Oral Programme CL3.3/NP5.4
CL3.3/NP5.4 Centennial, decadal, seasonal and monthly climate predictions (co-organized) |
Convener: Mark A. Liniger | Co-Conveners: Geert Jan van Oldenborgh (deceased) , Stéphane Vannitsem , Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes , Reto Knutti , James Annan , Katja Frieler |
Oral Programme
/ Wed, 25 Apr, 13:30–17:00
/ Room 13
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Wed, 25 Apr, 17:30–19:00
/ Hall Z
|
Wednesday, 25 April 2012 Room 13 Chairperson: Mark Liniger |
|
13:30–13:45 |
EGU2012-1888
A perturbed land surface parameter experiment with the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system (solicited) H.L. Cloke, A. Weisheimer, F. Pappenberger, and T.N. Palmer |
13:45–14:00 |
EGU2012-5016
Impact of snow initialization on sub-seasonal forecasts Y. ORSOLINI, R. SENAN, A. CARRASCO, G. BALSAMO, P. DOBLAS-REYES, F. VITART, A. WEISHEIMER, and R. BENESTAD |
14:00–14:15 |
EGU2012-6007
Evaluating the sensitivity of local temperature distributions to global climate change S C Chapman, D A Stainforth, and N W Watkins |
14:15–14:30 |
EGU2012-8445
The new Met Office strategy for seasonal forecasts T. D. Hewson |
14:30–14:45 |
EGU2012-8742
Towards a Seasonal Prediction System using MPI-ESM J. Baehr, M. Botzet, K. Froehlich, L. Kornblueh, S. Tietsche, and W. Mueller |
14:45–15:00 |
EGU2012-10098
Seasonal and decadal predictions toward climate services. C. Buontempo, C. Hewitt, and A. Maidens |
COFFEE BREAK
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15:30–15:45 |
EGU2012-9729
| presentation
Do quantitative decadal forecasts from GCMs provide decision relevant skill? (solicited) E B Suckling and L A Smith |
15:45–16:00 |
EGU2012-11176
Decadal forecasts with CNRM-CM5. Sensitivity to the inclusion of the stratosphere J.-F. Guérémy and N. Laanaia |
16:00–16:15 |
EGU2012-8473
Probabilistic climate and agroclimatic scenarios for Europe (PRASCE project results) M. Dubrovsky and M. Trnka |
16:15–16:30 |
EGU2012-1873
Relations between RCMs and GCMs in the ENSEMBLES simulations C. Kerkhoff, H. R. Künsch, and C. Schär |
16:30–16:45 |
EGU2012-6073
Quantifying uncertainty in the dynamical response to ozone recovery P.A.G. Watson, D.J. Karoly, M.R. Allen, N. Faull, and D.S. Lee |
16:45–17:00 |
EGU2012-3264
Examination of Climate Response to Historical and Projected Forcings Over Years 850-4000 with the MIT IGSM. A. Sokolov, J. Scott, E. Monier, C.A. Schlosser, D. Kicklighter, and S. Dutkiewicz |