Poster Programme CL3.3/NP5.4
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CL3.3/NP5.4 Centennial, decadal, seasonal and monthly climate predictions (co-organized) |
| Convener: M. A. Liniger | Co-Conveners: G. J. van Oldenborgh, S. Vannitsem , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , R. Knutti , J. Annan , K. Frieler |
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Oral Programme
/ Wed, 25 Apr, 13:30–17:00
/ Room 13
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Wed, 25 Apr, 17:30–19:00
/ Hall Z
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Attendance Time: Wednesday, 25 April 2012, 17:30–19:00 Hall Z Chairperson: Mark Liniger |
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Z74
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EGU2012-2969
What explains the successful Met Office seasonal forecast of winter 10/11 A. Maidens, A. Arribas, A. Scaife, C. MacLachlan, K.A. Peterson, and J. Knight |
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Z75
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EGU2012-2596
A prediction model for the Atlantic Basin tropical storm frequency using a year-to-year increment approach K. Fan |
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Z76
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EGU2012-3128
10- Year Eta Model Seasonal Forecast Climatology over South America J. Bustamante, S. C. Chou, and G. Sueiro |
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Z77
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EGU2012-1265
Relationship between PDO and basin-scale ocean circulation variations C. Jiang, G. Lagerloef, and S. Springer |
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Z78
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EGU2012-10302
Pacific SST influence on spring precipitation in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia J.M. Eden, M. Widmann, S. Wild, G.R. Evans, and J.G. Hughes |
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Z79
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EGU2012-78
Enhancing seasonal climate prediction capacity for the Pacific countries Y. Kuleshov, D. Jones, H. Hendon, A. Charles, A. Cottrill, E-P. Lim, S. Langford, R. de Wit, and K. Shelton |
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Z80
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EGU2012-2990
Upgrade to GloSea4, the Met Office seasonal forecasting system: Improved resolution and assimilated sea-ice. A. Maidens, A. Arribas, K.A. Peterson, C. MacLachlan, M. Vellinga, M. Gordon, A. Williams, and D. Fereday |
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Z81
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EGU2012-2892
Monthly forecasting of agricultural pests in Switzerland M. Hirschi, M. Dubrovsky, C. Spirig, J. Samietz, P. Calanca, A. P. Weigel, A. M. Fischer, and M. W. Rotach |
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Z82
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EGU2012-10664
Putting Weather back into the Definition of Climate L A Smith and D A Stainforth |
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Z83
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EGU2012-11444
Insightful Measures of Predictive Skill in Seasonal Forecasts H. Du, F. Niehorster, and L.A. Smith |
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Z84
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EGU2012-10983
| presentation
Skill Scores for Probabilistic Climate and Weather Prediction T. Maynard, E B Suckling, and L A Smith |
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Z85
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EGU2012-7718
Evaluating decadal predictions - some considerations on bias correction and cross-validation R. Gangsto, A. P. Weigel, C. Appenzeller, A. Fischer, and M. A. Liniger |
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Z86
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EGU2012-8991
Constraints on Rational Model Weighting, Blending and Selecting when Constructing Probability Forecasts given Multiple Models S. M.W. Higgins, H.L. Du, and L.A. Smith |
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Z87
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EGU2012-3089
The MPI-M CMIP5 Decadal Prediction Experiments (solicited) W. Mueller, D. Matei, J. Jungclaus, H. Haak, H. Pohlmann, D. Notz, J. Kröger, J.-S. von Storch, J. Baehr, and J. Marotzke |
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Z88
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EGU2012-7664
The VeCAP project: Verification, Calibration and Assessment of Predictability of medium-range climate predictions using satellite data T. Spangehl, M. Schröder, A. Hense, F. Kaspar, R. Hollmann, R. Glowienka-Hense, and S. Stolzenberger |
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Z89
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EGU2012-9615
Testing surface initialisation strategies for decadal projections in a perfect model framework J. Servonnat, J. Mignot, E. Guilyardi, D. Swingedouw, and S. Labetoule |
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Z90
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EGU2012-1097
Multimodel Decadal Predictability of the Subpolar Gyre B Wouters, W Hazeleger, GJ van Oldenborgh, and S Drijfhout |
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Z91
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EGU2012-2611
Evaluating the Decadal Prediction Skill of the Sea Ice Concentration in the Southern Ocean V. Zunz, H. Goosse, J. Jungclaus, and S. Dubinkina |
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Z92
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EGU2012-11958
Multi-year forecast of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity using EC-Earth L.-P. Caron, C.G. Jones, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, and M. Caian |
| Z93 |
EGU2012-107
A novel approach in predicting non-stationary time series by combining external forces (withdrawn) G. Wang |
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Z95
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EGU2012-8525
CMIP-5 model errors in the tropical Atlantic T. Toniazzo and S.J. Woolnough |
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Z96
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EGU2012-9497
Pattern scaled climate change scenarios: are these useful for adaptation? A Lopez, E Suckling, and L.A. Smith |
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Z97
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EGU2012-7797
Climate Change Projections for Switzerland based on a Bayesian Multi-Model Approach A. Fischer, A. P. Weigel, C. Buser, R. Knutti, C. Schär, H. R. Künsch, M. A. Liniger, and C. Appenzeller |
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Z98
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EGU2012-7130
A common fallacy in climate model evaluation J. D. Annan, J. C. Hargreaves, and K. Tachiiri |
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Z99
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EGU2012-11000
Assessment and Selection of GCM Perturbed Physics Ensemble Members Using Observed Top-of-Atmosphere Fluxes C. J. Rye, M. R. Allen, R. G. Jones, N. Massey, F. Otto, S. Rosier, and The climateprediction.net team |
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Z100
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EGU2012-6865
Allowable carbon emissions for a medium mitigation scenario K. Tachiiri, J.C. Hargreaves, J.D. Annan, C. Huntingford, and M. Kawamiya |
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Z101
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EGU2012-4193
Probabilistic Quantification of Heavy Future Rainfall Events via Statistical Downscaling for the Poyang Catchment in China T. Simon, Ch. Ohlwein, A. Hense, and C. Simmer |
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Z102
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EGU2012-1496
| presentation
Climate change and precipitation evolution in Ifran region (Middle Atlas of Morocco). H. Reddad, M. Bakhat, and B. Damnati |
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Z103
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EGU2012-7362
Downscaling of rainfall in Peru using Generalised Linear Models E. Bergin, W. Buytaert, C. Onof, and H. Wheater |
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Z104
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EGU2012-12832
Precipitation intensity in an ensemble of downscaled seasonal forecasts A.J. Ansorge and R.W. Arritt and the The MRED Team |
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Z105
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EGU2012-4780
| presentation
Statistical correction of daily precipitation data from the climate models J. Hnilica |