S15 | Beyond UHI – new urban overheating indicators for science and policy
Beyond UHI – new urban overheating indicators for science and policy
Conveners: Negin Nazarian, Alberto Martilli, Benjamin Bechtel
Orals
| Wed, 09 Jul, 11:00–13:00 (CEST)|Room Leeuwen 1
Posters
| Attendance Wed, 09 Jul, 17:15–18:30 (CEST) | Display Tue, 08 Jul, 13:30–Thu, 10 Jul, 13:30|Balcony
Orals |
Wed, 11:00
Wed, 17:15
The Urban Heat Island (UHI) is likely the most well-known concept from our field and the one that created most public awareness beyond our community. The simplicity and intuitive character of the island analogy were thereby essential for its success but likewise encompasses considerable conceptual limitations and misinterpretations. For instance, an island implies a defined background – the sea level –, while the rural background temperature can be quite variable around a city. Likewise, the island suggests a static character of its topography, but the UHI has a strong diurnal, inter-diurnal, and seasonal variation. Moreover, the varying spatial and temporal characteristics of the different UHI types create confusion and complicate the application of the concept. Finally, the UHI is a relative parameter, which is characteristic of the partial urban effect but only remotely informative regarding the absolute heat exposure.

Therefore, it has been argued before, that we should focus on urban overheating, intra-urban heat variation, more human-centric approaches, and biometeorological variables. On the other hand, to gain impact in policy, metrics need to be simple, understandable and fit-for purpose (i.e. for assessing urban overheating risks and the effectiveness of mitigation measures), and the respective data needs to be available. If we do not manage to deliver these metrics, other players will fill the gap, who might be less concerned about scientific rigor.

In this session, we want to discuss these conflicting priorities and ways ahead. We seek contributions beyond UHI indicators, which fulfil the above criteria and ideally build on the success of the UHI to deliver policy-relevant information.

Orals: Wed, 9 Jul, 11:00–13:00 | Room Leeuwen 1

Chairpersons: Benjamin Bechtel, Negin Nazarian, Alberto Martilli
Setting the scene
11:00–11:15
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ICUC12-839
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Onsite presentation
Alberto Martilli, E. Scott Krayenhoff, and Negin Nazarian

Five years ago the short article Is the Urban Heat Island intensity relevant for heat mitigation studies? (Martilli et al, Urban Climate, 2020) was published, detailing the limitations and shortcomings of using the Urban Heat Island Intensity (UHII) as an indicator of overheating in urban areas. This is because the rural reference, used to estimate the UHII, changes in space and time, and furthermore, it does not represent thermally comfortable conditions. It was also stressed in that paper that urban areas generate unique local climate signatures, not simply perturbations added on top of rural surface climates. Consequently, the UHII is not even a measure of the maximum impact that a heat mitigation/adaptation strategy can provide. On this basis, the aims of this contribution are to: 1) critically analyze the impact of the previously mentioned article on the field, based on the more than 200 citations it has received so far, 2) define features that relevant indexes for heat mitigation strategies should include, and 3) show how they can be used to evaluate the impacts of adaptation/mitigation strategies on negative aspects of urban overheating. To illustrate the last two points, examples from modelling studies over cities in different contexts are discussed.

How to cite: Martilli, A., Krayenhoff, E. S., and Nazarian, N.: Beyond UHI – how to build and use relevant indicators for heat mitigation studies, 12th International Conference on Urban Climate, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 7–11 Jul 2025, ICUC12-839, https://doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-839, 2025.

Indices and case studies
11:15–11:30
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ICUC12-314
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Onsite presentation
Jonas Kittner, Daniel Fenner, Matthias Demuzere, and Benjamin Bechtel

The urban heat island is one of the most studied phenomena in urban climatology. Numerous studies have revealed the heterogeneous nature of air temperature within cities, manifesting as an urban heat “archipelago”. With the introduction of the Local Climate Zones (LCZ), close attention has been paid to the definition and description of “urban” sites. However, what remains understudied and inconsistent across studies is the “sea level” of the “archipelago”, i.e., defining the surrounding temperature, unaffected by the city. Here, we compare definitions and requirements of that “sea level”.

