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PICOs HS4.5/NH1.13

HS4.5/NH1.13

Operational forecasting and warning systems for natural hazards: challenges and innovation (co-organized)PICO session
Convener: Femke Davids 
Co-Conveners: Jan Szolgay , Michael Cranston , Ilias Pechlivanidis 
Session details
PICOs
 / Wed, 26 Apr, 08:30–10:00 / 10:30–12:00 / PICO spot A
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Wednesday, 26 Apr 2017
PICO spot A
Chairperson: Femke Davids
08:30–08:32 PICOA.1
EGU2017-1230
Flood Foresight: A near-real time flood monitoring and forecasting tool for rapid and predictive flood impact assessment
Beatriz Revilla-Romero, Kay Shelton, Elizabeth Wood, Robert Berry, John Bevington, Barry Hankin, Gavin Lewis, Andrew Gubbin, Samuel Griffiths, Paul Barnard, Marc Pinnell, and Charles Huyck
08:32–08:34 PICOA.2
EGU2017-1934
Ocean modelling and Early-Warning System for the Gulf of Thailand
Joao de Lima Rego, Kun Yan, Piyamarn Sisomphon, Watin Thanathanphon, Daniel Twigt, and Maialen Irazoqui Apecechea
08:34–08:36 PICOA.3
EGU2017-2364
Flood Early Warning in Bridge Management System: from idea to implementation
Igor Kerin, Damir Bekić, Panagiotis Michalis, Hrvoje Šolman, Paul Cahill, Gordon Gilja, Vikram Pakrashi, John Lapthorne, and Eamon McKeogh
08:36–08:38 PICOA.4
EGU2017-2587
New developments at the Flood Forecasting Centre: operational flood risk assessment and guidance
Charlie Pilling
08:38–08:40 PICOA.5
EGU2017-4895
Predictability and possible earlier awareness of extreme precipitation across Europe
David Lavers, Florian Pappenberger, David Richardson, and Ervin Zsoter
08:40–08:42 PICOA.6
EGU2017-6064
Developments of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS)
Vera Thiemig, Jon Olav Skøien, Peter Salamon, Florian Pappenberger, Fredrik Wetterhall, Bo Holst, Sara-Sophia Asp, Mercedes Garcia Padilla, Rafael J. Garcia, Christoph Schweim, and Markus Ziese
08:42–08:44 PICOA.7
EGU2017-7759
Slovak Flood Forecasting Service at the National and International Level
Danica Leskova and Michaela Mikuličková
08:44–08:46 PICOA.8
EGU2017-8995
Enhancing Community Based Early Warning Systems in Nepal with Flood Forecasting Using Local and Global Models
Sumit Dugar, Paul Smith, Binod Parajuli, Sonu Khanal, Sarah Brown, Dilip Gautam, Dinanath Bhandari, Gehendra Gurung, Puja Shakya, RamGopal Kharbuja, and Madhab Uprety
08:46–08:48 PICOA.9
EGU2017-9017
Statistical prediction of seasonal discharge in Central Asia for water resources management: development of a generic (pre-)operational modeling tool
Heiko Apel, Azamat Baimaganbetov, Olga Kalashnikova, Nadejda Gavrilenko, Zharkinay Abdykerimova, Marina Agalhanova, Lars Gerlitz, Katy Unger-Shayesteh, Sergiy Vorogushyn, and Abror Gafurov
08:48–08:50 PICOA.10
EGU2017-9684
Hydrodynamics and Water Quality forecasting over a Cloud Computing environment: INDIGO-DataCloud
Fernando Aguilar Gómez, Jesús Marco de Lucas, Daniel García, and Agustín Monteoliva
08:50–08:52 PICOA.11
EGU2017-9707
Supporting inland waterway transport on German waterways by operational forecasting services – water-levels, discharges, river ice
Dennis Meißner, Bastian Klein, Monica Ionita, Stephan Hemri, and Silke Rademacher
08:52–08:54 PICOA.12
EGU2017-10479
Verification of warnings at the Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Croatia
Lovro Kalin
08:54–08:56 PICOA.13
EGU2017-11053
Rapid assessment tool for tropical cyclone waves and storm surge hazards in Mexico
Christian M. Appendini, Michel Rosengaus, Rafael Meza-Padilla, and Victor Camacho-Magaña
08:56–08:58 PICOA.14
EGU2017-12587
Flood simulation and verification with IoT sensors
Che-Hao Chang, Chih-Tsung Hsu, Shiang-Jen Wu, and Sue-Wei Huang
Interactive presentations at PICO screens

