Convener: M. A. Liniger
Co-Conveners: G. J. van Oldenborgh
and F. J. Doblas-Reyes
Tuesday, 21 Apr 2009 Room: 13
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08:30–08:45
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EGU2009-3834 Going seamless - first steps by impacts users A.P. Morse, C. Caminade, and A. E. Jones
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08:45–09:00
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EGU2009-4879 Decadal prediction with the ECMWF coupled system F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Weisheimer, and T.N. Palmer
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09:00–09:15
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EGU2009-12173 Predictability of observed and modeled North Atlantic sea surface temperatures (withdrawn) L. Zanna and E. Tziperman
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09:15–09:30
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EGU2009-12005 Quantifying the role of ocean initial conditions in decadal prediction D. Matei, H. Pohlmann, W. Müller, H. Haak, J. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke
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09:30–09:45
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EGU2009-661 Impact of realistic soil moisture initialization on seasonal forecasting of continental near surface variables. M. Boisserie, S. Cocke, and D. W. Shin
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09:45–10:00
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EGU2009-8303 The Impact of SST-anomaly Gradients on Cloud Base and Precipitation - Implications for Long Range Forecasts T. D. Hewson
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COFFEE BREAK |
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10:30–11:15
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EGU2009-1397 From climate predictability to end user applications: on the route to more reliable seasonal ensemble forecasts (Outstanding Young Scientist Lecture) A. P. Weigel, M. A. Liniger, and C. Appenzeller
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11:15–11:30
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EGU2009-4862 Predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe A. Weisheimer, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and T.N. Palmer
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11:30–11:45
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EGU2009-5434 Application of seasonal rainfall forecasts and satellite rainfall observations to crop yield forecasting for Africa H.L. Greatrex, D.I.F. Grimes, and T.R. Wheeler
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11:45–12:00
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EGU2009-2689 Predictability study of summer Tmax interannual variability over Italy: an application of the EUROSIP seasonal forecast system V. Pavan, C. Cacciamani, S. Marchesi, and F. Doblas-Reyes
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LUNCH BREAK |
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13:30–13:45
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EGU2009-8722 Understanding the Origin of the Anomalously Cold European Winter 2005/06 Using Relaxation Experiments T. Jung, T.N. Palmer, M.J. Rodwell, and S. Serrar
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13:45–14:00
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EGU2009-6937 Relation between hemispheric scale factors and the occurrence of winter storms on seasonal time scales and its predictability D. Renggli, G. C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, and E. Faust
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14:00–14:15
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EGU2009-9000 Seasonal Predictability and Dynamical Downscaling in Spain using ECMWF-System3 and RCA Models M. D. Frias, A. S. Cofiño, E. Diez, B. Orfila, J. Fernandez, and J. M. Gutierrez
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14:15–14:30
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EGU2009-4327 The new Met Office seasonal forecasting system A. Arribas, M. Glover, K. Peterson, M. Gordon, A. Maidens, D. Fereday, and A. Scaife
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14:30–14:45
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EGU2009-12541 Tropical cyclone count predictability on seasonal time-scale using dynamical climate forecasts A. Alessandri, S. Gualdi, E. Scoccimarro, S. Masina, P. Di Pietro, and A Navarra
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14:45–15:00
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EGU2009-13236 Seasonal prediction for temperature anomalies in Romania using a statistical downscaling model applied to the ECMWF outputs A. Busuioc, L. Cazacioc, and Al. Dumitrescu
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