Most typically, professional weather stations at airports are used as a “rural” reference. However, these stations are not ubiquitously available and suffer from local effects such as a high fraction of impervious surfaces and meso-scale effects like urban heat advection when located downwind of the city. Crowd weather stations (CWS), which have gained attention in recent years in urban climate studies due to their abundance, are often affected by nearby buildings and are mostly available in urban areas. ERA5-Land reanalysis data, on the other hand, is available globally and does not consider urban areas; hence, it provides an independent reference.

In this study, all three data sources were compared against an ideal case of multiple professional weather stations placed around the city. We find that ERA5-Land data is a consistent and ubiquitously available reference for the definition of “rural”. Using it as a universal rural reference allows for comparison between cities and further enables the potential of CWS, even in regions with few stations and a lack of professional rural weather stations. Establishing a consistent “sea level” for urban air-temperature and UHI studies enables comparison between various cities globally and allows for the integration of different data sources, such as local networks of weather stations or CWS, on a larger scale.

How to cite: Kittner, J., Fenner, D., Demuzere, M., and Bechtel, B.: Finding the Sea Level - A universal rural reference for UHI-estimation, 12th International Conference on Urban Climate, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 7–11 Jul 2025, ICUC12-314, https://doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-314, 2025.

11:30–11:45
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ICUC12-214
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Onsite presentation
Marianne Bügelmayer-Blaschek, Tanja Tötzer, Patricia Molina, Paolo Gazzaneo, Venera Pavone, Giorgos Xekalakis, Chrysa Chatzicristaki, Isabel Gamallo, and Denis Havlik

As the climate crisis is widespread, causing enormous economic loss and fatalities, a comprehensive approach on assessing the resilience of urban areas is urgently needed. Urban areas accommodate 2/3 of the world's population and – due to their prevalence of built infrastructure and sealed surfaces – is especially vulnerable towards climate extremes such as heat or flooding. The past years have shown increasing intensities and frequencies in extremes, which are expected to intensify further due to climate change. Thus, the urban system needs to be transformed in a resilient way, meaning that it is able to cope with the shock of an extreme event, return to a stable state and adapt to changing framework conditions.

Resilience indicators are a useful tool for assessing and monitoring different aspects, such as hazard intensities (e.g. indicator maximum rainfall intensity per day), or how well the governance structure are set up to deal with shocks (e.g. % of public meetings dedicated to resilience in the city). Yet, not all indicators suggested by organizations, projects or norms are useful or usable for public authority. Therefore, within ClimEmpower, we compiled a comprehensive list of indicators (~500) covering multiple sectors. These were then discussed and short-listed with regional’ representatives to ensure that the selected indicators cover their needs, as well as – if possible - linked to available data and services.

How to cite: Bügelmayer-Blaschek, M., Tötzer, T., Molina, P., Gazzaneo, P., Pavone, V., Xekalakis, G., Chatzicristaki, C., Gamallo, I., and Havlik, D.: Indicators for urban climate resilience – availability, applicability, and usefulness, 12th International Conference on Urban Climate, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 7–11 Jul 2025, ICUC12-214, https://doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-214, 2025.

11:45–12:00
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ICUC12-416
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Onsite presentation
Thomas Lagelouze, Sandra Rome, Julia Hidalgo, and Sylvain Bigot

Given the impact of extreme temperatures on health, particularly in urban areas, the assessment of thermal comfort has become a central topic in the scientific community since the 20th century. Among the various indices developed for this purpose, this study aims to spatially analyze the thermal comfort of the urban areas of Grenoble and Toulouse (France) using the Operative temperature (Ot). The analysis covers the period from August 11 to August 26, 2023, corresponding to the longest and most intense heatwave recorded by Météo France during the summer of 2023 in the Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes and Occitanie regions.

The choice of Ot is based on its ability to define a variable for assessing daytime thermal comfort, which can subsequently be integrated into social vulnerability models initially developed for the nighttime phase. Although thermal comfort and social vulnerability share similarities, particularly in the construction of a composite index, some parameters, such as social predisposition factors, may overlap. Ot, by incorporating thermal exchanges between an individual and their environment through measurable climatic variables (air temperature, mean radiant temperature, wind speed), serves as a relevant indicator for an integrated approach to thermal comfort and social vulnerability.

