two decades. The brightness was reduced to unit distances from the Sun and the Earth and is shown in relative intensity units. The phase curves are affected by different filters, rotational variation, and geometry effects related to changing aspect. The right plot shows the mean phase curve obtained as a result of light curve inversion and residuals scattered around the mean curve.

References

Alvarez-Candal, A. 2024, A&A, 685, A29
Bowell, E., Hapke, B., Domingue, D., et al. 1989, in Asteroids II, ed. R. P. Binzel, T. Gehrels, & M. S. Matthews (Tucson: University of Arizona Press), 524–556
Carry, B., Peloton, J., Le Montagner, R., Mahlke, M., & Berthier, J. 2024, A&A, 687, A38
Colazo, M., Oszkiewicz, D., Alvarez-Candal, A., et al. 2025, Icarus, 436, 116577
Kaasalainen, M. & Torppa, J. 2001, Icarus, 153, 24
Kaasalainen, M., Torppa, J., & Muinonen, K. 2001, Icarus, 153, 37
Muinonen, K., Belskaya, I. N., Cellino, A., et al. 2010, Icarus, 209, 542
Muinonen, K., Torppa, J., Wang, X. B., Cellino, A., & Penttilä, A. 2020, A&A, 642, A138
Muinonen, K., Uvarova, E., Martikainen, J., et al. 2022, Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences, 9, 821125
Wilawer, E., Muinonen, K., Oszkiewicz, D., Kryszczy´nska, A., & Colazo, M. 2024, MNRAS, 531, 2802


How to cite: Durech, J. and Hanus, J.: Asteroid phase curves reconstructed with light curve inversion – prospects for LSST, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-96, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-96, 2025.

12:18–12:30
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EPSC-DPS2025-25
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On-site presentation
Valerio Carruba, Rafael Sfair, Rosana A. N. Araujo, Othon C. Winter, Daniela C. Mourão, Sara Di Ruzza, Safwan Aljbaae, Gabriel Caritá, and Rita C. Domingos

Currently, there are twenty known Venus co-orbital asteroids, but only one has an eccentricity (e) lower than 0.38 (Carruba et al. 2024; Pan & Gallardo 2024 and references therein). This distribution is likely an observational bias, as asteroids with higher eccentricities may come closer to Earth, making them easier to detect. Three known co-orbitals can potentially soon become PHAs (Carruba et al. 2025). The main objective of this work is to assess the threat that the undetected Venus co-orbital population may pose to Earth and to investigate their detectability.

Fig. (1): Left panel: the distribution in the (H, e) plane of known asteroids near Venus (blue full circles) and its co-orbital asteroids (red stars). Right panel: the distribution of 14382 simulated NEAs obtained from the NEOMOD3 model (black dots).

The expected orbital distribution of near-Earth objects (NEAs) in the vicinity of Venus obtained using the NEOMOD3 model (Nesvorný et al. 2024) does not show a dynamical preference for producing asteroids with high eccentricities (Fig. (1)). While the left panel shows that the majority of known co-orbitals have e > 0.38, the right panel reveals a large simulated population with e < 0.38. This suggests that observational biases are the most likely explanation for the lack of detection of low-eccentricity co-orbitals.

Pan & Gallardo (2024) recently developed a semi-analytical model to describe the coorbital motion in the 1:1 resonances. This permits describing the structure of the resonance under the assumption that the orbital elements of the asteroid remain fixed for a short period. Different types of coorbital orbits are possible, including tadpole (TL4 and TL5), horseshoe (H), and retrograde satellites (RS) orbits, compound configurations such as H-RS and T-RS, as well as transitions between these configurations. Known Venus coorbitals typically alternate between these configurations in a co-orbital cycle of approximately (12000 ± 6000) years.

Fig. (2): Projections in the (σ, a) plane of the Hamiltonian levels and the output of numerical simulations (black dots) for an asteroid in a TL4 configuration (top left panel), in an RS orbit (top right panel), in an HRS configuration (bottom left panel) and a TRS orbit (bottom right panel).

To validate the Pan & Gallardo (2024) model, Carruba et al. (2025) applied it to the initial conditions of the 20 known Venus coorbitals and compared the results with 1000-year numerical simulations. Fig. (2) compares the projections in the (σ, a) plane of the Hamiltonian levels with the orbital evolution obtained in the numerical simulations for asteroids in different coorbital configurations (TL4, RS, HRS, and TRS). The agreement between the semi-analytical model and the numerical simulations suggests that the model can be used to generate initial conditions for undetected Venus coorbitals.

To assess the collision risk, Carruba et al. (2025) performed 36000-year numerical simulations for several fictitious co-orbital asteroid clones distributed on a grid of initial eccentricity and inclination values. The simulations monitored close encounters with Earth, defined as an orbital distance smaller than the radius of Earth's Hill sphere, and tracked the minimum orbital intersection distance (MOID).


Fig. (3): Contour plot of the number of close encounters with Earth as a function of the initial (e, inc) values. The black stars display the location of the real co-orbitals of Venus with an MOID with Earth of 0.0005 au or less. The red stars show the orbital location of five test particles at e < 0.38 that experienced low MOIDs in our simulations.

Fig. (3) shows a contour map of the minimum MOID with Earth in the initial plane (e, inc). As expected, most close encounters occur near e = 0.38. However, there is a significant region in phase space at lower eccentricities (e < 0.38) where potential coorbitals may experience several close encounters and possibly collisions with Earth. 

