Poster programme II.

II.

Decadal prediction and attribution
Convenors: J. Marotzke , G. Hegerl 
Oral programme
 / Mon, 28 Aug, 11:00–12:20  / Room Helmut-Schmidt-Auditorium
 / Tue, 29 Aug, 09:00–10:15  / 15:30–17:05  / Room Helmut-Schmidt-Auditorium
Poster programme
 / Attendance Tue, 29 Aug, 13:45–15:30  / Poster area

Attendance Time: Tuesday, 29 August 2017, 13:45–15:30
Poster area
Chairperson: Jochem Marotzke/Gabi Hegerl
P48
4ICESM-159
Interbasin effects on subdecadal climate modulation relevant to global warming hiatus
T. Mochizuki, M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto

Poster area
P49
4ICESM-131
Decadal climate regimes and the "hiatus"
P. Carl

Poster area
P50
4ICESM-7
Future Changes in Propagating and Non-propagating Diurnal Rainfall over East Asia
W.-R. Huang and S.-Y. Wang

Poster area
P51
4ICESM-46
Drought situation under Climate change scenario
M. K. Das, J. U. Khan, and A. K. M. S. Islam

Poster area
P52
4ICESM-90
Frequency of thermal extremes in arid and semiarid regions of Pakistan
S. Hina, F. Saleem, and R. Lu

Poster area
P53
4ICESM-16 | presentation
Non–Gaussianity of the atmospheric variability and its relationship with extreme weather events
S. V. Loginov, A. V. Eliseev, and I. I. Mokhov

Poster area
P54
4ICESM-177
A worm's-eye view on intraseasonal climate dynamics
P. Carl

Poster area
P55
4ICESM-48
Paradox in Tropical storm genesis frequency decreasing and Genesis Potential index increasing after late 1990’s over the western North Pacific
C. H. Tsou, H. Y. Chiang, and P. C. Hsu

Poster area
P56
4ICESM-154
Storm tide assessment with climate variability -Tropical Cyclone Debbie case study
G Faivre, S Lee, R Tomlinson, and J Shuker

Poster area
P57
4ICESM-116
Atlantic Inflow to the North Sea Modulated by the Subpolar Gyre
V. Koul, J. Baehr, and C. Schrum

Poster area
P58
4ICESM-156
Multiyear climate prediction with initialization based on 4D-Var coupled data assimilation
T. Mochizuki, S. Masuda, and Y. Ishikawa

Poster area
P59
4ICESM-30
Initialization shock in decadal hindcasts due to errors in wind stress over the tropical Pacific
H. Pohlmann, J. Kröger, R. J. Greatbatch, and W. A. Müller

Poster area
P60
4ICESM-59
Full-field versus anomaly initialization in the MiKlip decadal prediction system: An initial shock in the North Atlantic
J. Kröger, H. Pohlmann, F. Sienz, J. Marotzke, J. Baehr, A. Köhl, K. Modali, Y. Polkova, D. Stammer, F. Vamborg, and W. A. Müller

Poster area
P61
4ICESM-66
Time dependency of the prediction skill for the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in initialized decadal hindcasts with MPI-ESM
S. Brune, A. Düsterhus, H. Pohlmann, W. A. Müller, and J. Baehr

Poster area
P62
4ICESM-93
Representation and Predictability of European Blocking Frequency in the MiKlip Decadal Prediction System
A. Richling, H. W. Rust, and U. Ulbrich

Poster area
P63
4ICESM-110
Predictability of multi-year SST trends in the North Pacific in an MPI-ESM hindcast ensemble
K. N. Wiegand, S. Brune, and J. Baehr

Poster area
P64
4ICESM-136
Assimilating soil moisture into an Earth System Model
T. Stacke and S. Hagemann

Poster area
P65
4ICESM-155 | presentation
Assessing the impact of a future volcanic eruption with the MiKlip prediction system
S. Illing, C. Kadow, C. Timmreck, and H. Pohlmann

Poster area
P66
4ICESM-169
Climate Change Detection and Attribution: Joint fingerprinting and Bayesian decision
A. Hense, H. Weinert, and M. Ritschel

Poster area
P67
4ICESM-121
Predictability of the PDO in MPI-ESM on decadal timescales
K. Pankatz, K. Fröhlich, and B. Früh

Poster area
P68
4ICESM-125
Calibration of decadal ensemble predictions
A. Pasternack, H. W. Rust, J. Grieger, J. Bhend, M. A. Liniger, W. Müller, and U. Ulbrich

Poster area
P69
4ICESM-166
Interrelationships beween different scores in decadal prediction evaluation
A. Hense and R. Glowienka-Hense

Poster area
P70
4ICESM-128
Stratified verification of winter windstorms
J. Grieger, I. Höschel, and U. Ulbrich

Poster area
P71 4ICESM-158
Comparative studio for compute of prognosis for extreme rainfall obtained by Gumbel extreme value method versus unconventional method based on time series and IDW method using return period (withdrawn)
J. F. Ángeles-Islas, A. E. Juárez-Hernández, and R. Zepeda-Bautista

Poster area
P72
4ICESM-70
Construction of reduced empirical prognostic model by climate data
A. Gavrilov, A. Seleznev, D. Mukhin, E. Loskutov, and A. Feigin

Poster area
P73
4ICESM-145
The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
M. Bittner, K.-H. Wieners, J. Jungclaus, C. Reick, M. Giorgetta, S. Legutke, M. Esch, V. Gayler, I. Stemmler, P. de Vrese, and H. Haak and the CMIP6-Team

Poster area
P74
4ICESM-85
Committed warming inferred from observations
T. Mauritsen and R. Pincus

Poster area
P75
4ICESM-152 | presentation
Tropical North Atlantic SSTs linked to European summer temperature variability?
N.-C. Neddermann, W. Müller, and J. Baehr

Poster area
P76
4ICESM-54
Emergent constraints to understand CMIP5 model diversity in simulating the teleconnection between Atlantic Multidecadal Variability and European temperature
S. Qasmi, C. Cassou, and J. Boé

Poster area
P77
4ICESM-103
Attribution of upper-ocean heat content changes using isothermal approach
I.-H. Park and S.-K. Min

Poster area
P78
4ICESM-94
Recent trend of climatic extremes in various zones of Pakistan
F. Saleem, M. Adrees, F. Abbas, M. Ibrahim, and X. Zeng

Poster area
P79
4ICESM-34
Detecting regional climate change using data on extreme temperatures
V. Khokhlov, O. Umanska, and N. Yermolenko

Poster area
P80
4ICESM-88
Unforced trends of surface solar radiation in CMIP5
D. Folini, T.N. Dallafior, M.Z. Hakuba, and M. Wild

Poster area
P81 4ICESM-105
Contribution of surface solar and greenhouse forcing on the temperature sensitivity derived from spatial variations (withdrawn)
M. Renner, A. Kleidon, C. Dhara, and H. Ozawa

Poster area
P82
4ICESM-147
Designing a radiation code to balance flexibility and efficiency
R. Pincus and E. Mlawer