The calculation of the variables necessary for composing the index was carried out using three models in urban climatology: SOLWEIG, URock, and TARGET. These models were forced by open-access geographical data (from IGN) and atmospheric data (ERA-5). The result is a composite index expressed as an equivalent temperature, with a spatial resolution of one meter. This methodology makes it possible to identify the most severely affected zones in the urban areas studied during the daytime heatwave. Finally, this analysis also aims to assess the relevance of the Ot index for thermal comfort studies in comparison to other commonly used indices (such as UTCI, SET*, PET, PMV, etc.).

How to cite: Lagelouze, T., Rome, S., Hidalgo, J., and Bigot, S.: Application of operative temperature to characterize daytime thermal comfort in urban areas during a heatwave: the case of two French cities, 12th International Conference on Urban Climate, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 7–11 Jul 2025, ICUC12-416, https://doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-416, 2025.

12:00–12:15
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ICUC12-449
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Onsite presentation
Rajashree Kotharkar

Historically, urban heat island intensity has been a measure of urban heating and multiple researchers across the world have mapped the UHII for various cities. The limited signature of the urban heat island intensity is unable to explain and assess varied impacts of extreme heat on human settlements. The urban heat island intensity as a concept is limited to temperature variations and intensities whereas the challenge of extreme heat in cities goes beyond “hot-spot” identification, it is more about the impact of heat on various factors like human health, infrastructure, energy consumption, etc. The impact of extreme heat is more than just heating, it revolves around other heat indices which are governed by “Local Threshold”. The subject of local threshold remains underdeveloped and unexplored. Since the climate varies from location to location, the concept of a EHEs and its threshold often depends upon location, geographical conditions, degree of adaptation of the population and many other factors. This makes it necessary to have regionally specific warning regimes. Hence, it is important to address differential heat risks through the development of local thresholds at city level or even for a particular climatic region. The threshold values are set at a level associated with a negative human response as indicated by the long-term relationship between some measures of heat indices. There is a need to design the guidelines of heat resilience around “local threshold”. The study tries to propose the idea of hyperlocal local threshold centric approach for planning of heat resilience in a city. The study has 4 parts – determining mortality based local threshold, conducting LCZ based heat exposure study considering the local threshold and lastly, highlighting the importance of local threshold.

How to cite: Kotharkar, R.: Local Threshold as an effective heat index for building heat resilient cities., 12th International Conference on Urban Climate, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 7–11 Jul 2025, ICUC12-449, https://doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-449, 2025.

12:15–12:30
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ICUC12-1043
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Onsite presentation
Martin Hendel, Micaela Giove, Ghid Karam, Sophie Parison, and Laurent Royon

The performance of a number of urban cooling techniques has been thoroughly studied by the scientific community. However, decision-makers lack simple tools to spatially analyze their deployment as part of their urban cooling and climate change adaptation strategies. Among other indicators, a spatial assessment of the cooling potential of a given area is lacking.

To this end, we analyze the physical mechanisms on which these techniques are based and identify corresponding geographical indicators that influence their cooling performance. Depending on the cooling target, different energy balance equations are relevant. Solar irradiance, existing material properties and urban vegetation stand out as essential indicators for this purpose. These data also offer the advantage of often being easily accessible at high spatial resolutions by urban stakeholders. A simple empirical combination of these parameters is proposed for the analysis of daytime Urban Cooling Potential (UCP) which can be analyzed using GIS software.

Over the last ten years, our team has evaluated urban cooling techniques for approximately 20 different sites under radiative conditions, with fixed and mobile weather station monitoring, while the UCP has been mapped for a number of these sites.

In this communication, the UCP indicator will be presented and compared with daytime microclimatic measurements conducted at several monitored sites, in particular those studied during the ERDF UIA OASIS project, where ten schoolyards were monitored before and after transformation to evaluate the cooling effects of their transformation. The correlation of UCP and relative heat stress levels is discussed as well as paths for improvement of the UCP indicator as well as certain use cases by municipalities.