Carruba et al. (2025) also investigated the observability of these potential undetected coorbitals from Earth, focusing on observing programs of the Vera C. Rubin Observatory. They analyzed a statistical sample of test particles that experienced low MOIDs with Earth, identified by the dashed line in Fig. (3). For each object, they computed ephemerides from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory site, applying sequential visibility filters: objects above the horizon, with elevation > 20◦ and apparent magnitude < 23.5. We calculated the "visibility percentage" – defined as the fraction of total ephemeris entries that satisfy all observability criteria – as a function of orbital elements. The analysis reveals a strong positive correlation between eccentricity and visibility percentage, with higher eccentricity objects being observable longer. 

Fig. (4): Fig. 9: Visibility percentage of Venus co-orbital asteroids as observed from the Rubin Observatory site as a function of orbital parameters.

Finally, observations conducted from Venus orbit, looking away from the Sun, could significantly improve the detection of these bodies. A Venus-based observer would have more favorable and consistent opportunities to detect and track co-orbital objects, although still subject to fundamental visibility limitations due to solar elongation limits. Proposed missions include space telescopes orbiting the Sun-Venus L2 Lagrange point and telescope constellations such as the CROWN mission (Zhou et al. 2022, Fig. (5)). Such missions could be crucial to map and discover all the still “unseen” PHAs among Venus co-orbital asteroids.

Fig. (5): The CROWN telescope constellation in the Sun-Venus three-body system. Adapted from Zhou et al. (2022).

References

Carruba, V., Moreira Morais, M. H., Mourão, D. C., et al. 2024, RNAAS, 8, 213.

Carruba, V., Di Ruzza, S., Caritá, G., et al. 2025, Icarus, A116508.

Carruba, V., Sfair R., Araujo R. A. N.. et al. 2025, A&A, under review.

Nesvorný, D., Vokrouhlický, D., Shelly, F., et al. 2024, Icarus, 417, 116110.

Zhou, X., Li, X., Huo, Z., Meng, L., & Huang, J. 2022, Space: Science & Technology, A9864937.

How to cite: Carruba, V., Sfair, R., Araujo, R. A. N., Winter, O. C., Mourão, D. C., Di Ruzza, S., Aljbaae, S., Caritá, G., and Domingos, R. C.: The invisible threat: Assessing the collisional hazard posed by the undiscovered Venus co-orbital asteroids, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-25, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-25, 2025.

Orals WED-OB5: Wed, 10 Sep, 15:00–16:00 | Room Saturn (Hall B)

Chairpersons: Mario Jurić, Henry Hsieh
15:00–15:12
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EPSC-DPS2025-1092
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Laura Buchanan, Wes Fraser, Jj Kavelaars, Tim Lister, Henry Hsieh, Brian Major, Jeff Burke, Serhii Zautkin, Arati Kakadiya, and Sharon Goliath

In collaboration with the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) Solar System Collaboration (SSSC) and the Canadian Astronomy Data Centre (CADC), the Can-Rubin team is developing a new communication platform designed to meet the modern needs of the Solar System research community. Called Research Announcements for the Solar System (RAFTs), this system is intended to streamline the sharing of discoveries, observations, and updates during the fast-moving era of wide-field time-domain surveys like the Vera C. Rubin Observatory LSST. RAFTs are intended to address the unique needs of the Solar System research community in the era of large-scale surveys (such as LSST), providing a streamlined, moderated system for the timely sharing of observational alerts with announcements that are concise, scientifically relevant, and permanently archived. Hosted by the CADC, RAFTs will be freely accessible and easily discoverable with permanent DOIs assigned to each.

Each announcement will feature a machine-readable section to facilitate rapid follow-up, and will be integrated with the LSST community forum to encourage further collaborations and engagement. The system will also feature a moderation process to help maintain scientific relevance and quality. The announcements are expected to be brief, relevant, and may be urgent. While urgency is not a requirement for publication, the RAFTs platform will be particularly well-suited for time-sensitive discoveries that benefit from prompt visibility and potential follow-up. The system is designed to be scalable, with the capacity to handle an increased volume of discoveries expected from the LSST. We will present a brief demonstration of the (in development) software interface, highlighting its user-friendly design and functionality for the community.

How to cite: Buchanan, L., Fraser, W., Kavelaars, J., Lister, T., Hsieh, H., Major, B., Burke, J., Zautkin, S., Kakadiya, A., and Goliath, S.: Research Announcements for the Solar System, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1092, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1092, 2025.

15:12–15:24
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EPSC-DPS2025-989
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On-site presentation
Kevin Napier, Matthew Holman, Hsing-Wen Lin, and Thomas Ruch

In the two centuries that scientists have been working to detect and characterize solar system bodies, progressive improvements in telescope and detector technology have greatly enhanced our capabilities (see Figure 1 for the historical progression of minor planet discovery magnitudes). However, we are reaching the physical limits of detectors and the practical engineering limits of telescopes, and since the objects we are searching for are moving, we cannot simply take longer exposures to increase our image depth. How, then, can we continue to make progress?

The standard procedure for detecting moving objects fainter than the single-image detection threshold, called shift-and-stack, has most often been limited to the regime where an object’s proper motion remains linear, because nonlinear motion drastically increases the complexity of the problem. This limitation effectively means that the stacks must be done on data taken within a single night, thus limiting the depth of search we can achieve.

In this talk I present heliostack, an algorithm that enables shift-and-stack searches for minor planets over extended time baselines, and apply it to archival data from the Hubble Space Telescope taken over a timespan of multiple days. By increasing the time baseline accessible to shift-and-stack, we will be able to find fainter solar system objects in carefully-selected segments of data from space telescopes, and surveys with sparser cadences such as the Dark Energy Survey (DES), or the upcoming Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), pushing into a new regime in Figure 1.