Coffee break
Chairperson: Ilias Pechlivanidis
10:30–10:32 PICOA.1
EGU2017-13857
Integrating a Storage Factor into R-NARX Neural Networks for Flood Forecasts
Po-Kai Chou, Li-Chiu Chang, Fi-John Chang, and Ban-Jwu Shih
10:32–10:34 PICOA.2
EGU2017-14301
Pathways to designing and running an operational flood forecasting system: an adventure game! | Highlight
Louise Arnal, Florian Pappenberger, Maria-Helena Ramos, Hannah Cloke, Louise Crochemore, Matteo Giuliani, and Emma Aalbers
10:34–10:36 PICOA.3
EGU2017-14381
Public responses to flood warning messages: the Floodline service in Scotland
Michael Cranston, Alistair Geddes, Andrew Black, Alice Ambler, and Cordelia Menmuir
10:36–10:38 PICOA.4
EGU2017-15599
Building Adjustable Pre-storm Reservoir Flood-control Release Rules
Shun-Nien Yang, Li-Chiu Chang, Fi-John Chang, and Cheng-Daw Hsieh
10:38–10:40 PICOA.5
EGU2017-16686
Monitoring and forecasting heat and cold waves in Europe
Christophe Lavaysse, Jürgen Vogt, and Gerard van der Schrier
10:40–10:42 PICOA.6
EGU2017-16910
Piloting a real-time surface water flood nowcasting system for enhancing operational resilience of emergency responders
Dapeng Yu, Mingfu Guan, Robert Wilby, Wright Bruce, and Mark Szegner
10:42–10:44 PICOA.7
EGU2017-17173
Case studies of extended model-based flood forecasting: prediction of dike strength and flood impacts | Highlight
Dana Stuparu, Daniel Bachmann, Tom Bogaard, Daniel Twigt, Jan Verkade, Karin de Bruijn, and Annemargreet de Leeuw
10:44–10:46 PICOA.8
EGU2017-17429
Rossitsa River Basin: Flood Hazard and Risk Identification
Maria Mavrova-Guirguinova and Denislava Pencheva
10:46–10:48 PICOA.9
EGU2017-17496
Operational forecasting with the subgrid technique on the Elbe Estuary
Aissa Sehili
10:48–10:50 PICOA.10
EGU2017-17995
Forecasting snowmelt flooding over Britain using the Grid-to-Grid model: a review and assessment of methods
Seonaid R A Dey, Robert J Moore, Steven J Cole, and Steven C Wells
10:50–10:52 PICOA.11
EGU2017-18177
GIS model-based real-time hydrological forecasting and operation management system for the Lake Balaton and its watershed
János Adolf Szabó, Gábor Zoltán Réti, and Tünde Tóth
10:52–10:54 PICOA.12
EGU2017-18256
The Lake Victoria Intense Storm Early Warning System (VIEWS)
Wim Thiery, Lukas Gudmundsson, Kristopher Bedka, Fredrick Semazzi, Stef Lhermitte, Patrick Willems, Nicole van Lipzig, and Sonia I. Seneviratne
10:54–10:56 PICOA.13
EGU2017-18368
Daily hydro- and morphodynamic simulations at Duck, NC, USA using Delft3D
Allison Penko, Jay Veeramony, Margaret Palmsten, Spicer Bak, Katherine Brodie, and Tyler Hesser
10:56–10:58 PICOA.14
EGU2017-19196
Real time reservoir control on the River Lee using a forecasting system (withdrawn)
Paul Wass
Interactive presentations at PICO screens