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Oral Programme HS4.2

HS4.2

Hydrological forecasting: application, uncertainty estimation, data assimilation and decision-making
Convener: Robert Moore  | Co-Conveners: Günter Blöschl , Vadim Kuzmin , Henrik Madsen , Jan Szolgay , Albrecht Weerts 
Oral Programme
 / Thu, 07 Apr, 08:30–12:00  / Room 33
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Thu, 07 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Display Thu, 07 Apr, 08:00–19:30  / Hall A

Thursday, 07 Apr 2011
Room 33
Chairperson: Henrik Madsen
08:30–08:45
EGU2011-11747
A mixing model for operational runoff forecasts
Ulrike Drabek and Dieter Gutknecht
08:45–09:00
EGU2011-14114 | presentation | presentation
The Po flood management in Italy: guidelines and methodologies
Giuseppe Ricciardi, Laura Casicci, Luigi Fortunato, Silvano Pecora, Nicola Rebora, and Mirella Vergnani
09:00–09:15
EGU2011-8189
Estimation of future flood risk for flood warning systems in the Hron and Torysa river basins
Kamila Hlavcova, Jan Szolgay, Silvia Kohnova, and Roman Vyleta
Analyses of predictive uncertainty

09:15–09:30
EGU2011-3079
Estimating the benefits of probabilistic flood warning systems in terms of flood risk
Jan Verkade and Micha Werner
09:30–09:45
EGU2011-11675
Model Predictive Control for Operational Water Management: Optimal, Integrated, Anticipatory and Robust to Uncertainty
Luciano Raso and Peter Jules van Overloop
09:45–10:00
EGU2011-5272
Hydrologic forecasting and uncertainty research in Australia
Thomas Pagano, Qj Wang, Prasantha Hapuarachchi, Durga Lal Shrestha, and Julia Anticev
COFFEE BREAK
10:30–10:45
EGU2011-10426 | presentation | presentation
Probabilistic Flood Forecast Within A Time Horizon
Gabriele Coccia and Ezio Todini
10:45–11:00
EGU2011-2918
Estimation and visualisation of predictive hydrological uncertainty for Ovens River, Australia
Jan Verkade, Jaap Schellekens, and Chris Leahy
11:00–11:15
EGU2011-10800
Uncertainty estimates by Bayesian method with different likelihood functions and in hydrological models with varying time scales
Lu Li, Chong-Yu Xu, Jun Xia, Kolbjørn Engeland, and Paolo Reggiani
11:15–11:30
EGU2011-8206
Ensemble Kalman filter-based discharge observation sensitivity within a spatially distributed hydrological model
Oldrich Rakovec, Albrecht Weerts, Pieter Hazenberg, Julius Sumihar, Paul Torfs, and Remko Uijlenhoet
11:30–11:45
EGU2011-2153
Joint consideration of timing and amplitude uncertainties in hydrological simulation and forecasting
Simon Seibert and Uwe Ehret
11:45–12:00
EGU2011-3781
Influence of sampling strategies on estimation of hydrological models uncertainty
Nagendra Kayastha, Durga Lal Shrestha, and Dimitri Solomatine