Figure 1: Visual magnitude of all numbered objects listed in the Minor Planet Center, as viewed from the Geocenter at the epoch of discovery.

How to cite: Napier, K., Holman, M., Lin, H.-W., and Ruch, T.: heliostack: A Novel Approach to Minor Planet Detection, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-989, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-989, 2025.

15:24–15:36
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EPSC-DPS2025-1510
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On-site presentation
Laura Inno, Ivano Bertini, Marco Fulle, Alessandra Rotundi, Massimiliano Giordano Orsini, Alessio Ferone, Stefano Fiscale, Luca Tonietti, Vincenzo Della Corte, Elena Mazzotta Epifani, Chiara Graoppasonni, Eleonora Ammanito, and Giuseppe Sindoni

Abstract. TailKit is a new software suite developed as part of the Italian in-kind contribution to the Vera C. Rubin Observatory, designed to detect and characterize cometary dust environments using LSST data. TailKit generalizes and extends the capabilities of a modeling approach previously presented in [1,2], which has been successfully applied to fit the dust morphology of cometary comae and tails in a series of ground-based images. Developed in alignment with the recommendations of the LSST Solar System Science Collaboration, the software will be publicly available through Rubin platforms and integrated with alert brokers, enhancing LSST's scientific return and enabling rapid follow-up of dynamically new comets, including potential targets for ESA's Comet Interceptor mission.

Introduction. The Rubin Observatory LSST will provide an unprecedented view of the dynamic Solar System, with a particular impact on the detection and tracking of active small bodies. Our group, already engaged in supporting ESA's Comet Interceptor mission, is contributing a software infrastructure,TailKit,as part of Italy’s in-kind contribution to the LSST project. 

Core Modeling Framework and Implementation. TailKit is a dedicated software tool developed to analyze and characterize the dust environments of comets through quantitative modeling of their coma and tail morphology. At its core lies a statistical dust tail simulation model [1,2], which reconstructs the observed brightness distribution by considering the probabilistic behavior of individual dust particles ejected from the cometary nucleus. The model simulates the dynamical evolution of dust grains under the influence of solar radiation pressure and gravitational forces, incorporating a size-dependent β parameter that modulates the trajectory of each particle. The key innovation of the approach is the use of a minimal set of three free parameters, which are finely tuned to reproduce the observed dust features in order to match the observed isophotes. The parameters are:  i) Dust ejection velocity, potentially varying with time and heliocentric distance; ii) Dispersion of the β parameter, representing the spread in particle sizes and response to solar radiation; iii) Heliocentric distance dependence of the dust mass loss rate, typically expressed as a power-law, and linked to nucleus activity and size.

These parameters are physically motivated and correlated with the nucleus size, enabling an efficient and scalable fitting procedure. The model is built upon a supervolatile-driven activity hypothesis, in which the sublimation of volatiles such as CO, CO₂, and CH₄ at large heliocentric distances drives early cometary activity. This is especially relevant for dynamically new comets (DNCs) and long-period comets that will be observed by Rubin LSST at larger distances [3].

The suite fits coma and tail morphologies in LSST alert cut-out and survey images to derive: a) Tail orientation and extent; b) Afρ and  dust  optical depth; c) Time-dependent dust size distribution, emission velocity and loss rate. Where time-series images are available, the software tracks the evolution of activity. Results are output as science-ready tables suitable for ingestion by Rubin databases and alert brokers such as SNAPS.

Development status. TailKit has been developed to meet professional programming standards, with clear modular structure, comprehensive documentation, and test coverage. The simulation engine is designed for parallel execution, allowing the exploration of a large grid of parameter combinations over multiple cores or computational nodes. This enables rapid convergence toward the parameter set that minimizes residuals between model and observations, even when analyzing dozens of comets per night. Thanks to its flexibility, robustness, and integration with LSST alert systems and databases, TailKit represents a powerful tool for both automated large-scale surveys and targeted cometary science campaigns. Indeed, we are testing the tool on proprietary images of over 20 comets collected with the Telescopio Nazionale Galileo (TNG, La Palma), which happens to have a spatial scale similar to LSST (0.2”/pixel) [4].

Integration with LSST Infrastructure and Open Access. TailKit will be deployed via Rubin’s Science Platform and shared repositories, enabling community use and collaborative development. This contribution is developed in alignment with the LSST Informatics and Statistics Collaboration and fulfills the criteria for international data rights acquisition by Italy through in-kind work.

Conclusion. In this talk, I will present the TailKit software suite and its modeling core in detail, focusing on the methodology and computational implementation. I will also show the first results obtained from a fully automated model optimization on a large sample of comets, using images acquired at the TNG. These results demonstrate TailKit’s potential for deriving key dust environment properties with minimal human intervention, supporting statistical studies ahead of Rubin LSST's operational phase.

This project is supported by ASI agreement n. 2020-4-HH.0 (and Addendum). It is developed within the LSST Solar System and Informatics and Statistics Science Collaborations and the INAF/LSST data rights agreement.

References. [1] Fulle, M. et al. 2010, Astronomy & Astrophysics, 522, A63; [2] Fulle M. et al., 2022, MNRAS, 513, 5377; [3] Inno, L. et al. 2025, Icarus, Volume 429, id.116443 [4] Bertini I. et al. in preparation.

How to cite: Inno, L., Bertini, I., Fulle, M., Rotundi, A., Giordano Orsini, M., Ferone, A., Fiscale, S., Tonietti, L., Della Corte, V., Mazzotta Epifani, E., Graoppasonni, C., Ammanito, E., and Sindoni, G.: TailKit: An Italian In-Kind Software for Rubin LSST to Detect and Characterize Cometary Dust Activity, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1510, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1510, 2025.

