Orals CL3.2/NH1.12/NP5.3
|
Wednesday, 10 April 2013 Room Y9 Chairperson: Geert Jan van Oldenborgh |
|
| 08:30–08:45 |
EGU2013-3841
Regional decadal prediction for Europe: First results Hendrik Feldmann, Sebastian Mieruch, Claus-Jürgen Lenz, Kevin Sieck, and Christoph Kottmeier |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EGU2013-5946
The Canadian coupled multi-seasonal forecasting system Juan Sebatian Fontecilla |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EGU2013-807
Impact of horizontal atmospheric resolution on decadal predictability processes using the IPSL-CM5A model Sulagna Ray, Juliette Mignot, Didier Swingedow, and Eric Guilyardi |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EGU2013-1270
Developing a new Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA-3.0) Xiaobing Zhou, Oscar Alves, Patricia Okely, Faina Tseitkin, Andrew Marshall, Jing-Jia Luo, Debra Hudson, Maggie Zhao, Yonghong Yin, and Harry Hendon |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EGU2013-8392
Improved predictions of global climate in the decade ahead using a new version of the Met Office Hadley Centre Decadal Prediction System Jeff Knight, Martin Andrews, Doug Smith, Alberto Arribas, Nick Dunstone, Craig Maclachlan, Drew Peterson, Adam Scaife, and Andrew Williams |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EGU2013-3813
Aerosols impact on the multi-decadal SST variability simulation over the North Pacific Kyung-On Boo, Ben Booth, Young-Hwa Byun, ChunHo Cho, Johan Lee, Soo-Hyun Park, Sung-Bo Shim, and Sung-Bin Park |
|
COFFEE BREAK
|
|
| 10:30–10:45 |
EGU2013-6632
An Empirical Benchmark for Decadal Forecasts of Global Surface Temperature Anomalies Matthew Newman |
| 10:45–11:00 |
EGU2013-1452
How stationary is the Siberian snow - Arctic Oscillation relationship over the 20th century ? Yannick Peings, Hervé Douville, and Eric Brun |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2013-10370
What is really a drift in a coupled climate model used for climate forecasts ? Emilia Sanchez-Gomez, Christophe Cassou, and Elodie Fernandez |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2013-5234
Development of SST errors in the southern tropical Atlantic in CMIP5 decadal hindcasts Thomas Toniazzo and Steven Woolnough |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2013-5968
Assessing the skill of seasonal rainfall outlooks for the Caribbean Shanice Bedward and Cedric Van Meerbeeck |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2013-12029
| presentation
Variation in the reliability of ensemble predictions of SSTs from seasonal to decadal timescales Chun Kit Ho, Ed Hawkins, Len Shaffrey, Jochen Broecker, Doug Smith, Leon Hermanson, and James Murphy |
|
LUNCH BREAK
|
|
| 13:30–13:45 |
EGU2013-10007
Assessing the decadal predictability of Arctic sea ice in CNRM-CM5.1 : A regional study Agathe Germe, David Salas y Melia, Matthieu Chevallier, and Stephane Sénési |
| 13:45–14:00 |
EGU2013-12013
Improving the anomaly initialisation for decadal predictions Mihaela Caian, Klaus Wyser, Louis-Philipe Caron, and Colin Jones |
| 14:00–14:15 |
EGU2013-1354
Experience from practice: compound storm surge and high precipitation in a coastal area in the Netherlands Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Bart van den Hurk, Klaas Jan van Heeringen, and Jan Gooijer |
| 14:15–14:30 |
EGU2013-5526
Compound Extremes and Bunched Black (or Grouped Grey) Swans. Nicholas Watkins |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EGU2013-7480
Quantifying and understanding the collective risk of mid-latitude storms Alasdair Hunter, David Stephenson, Theodoros Economou, Ian Cook, and Angelika Werner |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EGU2013-10711
The simultaneous occurrence of surge and discharge extremes for the Rhine delta Frank Selten, Sarah Kew, Geert Lenderink, and Wilco Hazeleger |