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Oral Programme AS1.2

AS1.2

Numerical weather prediction, data assimilation and ensemble forecasting
Convener: Haraldur Ólafsson  | Co-Convener: Jian-Wen Bao 
Oral Programme
 / Fri, 08 Apr, 13:30–17:00  / Room 10
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Fri, 08 Apr, 10:30–12:00  / Display Fri, 08 Apr, 08:00–17:00  / Halls X/Y

Friday, 08 Apr 2011
Room 10
Chairperson: H. Ólafsson, Jian-Wen Bao
13:30–13:45
EGU2011-4757
Multi-scale Eulerian NMMB model within the NOAA Environmental Modeling System: advances on global and meso scales
Zavisa Janjic, Tom Black, Ratko Vasic, Eric Rogers, Brad Ferrier, and Geoff DiMego
13:45–14:00
EGU2011-3753
An upgraded Version of the Eta Model
Fedor Mesinger, Sin Chan Chou, Jorge Gomes, Dusan Jovic, Lazar Lazic, André Lyra, Josiane Bustamante, Paulo Bastos, Sandra Morelli, and Ivan Ristic
14:00–14:15
EGU2011-9664
WRFDA 2011 Overview
Xiang-Yu Huang
14:15–14:30
EGU2011-12382
The predictability of an extreme event of convective precipitation
Martin Granerød and Haraldur Ólafsson
14:30–14:45
EGU2011-3910
Probabilistic Distribution of Subgrid Convection and Ensemble Prediction
Jian-Wen Bao, Evelyn Grell, Jeff Whitaker, Tom Hamill, and Georg Grell
14:45–15:00
EGU2011-10439 | presentation | presentation
High-resolution ensemble prediction of a polar low development
Jørn Kristiansen, Silje L. Sørland, Trond Iversen, Dag Bjørge, and Morten Ø. Køltzow
COFFEE BREAK
15:30–15:45
EGU2011-10390
Prediction of Extratropical Cyclones by TIGGE Ensemble Prediction Systems
Lizzie Froude
15:45–16:00
EGU2011-1322
Comparison of three different methods of perturbing the potential vorticity field in mesoscale forecasts of Mediterranean heavy precipitation events: 10 June 2000 and 9 October 2002
Maria-del-Mar Vich, Romualdo Romero, Evelyne Richard, Philippe Arbogast, and Karine Maynard
16:00–16:15
EGU2011-3740
Precipitation Forecasts Improvement by Assimilating Radar Reflectivity for Typhoon Morakot
Yuanfu Xie, Shuyuan Liu, and SauNei Hui
16:15–16:30
EGU2011-9863
Evaluation of Experimental Models for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting in Support of the NOAA Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP)
Paul Kucera, Barbara Brown, Louisa Nance, Christopher Williams, Kathryn Crosby, and Michelle Harrold
16:30–16:45
EGU2011-3909
Severe weather case studies using the Space and Time Multiscale Analysis System (STMAS)
Huiling Yuan and Yuanfu Xie
16:45–17:00
EGU2011-3862
An evaluation of Brightness Temperatures Simulated by Various WRF-ARW Microphysical Algorithms for an Atmospheric River Event
Isidora Jankov and the ESRL/CIRA/NESDIS