15:36–15:48
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EPSC-DPS2025-736
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On-site presentation
David Trilling, Michael Gowanlock, Revanth Reddy Munugala, Daniel Kramer, Maria Chernyavskaya, Erin Clark, Savannah Chappus, Sienna Franklin, Gunnar Johnson, Connor Metcalf, and Graceson Mule

We are operating the Solar System Notification Alert Processing System (SNAPS), a downstream broker that presently ingests alerts from the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF), and will soon from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). SNAPS serves several purposes that together enable a wide range of science cases.

(1) SNAPS is a clearinghouse for data from these surveys. We also presently serve some TESS data, and other large-scale databases will soon be ingested. A community user can query object(s) of interest and receive data records, derived properties (such as color and rotational period), and ancillary data (for example, orbital elements).

(2) We have several tools that detect unusual asteroids in the SNAPS database. These can be population outliers (objects whose intrinsic properties are unusual compared to other small bodies) or individual outliers (objects whose properties change with time). An example of the former case is an object with a very large lightcurve amplitude, and an example of the latter case is an active asteroid.

To date we have published papers the SNAPS architecture, first data release, and first science results (Trilling et al. 2023); on computational approaches (Gowanlock et al. 2021, 2022); on signal processing (Kramer et al. 2023, Gowanlock et al. 2024b); and on outlier detection (Gowanlock et al. 2024a). A number of additional papers are in progress..

In this presentation we will briefly summarize our infrastructure capabilities, including recent updates since the last DPS. We will highlight some of our most recent science highlights. Finally, we will present an assessment of our LSST readiness, including demonstrating tools that the community can use to interact with SNAPS.

This work is funded in part by the Arizona Board of Regents Technology and Research Initiative Fund, and by NASA and NSF grants to DET and MG.

Gowanlock et al. 2021, Astronomy and Computing, 3600472

Gowanlock et al. 2022, Astronomy and Computing, 3800511

Gowanlock et al. 2024a, AJ, 168, 56

Gowanlock et al. 2024b, AJ, 168, 181

Kramer et al. 2023, Astronomy and Computing, 440071

Trilling et al. 2023, AJ, 165, 111

How to cite: Trilling, D., Gowanlock, M., Reddy Munugala, R., Kramer, D., Chernyavskaya, M., Clark, E., Chappus, S., Franklin, S., Johnson, G., Metcalf, C., and Mule, G.: The Solar System Notification Alert Processing System (SNAPS): Infrastructure updates, ZTF science, and LSST readiness, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-736, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-736, 2025.

15:48–16:00
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EPSC-DPS2025-444
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On-site presentation
Jj Kavelaars, Marc Buie, Wesley Fraser, Lowell Peltier, Susan Benecchi, Simon Porter, and Anne Verbiscer and the Rubin Solar System Deep Drilling Field Proposal Team

We present a proposed Vera C. Rubin Observatory Deep Drilling micro-survey of the Kuiper Belt to investigate key properties of the distant solar system. Utilizing 30 hours of Rubin time across six 5-hour visits over one year starting in summer 2026, the survey aims to discover and determine orbits for up to 730 Kuiper Belt Objects (KBOs) to an  r-magnitude of 27.5. These discoveries will enable precise characterization of the KBO size distribution, which is critical for understanding planetesimal formation.  By aligning the survey field with NASA's New Horizons spacecraft trajectory, the micro-survey will facilitate discoveries for the mission operating in the Kuiper Belt.  Modelng based on the Outer Solar System Origin Survey (OSSOS) predicts at least 12 distant KBOs observable with the New Horizons LOng Range Reconnaissance Imager (LORRI) and approximately three objects within 1~au of the spacecraft, allowing higher-resolution observations than Earth-based facilities. LORRI's high solar phase angle monitoring will reveal these objects' surface properties and shapes, potentially identifying contact binaries and orbit-class surface correlations. The survey could identify a KBO suitable for a future spacecraft flyby.
The survey's size, depth, and cadence design will deliver transformative measurements of the Kuiper Belt's size distribution and rotational properties across distance, size, and orbital class. Additionally, the high stellar density in the survey field also offers synergies with transiting exoplanet studies. 

How to cite: Kavelaars, J., Buie, M., Fraser, W., Peltier, L., Benecchi, S., Porter, S., and Verbiscer, A. and the Rubin Solar System Deep Drilling Field Proposal Team: An Extremely Deep Rubin Survey to Explore the Extended Kuiper Belt and Identify Objects Observable by New Horizons., EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-444, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-444, 2025.

Posters: Tue, 9 Sep, 18:00–19:30 | Finlandia Hall foyer

Display time: Tue, 9 Sep, 08:30–19:30
F197
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EPSC-DPS2025-856
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On-site presentation
Siegfried Eggl, Samuel Cornwall, Michelle Dadighat, Nayan Jangid, Michael Peel, Meredith L. Rawls, Mark A. Skinner, J. Anthony Tyson, and Constance E. Walker

 Ground-based astronomical surveys such as the much anticipated Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) [1] face new challenges due to the increasing number of satellites in Low and Medium Earth Orbit (LEO & MEO). With hundreds of thousands of artificial satellites likely to be launched in the near future as estimated by the IAU CPS, satellite trails in astronomical images will become frequent enough to require some form of mitigation. Limiting the maximum brightness of artificial satellites to below 7th magnitude is one of the proposed means to reduce satellite impact on Rubin data, which prevents the most severe systematic errors and widespread data loss in LSST camera sensors [2]. Glints caused by satellites and space debris are also expected to pollute LSST alerts [3].

