Oral Programme CL7

CL7

Monthly, seasonal and decadal forecasting (including Outstanding Young Scientist Lecture)
Convener: M. A. Liniger  | Co-Conveners: G. J. van Oldenborgh , F. J. Doblas-Reyes 
Oral Programme
 / Tue, 21 Apr, 08:30–12:00  / 13:30–15:00  / Room 13
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Tue, 21 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Halls X/Y

Tuesday, 21 April 2009
Room 13
08:30–08:45
EGU2009-3834
Going seamless - first steps by impacts users
A.P. Morse, C. Caminade, and A. E. Jones
08:45–09:00
EGU2009-4879
Decadal prediction with the ECMWF coupled system
F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Weisheimer, and T.N. Palmer
09:00–09:15 EGU2009-12173
Predictability of observed and modeled North Atlantic sea surface temperatures (withdrawn)
L. Zanna and E. Tziperman
09:15–09:30
EGU2009-12005
Quantifying the role of ocean initial conditions in decadal prediction
D. Matei, H. Pohlmann, W. Müller, H. Haak, J. Jungclaus, and J. Marotzke
09:30–09:45
EGU2009-661
Impact of realistic soil moisture initialization on seasonal forecasting of continental near surface variables.
M. Boisserie, S. Cocke, and D. W. Shin
09:45–10:00
EGU2009-8303
The Impact of SST-anomaly Gradients on Cloud Base and Precipitation - Implications for Long Range Forecasts
T. D. Hewson
COFFEE BREAK
10:30–11:15
EGU2009-1397
From climate predictability to end user applications: on the route to more reliable seasonal ensemble forecasts (Outstanding Young Scientist Lecture)
A. P. Weigel, M. A. Liniger, and C. Appenzeller
11:15–11:30
EGU2009-4862
Predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe
A. Weisheimer, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and T.N. Palmer
11:30–11:45
EGU2009-5434
Application of seasonal rainfall forecasts and satellite rainfall observations to crop yield forecasting for Africa
H.L. Greatrex, D.I.F. Grimes, and T.R. Wheeler
11:45–12:00
EGU2009-2689
Predictability study of summer Tmax interannual variability over Italy: an application of the EUROSIP seasonal forecast system
V. Pavan, C. Cacciamani, S. Marchesi, and F. Doblas-Reyes
LUNCH BREAK
13:30–13:45
EGU2009-8722
Understanding the Origin of the Anomalously Cold European Winter 2005/06 Using Relaxation Experiments
T. Jung, T.N. Palmer, M.J. Rodwell, and S. Serrar
13:45–14:00
EGU2009-6937
Relation between hemispheric scale factors and the occurrence of winter storms on seasonal time scales and its predictability
D. Renggli, G. C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, and E. Faust
14:00–14:15
EGU2009-9000
Seasonal Predictability and Dynamical Downscaling in Spain using ECMWF-System3 and RCA Models
M. D. Frias, A. S. Cofiño, E. Diez, B. Orfila, J. Fernandez, and J. M. Gutierrez
14:15–14:30
EGU2009-4327
The new Met Office seasonal forecasting system
A. Arribas, M. Glover, K. Peterson, M. Gordon, A. Maidens, D. Fereday, and A. Scaife
14:30–14:45
EGU2009-12541
Tropical cyclone count predictability on seasonal time-scale using dynamical climate forecasts
A. Alessandri, S. Gualdi, E. Scoccimarro, S. Masina, P. Di Pietro, and A Navarra
14:45–15:00
EGU2009-13236
Seasonal prediction for temperature anomalies in Romania using a statistical downscaling model applied to the ECMWF outputs
A. Busuioc, L. Cazacioc, and Al. Dumitrescu