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Oral Programme SM5.4/NH4.6

SM5.4/NH4.6

Time-dependent earthquake occurrence and seismic hazard: physics and statistics (co-organized)
Convener: G. Zöller 
Co-Conveners: M. Cocco , M. Naylor 
Session details
Oral Programme
 / Thu, 26 Apr, 10:30–12:00  / 13:30–17:00  / Room 26
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Thu, 26 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Hall A
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Thursday, 26 Apr 2012
Room 26
Chairperson: Sebastian Hainzl
10:30–11:00
EGU2012-8976
Micro-Seismicity and Large Earthquake nucleation in Marmara Sea Region (solicited)
J. Schmittbuhl, M. Bouchon, H. Karabulut, M. Aktar, S. Özalaybay, O. Lengliné, V. Durand, and M.P. Bouin
11:00–11:15
EGU2012-8003
Link between Coulomb stress changes and seismic activation in the Marmara sea after the Izmit (Turkey) earthquake
V. Durand, M. Bouchon, H. Karabulut, D. Marsan, and J. Schmittbuhl
11:15–11:30
EGU2012-10344
Modelling Long-term Stress on the Sunda Megathrust and Implications for Earthquake Forecasting
S. S. Nalbant, J. McCloskey, S. Murphy, N. Simao, and T. Lindsay
11:30–11:45
EGU2012-10462
Long Term Slip Deficit Modelling for the Sunda Megathrust beneath the Mentawai Islands, Sumatra
J. McCloskey, S. S. Nalbant, N. Simao, and T. Lindsay
11:45–12:00
EGU2012-9357
Identification and simulation of seismic supercycles along the Japan Trench including the 2011 Tohoku earthquake
K. Koketsu, Y. Yokota, N. Kato, and T. Kato
LUNCH BREAK
Chairperson: Gert Zöller
13:30–13:45
EGU2012-10109
Synthetic Earthquake Statistics From Physical Fault Models for the Lower Rhine Embayment
G. B. Brietzke, S. Hainzl, and G. Zöller
13:45–14:00
EGU2012-2677
Renewal models of seismic recurrence applied to paleoseismological and historical observations
I. Mosca, R. Console, and G. D'Addezio
14:00–14:15
EGU2012-9029
Building robust models to forecast the induced seismicity related to geothermal reservoir enhancement
B. Mena Cabrera, S. Wiemer, and C. E. Bachmann
14:15–14:30
EGU2012-9778
Improving empirical aftershock modeling using additional source information
C. Bach and S. Hainzl
14:30–14:45
EGU2012-12936
Statistical and hybrid statistical/Coulomb modelling of the Canterbury earthquake sequence
S. Steacy, M. Gerstenberger, C. Williams, D. Rhoades, and A. Christophersen
14:45–15:00
EGU2012-3536
Bayesian analysis of the modified Omori law
M. Holschneider, C. Narteau, P. Shebalin, Z. Peng, and D. Schorlemmer
COFFEE BREAK
Chairperson: Massimo Cocco
15:30–16:00
EGU2012-13170
Spatial Distributions of Foreshocks and Aftershocks: Static or Dynamic Triggering (solicited)
M. J. Werner and A. M. Rubin
16:00–16:15
EGU2012-2403
Triggering cascades and statistical properties of aftershocks
Dr. M. Baiesi, Dr. J. Davidsen, and C. Gu
16:15–16:30
EGU2012-5007
On the statistical analysis of maximal magnitude
M. Holschneider, G. Zöller, and S. Hainzl
16:30–16:45
EGU2012-4350
A forecast experiment of earthquake activity in Japan under Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP)
N. Hirata, S. Yokoi, K.Z. Nanjo, and H. Tsuruoka
16:45–17:00
EGU2012-13297
Empirical testing of earthquake recurrence models at source and site
D. Albarello and M. Mucciarelli