Brighter objects may require active satellite-avoidance scheduling schemes such as investigated by Hu et al. [4]. The IAU Centre for the Protection of the Dark and Quiet Sky from Satellite Constellation Interference (IAU CPS) in cooperation with the Aerospace Corp. is currently developing online services with global API access, such as SatChecker that enable satellite-avoidance [5,6].  However, dodging satellites would effectively decrease observing time in large sky surveys such as the LSST. In this contribution we report updates on satellite brightness mitigation efforts including technologies developed by both satellite constellation operators to darken their constellations as well as new IAU CPS tools for astronomers intended to help tackle this challenge. We also discuss the potential satellite constellation related losses in Solar System Object (SSO) discovery based on recent Sorcha simulations [7].

Acknowledgments: The authors acknowledge support from the National Science Foundation through the award Collaborative Research: SWIFT-SAT: Minimizing Science Impact on LSST and Observatories Worldwide through Accurate Predictions of Satellite Position and Optical Brightness NSF Award Numbers 2332736 and 2332735. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.

References:  [1] Ivezić, Ž., et al. (2019) “LSST: From science drivers to reference design and anticipated data products.” The Astrophysical Journal 873.2 : 111. [2] Tyson, J.A. et al. (2020) “Mitigation of LEO satellite brightness and trail effects on the Rubin Observatory LSST,” The Astronomical Journal, 160(5), p. 226. [3] Tyson, J.A., Snyder, A., Polin D., Rawls, M.L. and Ivezić Ž. (2024) "Expected Impact of Glints from Space Debris in the LSST." The Astrophysical Journal Letters 966, no. 2 : L38. [4] Hu, J.A. et al. (2022) “Satellite constellation avoidance with the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time,” The Astrophysical Journal Letters, 941(1). [5] IAU CPS SatChecker (https://satchecker.readthedocs.io/en/latest/fov.html), accessed 2025 May 2. [6] Skinner, M. A., Coursey, C.D., and George, E.R. (2023). "Dark and Quiet Skies: A predictive technique to mitigate the impact of satellite reflections on astronomical observatories." 74th International Astronautical Congress (IAC), Baku, Azerbaijan, 2-6 October 2023. [7] Schwamb, M. et al. “Sorcha: A Solar System Survey Simulator for the Legacy Survey of Space and Time”, The Planetary Science Journal (in press).

How to cite: Eggl, S., Cornwall, S., Dadighat, M., Jangid, N., Peel, M., Rawls, M. L., Skinner, M. A., Tyson, J. A., and Walker, C. E.: The Impact of Satellite Constellations on Solar System Science With LSST , EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-856, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-856, 2025.

F198
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EPSC-DPS2025-1056
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Sam Cornwall, Siegfried Eggl, Ari Heinze, and Ben Engebreth

The impending commencement of operations for the Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) is poised to initiate an order of magnitude increase in discoveries of Solar System Objects (Kurlander et al. 2025). Of particular interest to planetary defense efforts are near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) in the 0.1 to 1 km range. Due to the scale of the data set to be generated by LSST, delivering on these promises requires an efficient, scalable discovery algorithm. NEAs in particular require care, as their detections often occur on a dense background of Main Belt objects. 

HelioLinC3D (Eggl et al. 2020, Heinze et al. 2022), based on the HelioLinC algorithm (Holman et al. 2018) offers a new approach to linking asteroid detections. Using full scale datasets of simulated asteroid detections for the first year of LSST (Schwamb et. al.), we investigate the performance of HelioLinC3D for discovering NEAs from datasets containing both Main-Belt asteroids (MBAs) and false positives generated by image noise and differencing artifacts. In addition to the verification and testing of the performance of HelioLinC3D for NEAs, we provide discussion on the tuning and selection of various parameters in the algorithm for efficient identification of NEAs, through analysis of the ground truth provided through the simulated detections. 

 

References:

Eggl, S., Juric, M., Moeyens, J., & Jones, L. (2020), AAS/Division for Planetary Sciences Meeting Abstracts, 52, 211.01.

Heinze, A., Eggl, S., Juric, M., et al. (2022), in AAS/Division for Planetary Sciences Meeting Abstracts, Vol. 54, AAS/Division for Planetary Sciences Meeting Abstracts, 504.04 

Holman, M. J., Payne, M. J., Blankley, P., Janssen, R., & Kuindersma, S. (2018), AJ, 156, 135

Kurlander, J., Bernardinelli, P., Schwamb, M., Juric, M., Merritt, S., Murtagh, J., Oldag, D., West, M., Holman, M., Cornwall, S., Fedorets, G., Eggl, S., Kubica, J. "Predictions of the LSST Solar System Yield: Near-Earth Objects, Main Belt Asteroids, Jupiter Trojans, and Trans-Neptunian Objects", Planetary Science Journal, accepted.

Schwamb, M. et al. “Sorcha: A Solar System Survey Simulator for the Legacy Survey of Space and Time”, The Planetary Science Journal (in press)

How to cite: Cornwall, S., Eggl, S., Heinze, A., and Engebreth, B.: Assessment of HelioLinC3D performance for near-Earth Asteroid discovery on LSST predictions, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1056, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1056, 2025.

