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Oral Programme CL3.3/NP5.4

CL3.3/NP5.4

Centennial, decadal, seasonal and monthly climate predictions (co-organized)
Convener: M. A. Liniger 
Co-Conveners: G. J. van Oldenborgh , S. Vannitsem , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , R. Knutti , J. D. Annan , K. Frieler 
Session details
Oral Programme
 / Wed, 25 Apr, 13:30–17:00  / Room 13
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Wed, 25 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Hall Z
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Wednesday, 25 Apr 2012
Room 13
Chairperson: Mark Liniger
13:30–13:45
EGU2012-1888
A perturbed land surface parameter experiment with the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system (solicited)
H.L. Cloke, A. Weisheimer, F. Pappenberger, and T.N. Palmer
13:45–14:00
EGU2012-5016
Impact of snow initialization on sub-seasonal forecasts
Y. ORSOLINI, R. SENAN, A. CARRASCO, G. BALSAMO, P. DOBLAS-REYES, F. VITART, A. WEISHEIMER, and R. BENESTAD
14:00–14:15
EGU2012-6007
Evaluating the sensitivity of local temperature distributions to global climate change
S C Chapman, D A Stainforth, and N W Watkins
14:15–14:30
EGU2012-8445
The new Met Office strategy for seasonal forecasts
T. D. Hewson
14:30–14:45
EGU2012-8742
Towards a Seasonal Prediction System using MPI-ESM
J. Baehr, M. Botzet, K. Froehlich, L. Kornblueh, S. Tietsche, and W. Mueller
14:45–15:00
EGU2012-10098
Seasonal and decadal predictions toward climate services.
C. Buontempo, C. Hewitt, and A. Maidens
COFFEE BREAK
Chairperson: Andreas Fischer
15:30–15:45
EGU2012-9729 | Presentation
Do quantitative decadal forecasts from GCMs provide decision relevant skill? (solicited)
E B Suckling and L A Smith
15:45–16:00
EGU2012-11176
Decadal forecasts with CNRM-CM5. Sensitivity to the inclusion of the stratosphere
J.-F. Guérémy and N. Laanaia
16:00–16:15
EGU2012-8473
Probabilistic climate and agroclimatic scenarios for Europe (PRASCE project results)
M. Dubrovsky and M. Trnka
16:15–16:30
EGU2012-1873
Relations between RCMs and GCMs in the ENSEMBLES simulations
C. Kerkhoff, H. R. Künsch, and C. Schär
16:30–16:45
EGU2012-6073
Quantifying uncertainty in the dynamical response to ozone recovery
P.A.G. Watson, D.J. Karoly, M.R. Allen, N. Faull, and D.S. Lee
16:45–17:00
EGU2012-3264
Examination of Climate Response to Historical and Projected Forcings Over Years 850-4000 with the MIT IGSM.
A. Sokolov, J. Scott, E. Monier, C.A. Schlosser, D. Kicklighter, and S. Dutkiewicz