How to cite: Hendel, M., Giove, M., Karam, G., Parison, S., and Royon, L.: Physical and Geographical Analysis of Urban Heat: the Urban Cooling Potential Indicator, 12th International Conference on Urban Climate, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 7–11 Jul 2025, ICUC12-1043, https://doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-1043, 2025.

12:30–12:45
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ICUC12-662
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Onsite presentation
Ryoga Hiroki, Alvin Christopher Galang Varquez, Do Ngoc Khanh, Florent Renard, Lucille Alonso, I Dewa Gede Agung Junnaedhi, Manabu Kanda, and Atsushi Inagaki

The evaluation of thermal comfort in urban outdoor spaces has become increasingly important due to growing concerns about climate change and heat island effects. Many thermal comfort indices have been developed, but existing indices, such as the SET, assume steady-state conditions. Hence, it may not adequately capture outdoor thermal comfort in the short-term, especially under rapidly changing thermal environments (e.g., walking from indoors to outdoors). To address these limitations, this study proposes the Dynamic Standard Effective Temperature (D-SET), an index based on the principles of SET and the two-node model. D-SET provides a simplified yet approach to represent dynamic thermal comfort without necessitating the use of complex human physiological models. To develop the proposed index, comprehensive subject walking experiments were conducted in diverse climatic regions in Japan, France, and Indonesia. These experiments measured both physiological and psychological responses, such as skin temperature and thermal sensation votes (TSV), during transitional phases from indoor to outdoor environments. D-SET may enable the assessment of time-dependent thermal comfort and risks with reduced computational complexity, particularly in wide-area microclimate simulations and risk studies. By integrating temporal variations into the analysis, D-SET enhances the understanding and management of thermal risks in urban spaces, supporting the development of more adaptive and sustainable urban strategies. 

How to cite: Hiroki, R., Varquez, A. C. G., Khanh, D. N., Renard, F., Alonso, L., Agung Junnaedhi, I. D. G., Kanda, M., and Inagaki, A.: Development of Dynamic Standard Effective Temperature (D-SET) for evaluation of the change in thermal comfort over time. , 12th International Conference on Urban Climate, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 7–11 Jul 2025, ICUC12-662, https://doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-662, 2025.

12:45–13:00

Posters: Wed, 9 Jul, 17:15–18:30 | Balcony

Display time: Tue, 8 Jul, 13:30–Thu, 10 Jul, 13:30
B31
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ICUC12-266
Sisi Chen, Lihua Zhao, Huihui Zhao, and Qi Li

Indoor overheating during extreme heat waves events is a major concern to human health, particularly for people vulnerable to prolonged exposure to hot and humid climate without access to air conditioning. However, Current methods for assessing indoor overheating risk lack a balance between complexity and practicality, either relying on intricate indicators or oversimplifying assessments, compromising accuracy and applicability. This paper developed a new evaluation method for indoor overheating risk that is based on the heat-related health of occupants but using only simple environmental parameters as metrics. Firstly, an analysis was conducted on the indoor thermal environment that residents may experience during heatwave events compounded with power outages in Guangzhou, a typical city in hot and humid climate. Subsequently, incorporating the human thermal regulation model - JOS-3, the physiological parameters of residents during such events were computed. Finally, sensitivity analysis was employed to identify the most influential factors, and the metrics and thresholds for indoor overheating were determined based on limits for body water loss rate and core temperature of healthy young adults and elderly individuals. The results showed that heat index hazard hours (HIHH27) and maximum heat index HImax can be utilized to evaluate the severity and intensity of indoor overheating during heatwaves in hot and humid areas respectively. When HIHH27 exceeds 1174°C·h (850°C·h) or HImax approaches 55°C in buildings occupied by young adults (elderly), serious indoor overheating incidents occur, posing a significant heat risk to occupant.

How to cite: Chen, S., Zhao, L., Zhao, H., and Li, Q.: A Novel Approach to Assessing Residential Overheating Health Risks during Heatwaves in Guangzhou, 12th International Conference on Urban Climate, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 7–11 Jul 2025, ICUC12-266, https://doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-266, 2025.