F199
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EPSC-DPS2025-1181
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Colin Orion Chandler, Dino Bektešvić, Pedro Bernardinelli, Jeremy Kubica, Andrew Connolly, Maxine West, Wilson Beebe, Drew Oldag, Maxwell Frissell, Steven Stetzler, Jacob Kurlander, Aren Heinze, Matthew Holman, J. Bryce Kalmbach, Carl Christofferson, Mario Jurić, Stephen Portillo, Hayden Smotherman, and Peter Whidden

The population of Trans-Neptunian Objects (TNOs) offers critical insights into the formation and dynamical evolution of the solar system and planetary systems elsewhere. Despite an estimated mass 20–100 times that of the asteroid belt, fewer than 5,000 TNOs have been discovered to date — a stark contrast to the 1.2 million cataloged Main-belt asteroids. This disparity stems primarily from the faintness of TNOs, whose large heliocentric distances push them below the single-exposure 5-sigma magnitude limits of most surveys.

 

Shift-and-stack techniques can help. By aligning and co-adding images along hypothetical minor planet trajectories, shift-and-stack searches can recover objects far fainter than the single-epoch detection limit. Our software, Kernel-Based Moving Object Detection (KBMOD; Whidden et al. 2019, Smotherman et al. 2021, Bektešević et al. 2025 in prep.), has demonstrated success in targeted surveys including the DECam Ecliptic Exploration Project (DEEP; see, e.g., Trilling et al. 2024, Trujillo et al. 2024, Smotherman et al. 2024, Napier et al. 2024, Bernardinelli et al. 2024, Strauss et al. 2024) and the New Horizons Subaru TNO Survey (Fraser et al. 2024), both optimized for TNO detection but limited in on-sky coverage.

 

The upcoming Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will change the landscape dramatically. LSST will survey the entire southern sky to single-visit depths of approximately 24th magnitude, with the potential to discover about 30,000 TNOs (Ivezić et al. 2019; Kurlander et al. 2025). Science Validation observations began in late 2024 using the LSST Commissioning Camera (ComCam), which features a central 9-CCD raft (144 megapixels) and a 40-by-40 arcminute field of view. ComCam has already acquired about 16,000 images, roughly 2,000 of which are earmarked for Data Preview 1 (DP1).

 

Adapting KBMOD for Rubin data introduces new challenges, including the massive data volume, observations in multiple filters, and a survey cadence not optimized for TNO discovery. We address these issues through several innovations. Chief among them is a novel method for accounting for Earth’s motion by reprojecting images into a reflex-corrected barycentric frame, enabling shift-and-stack searches that remain coherent across days to weeks. Additionally, we describe our handling of variable telescope rotation, heterogeneous filters, and efficient integration with the Rubin Butler data access system.

 

We present preliminary results from KBMOD searches of Science Validation data and discuss the prospects and challenges for TNO discovery in the LSST era.

How to cite: Chandler, C. O., Bektešvić, D., Bernardinelli, P., Kubica, J., Connolly, A., West, M., Beebe, W., Oldag, D., Frissell, M., Stetzler, S., Kurlander, J., Heinze, A., Holman, M., Kalmbach, J. B., Christofferson, C., Jurić, M., Portillo, S., Smotherman, H., and Whidden, P.: Faint Solar System Object Discovery in Rubin Data with Parallax-Corrected Shift-and-Stack, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1181, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1181, 2025.

F200
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EPSC-DPS2025-82
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Fraser Gillan and Łukasz Wyrzykowski

Time-domain astronomy, driven by the current wide-field surveys such as ATLAS (Tonry et al., 2018), Pan-STARRS (Chambers et al., 2016) and ZTF (Bellm et al., 2019) has become essential for studying rapidly evolving astrophysical phenomena. The upcoming Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST; Ivezic et al. 2019) at the Vera C. Rubin Observatory will also reach fainter objects than the current sky surveys and will revolutionise transient astrophysics, finding thousands of new events every single night. However, these surveys typically follow fixed cadences and revisit fields every few days to weeks, often in different filters, making high-cadence, single-filter monitoring challenging. The Black Hole Target and Observation Manager (BHTOM, bhtom.space; Wyrzykowski 2024) provides an effective complement to survey-based data. BHTOM enables user-defined observation requests for targeted, high-cadence photometric monitoring of individual objects. BHTOM currently accepts requests for targets for long-term or rapid photometric monitoring, such as transients, microlensing events, quasars, variable stars, and extrasolar planets. The BHTOM telescope network is made up of120 telescopes all over the world and includes robotic, manual, amateur, and professional facilities, ranging from 0.2 m to 2.5 m telescopes. All observations are automatically processed and standardised in BHTOM in order to provide science-ready data. BHTOM is not a broker; rather, it is the missing link between brokers and the telescopes. BHTOM also queries all possible multi-wavelength archives for photometry, maximising the available target information.

With the forthcoming release of BHTOM Version 3 (BHTOM 3), the platform is expanding to support solar system targets for the first time. Users will be able to submit target observation requests for comets and asteroids and define epochs. BHTOM 3 will query historical data archives for past observations and coordinate future observing campaigns based on predicted orbital parameters from JPL Horizons. In addition to scheduled monitoring, BHTOM 3 will allow for the rapid deployment of the telescope network in response to alerts from surveys, brokers, or community triggers. Previous high-cadence studies of solar system objects (e.g., Trigo-Rodriguez et al., 2008; Snodgrass et al., 2016; Gillan et al., 2024; Holt et al., 2024) have demonstrated the scientific potential of such coordinated time-domain approaches.

BHTOM offers a flexible, scalable, and low-barrier platform for the solar system and broader time-domain communities. By removing the need for individual telescope proposals, providing global sky coverage, and delivering consistent, science-ready data products across diverse instruments, BHTOM facilitates rapid and coordinated observations, enhancing the scientific potential of current and upcoming surveys.

