Session 11 Storm climatologies, risk assessments and climate change |
Oral programme
/ Tue, 19 Sep, 09:00–13:00
/ Room Ulika
Poster programme
/ Attendance Tue, 19 Sep, 14:30–16:00
/ Conference Lobby
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Tuesday, 19 September 2017 Room Ulika Chairperson: Bogdan Antonescu (University of Manchester and European Severe Storms Laboratory) |
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09:00–09:30 |
ECSS2017-168
Future of severe thunderstorm environments in Europe: simulated changes and uncertainties (keynote presentation) Tomas Pucik, Pieter Groenemeijer, Anja Rädler, and Lars Tijssen |
09:30–09:45 |
ECSS2017-103
Impact of climate change on intense rainfall events in the Ligurian Sea region due to strong MCSs William Gallus, Antonio Parodi, and Maurizio Maugeri |
09:45–10:00 |
ECSS2017-129
The Tornado Climatology of Australia: Assessing Risk and Evolution Through Time John Allen and Edwina Allen |
10:00–10:15 |
ECSS2017-109
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The modern climatology of Northern Eurasia tornadoes and waterspouts Alexander Chernokulsky, Michael Kurgansky, Igor Mokhov, Evgeniya Selezneva, Andrey Shikhov, Igor Azhigov, Denis Zakharchenko, Bogdan Antonescu, and Thilo Kühne |
10:15–10:30 |
ECSS2017-125
Tornadic stoms in the Iberian Mediterranean area and Balearic Islands: study of sounding-derived parameters Oriol Rodriguez, Joan Bech, and Sergio García |
10:30–10:45 |
ECSS2017-90
Summertime hailstorms over Switzerland in surrogated climate change simulations Andrey Martynov, Luca Nisi, and Olivia Martius |
Coffee break
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11:30–11:45 |
ECSS2017-131
A European Probabilistic Severe Thunderstorm Model for the Insurance Industry Eric Robinson, Melanie Parker, Chris Bednarczyk, Jianjun Luo, Cagdas Kafali, Bernhard Reinhardt, and Stefanie Meul |
11:45–12:00 |
ECSS2017-177
An additive regression convective hazard model (ARCHaMo) for detecting past and future trends in severe weather events Anja T. Rädler, Pieter Groenemeijer, Tomáš Púčik, Robert Sausen, and Eberhard Faust |
12:00–12:15 |
ECSS2017-186
| presentation
Estimating the combined risk due to hail, convective gusts and tornadoes Philip Haines and Juergen Grieser |
12:15–12:30 |
ECSS2017-150
| presentation
A climatology of severe convective wind events in western central Europe Michaël Kreitz, Christoph Gatzen, Lisa Schielicke, Sébastien Leprince, and Maud Martet |
12:30–12:45 |
ECSS2017-72
| presentation
Climatological aspects of convective parameters over Europe: a comparison of ERA-Interim and sounding data Mateusz Taszarek, Harold E. Brooks, Bartosz Czernecki, and Piotr Szuster |
12:45–13:00 |
ECSS2017-198
Trends of rain, wind-, snow- and thunderstorm events during the 21st Century according to regional climate models Pieter Groenemeijer, Tomáš Púčik, Andrea Vajda, Ilari Lehtonen, Matti Kämäräinen, Nico Becker, Katrin Nissen, and Uwe Ulbrich |