B32
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ICUC12-957
Leon Wang, Yurong Shi, Peng Liu, Forough Gholami, Shatha Arslan, Sharon Lam, Semiha Caglayan, Joanna Klees van Bommel, Anneke Olvera, and Gregory Richardson

    Urban heat island (UHI) effects exacerbate extreme heat risks, particularly for vulnerable populations in urban areas, as climate change intensifies the frequency and severity of heat events, resulting in serious health impacts. Surface and air temperature maps, along with heat-health vulnerability maps, are crucial tools for understanding and mitigating heat-related risks. These enable stakeholders to identify the key drivers of heat exposure, evaluate community impacts, and prioritize targeted interventions. Currently, Canada lacks a pan-Canadian approach for developing standardized surface and air temperature and heat-health vulnerability maps, which are essential for comparing heat-health exposure and vulnerability across various communities. To fill this gap, researchers at Concordia University and Toronto and Region Conservation Authority (TRCA) are leading two complementary projects, supported by the Standards Council of Canada (SCC) and Health Canada (HC). These projects aim to develop technical guidance for advancing surface and air temperature maps and heat-health vulnerability maps in Canada, focusing on identifying and recommending best practices that are adaptable and accessible for communities across the country.

    The projects will involve a comprehensive analysis of existing mapping methodologies through a systematic literature review and active engagement with subject matter experts and map users through a national workshop and multi-disciplinary steering committees to gather feedback. The final report will deliver a detailed evaluation of mapping methodologies, covering available data sources, technical requirements, temporal and spatial scales, implementation complexity, target audiences, and use cases. For surface and air temperature mapping, the study will explore methods of remote sensing, numerical models, field observations, reanalysis data, and coupled method frameworks. For heat-health vulnerability maps, factors that influence people’s vulnerability and adaptive capacity to extreme heat will be evaluated. The project emphasizes a consensus-based approach to determine practical and achievable mapping methods that may lay the foundation for a potential National Standard of Canada.

How to cite: Wang, L., Shi, Y., Liu, P., Gholami, F., Arslan, S., Lam, S., Caglayan, S., Klees van Bommel, J., Olvera, A., and Richardson, G.: Development of Technical Guidance to Advance Surface and Air Temperature Mapping and Heat-health Vulnerability Mapping in Canada, 12th International Conference on Urban Climate, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 7–11 Jul 2025, ICUC12-957, https://doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-957, 2025.

B33
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ICUC12-460
Joyce Yang, Lei Zhao, Keer Zhang, and Yifan Cheng

As heat stress increasingly threatens urban livability worldwide, it is essential to improve our understanding of its drivers and mitigation. While temperature has historically been the focus of heat stress research, the role of humidity is gaining recognition due to its contributions to both heat stress and mitigation. However, there are conflicting findings on the relative role of humidity, with some studies suggesting that drying can offset the warming effect of air temperature increases, and others suggesting that projected moistening will exacerbate humid heat. This uncertainty is compounded by the complex nature of humidity, both as a physical variable and in its measurement through diverse metrics. In this study, we seek to elucidate 1) global patterns of urban-rural moisture differences and 2) the relative roles of humidity and temperature contributions to urban humid heat. We use urban climate simulations from the Community Earth System Model and observations from a global set of urban-rural weather stations. We derive physics-based, theoretical expressions to quantify the relative roles of humidity and temperature towards humid heat stress. Our findings reveal that humidity metric choice fundamentally shapes 1) our understanding of urban-rural humidity differences and 2) our ability to differentiate between humidity and temperature contributions. Consequently, our understanding of the impacts of urbanization on humidity and humid heat stress are strongly influenced by metric selection. These results provide insight into the mechanisms of urban heat stress and can inform climate-sensitive urban planning to mitigate future urban heat risks.

How to cite: Yang, J., Zhao, L., Zhang, K., and Cheng, Y.: Humidity metric choice shapes our understanding of urban heat stress and its underlying mechanisms  , 12th International Conference on Urban Climate, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 7–11 Jul 2025, ICUC12-460, https://doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-460, 2025.

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