References

Bellm, Eric C. et al. (Jan. 2019). “The Zwicky Transient Facility: System Overview, Performance, and First Results”. In: 131.995, p. 018002. doi: 10.1088/1538-3873/aaecbe. arXiv: 1902.01932 [astro-ph.IM].

Chambers, K. C. et al. (Dec. 2016). “The Pan-STARRS1 Surveys”. In: arXiv e-prints, arXiv:1612.05560, arXiv:1612.05560. doi: 10.48550/arXiv.1612.05560. arXiv: 1612.05560 [astro-ph.IM].

Gillan, A. Fraser et al. (Jan. 2024). “Dust Production Rates in Jupiter-family Comets: A Two Year Study with ATLAS Photometry”. In: 5.1,25, p. 25. doi: 10.3847/PSJ/ad1394. arXiv: 2312.06817 [astro-ph.EP].

Holt, Carrie E. et al. (Dec. 2024). “Brightness Behavior of Distant Oort Cloud Comets”. In: 5.12, 273, p. 273. doi: 10.3847/PSJ/ad8e38.

Ivezi´c, Zeljko et al. (Mar. 2019). “LSST: From Science Drivers to Reference Design and Anticipated Data Products”. In: 873.2, 111, p. 111. doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab042c. arXiv: 0805.2366 [astro-ph].

Snodgrass, Colin et al. (Nov. 2016). “The perihelion activity of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko as seen by robotic telescopes”. In: 462, S138–S145. doi: 10 . 1093 / mnras / stw2300. arXiv: 1610 . 06407 [astro-ph.EP].

Tonry, J. L. et al. (June 2018). “ATLAS: A High-cadence All-sky Survey System”. In: 130.988, p. 064505. doi: 10 . 1088 / 1538 - 3873 / aabadf.arXiv: 1802.00879 [astro-ph.IM].

Trigo-Rodriguez, J. M. et al. (July 2008). “Outburst activity in comets. I. Continuous monitoring of comet 29P/Schwassmann-Wachmann 1”. In: 485.2, pp. 599–606. doi: 10.1051/0004-6361:20078666.

Wyrzykowski, Lukasz (Jan. 2024). “Power of many - BHTOM telescope network for time-domain astronomy”. In: What Was That? - Planning ESO Follow up for Transients, Variables, and Solar System Objects in the Era of LSST, 4, p. 4. doi: 10.5281/zenodo.10571539.

How to cite: Gillan, F. and Wyrzykowski, Ł.: BHTOM: The Power of Many, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-82, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-82, 2025.

F201
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EPSC-DPS2025-1036
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Ryan Lyttle, Megan Schwamb, Pedro Bernardinelli, Steph Merritt, Grigori Fedorets, Sam Cornwall, Mario Jurić, Matthew Holman, Jake Kurlander, Siegfried Eggl, Drew Oldag, Max West, Jeremy Kubica, Joseph Murtagh, Lynne Jones, and Peter Yoachim

Previous wide-field surveys have observed a sharp decline in the radial distribution of Kuiper Belt Objects (KBOs) around 50 au, known as the Kuiper Cliff. Recently, the New Horizons Subaru TNO (Trans-Neptunian object) Survey found an increase in the radial distribution of KBOs at 70 au (using the shift-and-stack method with a r-band limiting magnitude of 26.5). From these results, Fraser et al. (2024) posit that the existence of a previously unknown secondary belt/population of distant small bodies beyond the Kuiper belt can explain the uptick in detections beyond  70 au. 

To further test and constrain this population model, we used data from the Dark Energy Survey (DES). The DES, with a limiting magnitude of 23.8 in r-band, discovered 812 KBOs (Bernardinelli et al., 2022), but none are consistent with a second distant belt of objects. Using the constraints from DES and the New Horizons Subaru TNO Survey, we will examine implications for the Vera C. Rubin Observatory to discover this distant belt if it exists. Starting later this year, the Rubin Observatory will begin science operations and start taking images of the sky as part of the Legacy Survey of Space and Time. The LSST’s capability to detect this distant small body population will be unprecedented, given its significantly increased sky coverage (~20,000 square degrees)  and depth (24.5 in r-mag). Alongside predictions for its single exposures, we created predictions for LSST’s discovery rate when using the shift-and-stack techniques in the deep drilling fields, which is expected to push the detection limit to 27 mag.

How to cite: Lyttle, R., Schwamb, M., Bernardinelli, P., Merritt, S., Fedorets, G., Cornwall, S., Jurić, M., Holman, M., Kurlander, J., Eggl, S., Oldag, D., West, M., Kubica, J., Murtagh, J., Jones, L., and Yoachim, P.: Observational Constraints on a Distant Belt Beyond the Kuiper Belt with the Dark Energy Survey and Prospects for Discoverability with Rubin Observatory, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1036, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1036, 2025.

F202
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EPSC-DPS2025-1788
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Grigori Fedorets

Background:  Earth’s temporary satellites, or minimoons, is a steady-state sub-population of near-Earth asteroids captured on a temporary orbit around the Earth (Granvik et al. 2012). It has been estimated that at any given time, the largest object on a temporary geocentric orbit is about 80 cm in diameter, and an object with a 3 m diameter appears every 10 years (Fedorets et al. 2017). Theoretical predictions indicate that temporary moons spend on average around nine months in the Earth’s vicinity, making three orbits. Their population is largely uncharted physically, as only two objects have been discovered so far. Moreover, recent results indicate that minimoons are also originating from Lunar impacts in addition to the main belt (Jedicke et al. 2025). Studying minimoons on a population level opens the path to bridge the gap in the size-frequency distribution studies of near-Earth asteroids between decametre-scale asteroids and small grains. 

