Oral Programme SM5.4/NH4.6
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SM5.4/NH4.6 Time-dependent earthquake occurrence and seismic hazard: physics and statistics (co-organized) |
| Convener: Gert Zöller | Co-Conveners: Massimo Cocco , Mark Naylor |
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Oral Programme
/ Thu, 26 Apr, 10:30–12:00
/ 13:30–17:00
/ Room 26
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Thu, 26 Apr, 17:30–19:00
/ Hall A
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Thursday, 26 April 2012 Room 26 Chairperson: Sebastian Hainzl |
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| 10:30–11:00 |
EGU2012-8976
Micro-Seismicity and Large Earthquake nucleation in Marmara Sea Region (solicited) J. Schmittbuhl, M. Bouchon, H. Karabulut, M. Aktar, S. Özalaybay, O. Lengliné, V. Durand, and M.P. Bouin |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2012-8003
Link between Coulomb stress changes and seismic activation in the Marmara sea after the Izmit (Turkey) earthquake V. Durand, M. Bouchon, H. Karabulut, D. Marsan, and J. Schmittbuhl |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2012-10344
Modelling Long-term Stress on the Sunda Megathrust and Implications for Earthquake Forecasting S. S. Nalbant, J. McCloskey, S. Murphy, N. Simao, and T. Lindsay |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2012-10462
Long Term Slip Deficit Modelling for the Sunda Megathrust beneath the Mentawai Islands, Sumatra J. McCloskey, S. S. Nalbant, N. Simao, and T. Lindsay |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2012-9357
Identification and simulation of seismic supercycles along the Japan Trench including the 2011 Tohoku earthquake K. Koketsu, Y. Yokota, N. Kato, and T. Kato |
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LUNCH BREAK
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| 13:30–13:45 |
EGU2012-10109
Synthetic Earthquake Statistics From Physical Fault Models for the Lower Rhine Embayment G. B. Brietzke, S. Hainzl, and G. Zöller |
| 13:45–14:00 |
EGU2012-2677
Renewal models of seismic recurrence applied to paleoseismological and historical observations I. Mosca, R. Console, and G. D'Addezio |
| 14:00–14:15 |
EGU2012-9029
Building robust models to forecast the induced seismicity related to geothermal reservoir enhancement B. Mena Cabrera, S. Wiemer, and C. E. Bachmann |
| 14:15–14:30 |
EGU2012-9778
Improving empirical aftershock modeling using additional source information C. Bach and S. Hainzl |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EGU2012-12936
Statistical and hybrid statistical/Coulomb modelling of the Canterbury earthquake sequence S. Steacy, M. Gerstenberger, C. Williams, D. Rhoades, and A. Christophersen |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EGU2012-3536
Bayesian analysis of the modified Omori law M. Holschneider, C. Narteau, P. Shebalin, Z. Peng, and D. Schorlemmer |
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COFFEE BREAK
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| 15:30–16:00 |
EGU2012-13170
Spatial Distributions of Foreshocks and Aftershocks: Static or Dynamic Triggering (solicited) M. J. Werner and A. M. Rubin |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EGU2012-2403
Triggering cascades and statistical properties of aftershocks Dr. M. Baiesi, Dr. J. Davidsen, and C. Gu |
| 16:15–16:30 |
EGU2012-5007
On the statistical analysis of maximal magnitude M. Holschneider, G. Zöller, and S. Hainzl |
| 16:30–16:45 |
EGU2012-4350
A forecast experiment of earthquake activity in Japan under Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) N. Hirata, S. Yokoi, K.Z. Nanjo, and H. Tsuruoka |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EGU2012-13297
Empirical testing of earthquake recurrence models at source and site D. Albarello and M. Mucciarelli |