Where does LSST stand? LSST is predicted to be the most prominent discovery machine for LSST (Fedorets et al. 2020). It is predicted that 1-5 minimoons can be discovered with LSST every year, effectively enabling their  population-level studies for the first time. However, in the course of the work it has been identified that the exceptional nature of minimoon orbits poses challenges when attempting to use the baseline small Solar System tools  tools. 

Synthetic population: For the study, we utilise the synthetic population of minimoons (Fedorets et al. 2017) and forward-model itto simulate LSST detections  using the state-of-the-art LSST survey simulator Sorcha (Merritt et al., 2025), assigning synthetic object typical small NEO colours.

Alert stream interfacing: We are building a lightweight  listening tool based on the broker architecture to enable the dedicated treatment of only the long streaks that indicate close passages to the Earth. Due to very rapid movement over the sky, we also include singleton observations.

Linking: the main linking algoritm in use for LSST uses a heliocentric linking paradigm. Although suitable for a general small Solar System case, it is not optimal for minimoons . We will discuss the selection of the suitable linking algorithms to enable the most efficient identification of minimoons from the LSST alert stream.

References: Granvik et al. (2012) ), Icarus 218, 262 – 277, Fedorets et al. (2017) Icarus 285, 83 – 94, Fedorets et al. (2020) Icarus 338 113517, Merritt et al. (2025) Accepted to AJ, Jedicke et al. (2025) Accepted to Icarus.

How to cite: Fedorets, G.: Detecting minimoons with LSST -- building a dedicated approach, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-1788, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-1788, 2025.

F203
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EPSC-DPS2025-1123
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On-site presentation
Early LSST Results: The view from the Minor Planet Center
(withdrawn after no-show)
Matthew Payne and Federica Spoto
F204
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EPSC-DPS2025-652
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On-site presentation
Matthew Holman, Kevin Napier, and Matthew Payne

We present a search for distant planets in Pan-STARRS1. We calibrated our search by injecting an isotropic control population of synthetic detections into Pan-STARRS1 source catalogs, providing a high-fidelity approximation to injecting synthetic sources at the image level. We found that our method is sensitive to a wide range of distances, as well as all rates and directions of motion. We recovered 692 solar system objects, including 642 TNOs, 23 of which are dwarf planets. By raw number of detections, this makes our search the third most productive Kuiper Belt survey to date, in spite of the fact that we did not explicitly search for objects closer than 80 au. Although we did not find Planet Nine or any other planetary objects, we were able to show that the remaining parameter space for Planet Nine is highly concentrated in the galactic plane.   We are in the process of extending our search to interior to 80 au.  The lessons learned in our search are directly applicable to upcoming searches with data from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time.

How to cite: Holman, M., Napier, K., and Payne, M.: A Pan-STARRS Search for Distant Planets, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-652, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-652, 2025.

F205
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EPSC-DPS2025-385
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On-site presentation
Aren Heinze, Jake Kurlander, and Mario Juric

While most asteroid surveys aim to image each survey field four times per night, the Vera Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) cadence of two repeat visits per night cannot confidently identify new asteroids in a single night's data. Instead, an asteroid must be linked across several nights before it can be discovered. This multi-night discovery paradigm requires new algorithms and methods, as well as many times more compute power. Four images per night is an established standard for good reason, and surveys that use it will continue to make important contributions in the LSST era. But in spite of serious challenges, the LSST's aggressive new strategy has been successfully implemented. We describe these challenges and accomplishments, the intrinsic limitations of multi-night linking, and science highlights from early asteroid discoveries.

How to cite: Heinze, A., Kurlander, J., and Juric, M.: Two detections per night: implementing LSST's audacious asteroid-finding paradigm, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-385, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-385, 2025.

F206
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EPSC-DPS2025-979
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ECP
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On-site presentation
Pedro H. Bernardinelli, Matthew Holman, Meg Schwamb, Kevin Napier, Thomas Ruch, Joseph Murtagh, Ryan Lyttle, Rahil Makadia, Drew Oldag, Max West, Wilson Beebe, Hanno Rein, Carrie Holt, Siegfried Eggl, Colin Chandler, Jeremy Kubica, and Mario Juric

Starting later this year, the Vera C. Rubin’s Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will begin discovering millions of new Solar System objects, ranging from the closest near-Earth asteroids to the most distant trans-Neptunian objects.  Fitting the orbits of those objects (the process of taking the observed on-sky positions and velocities of newly discovered moving Solar System objects and transforming them into orbital parameters) is essential to LSST Solar System science.  To address this challenge, we present Layup, a modern and open-source orbit fitting software suite built in Python and C++, driven with the ephemeris quality orbit integrator ASSIST (Holman et al 2023) and built in collaboration with the LINCC Framework team of software engineers, as part of their Incubator program. In addition to handling the large data volume expected from LSST, Layup also has the capability to handle observations from shift-and-stack and ranging data, routines for converting orbits and uncertainties across different formats, and a special-purpose integrator to derive cometary semi-major axes upon entry in the planetary region, as well as accurate, publication quality visualization tools.



How to cite: Bernardinelli, P. H., Holman, M., Schwamb, M., Napier, K., Ruch, T., Murtagh, J., Lyttle, R., Makadia, R., Oldag, D., West, M., Beebe, W., Rein, H., Holt, C., Eggl, S., Chandler, C., Kubica, J., and Juric, M.: Layup: orbit fitting at LSST Scale, EPSC-DPS Joint Meeting 2025, Helsinki, Finland, 7–13 Sep 2025, EPSC-DPS2025-979, https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc-dps2025-979, 2025.