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Oral Programme AS1.2

AS1.2

Numerical weather prediction, data assimilation and ensemble forecasting
Convener: Haraldur Ólafsson  | Co-Convener: Jian-Wen Bao 
Oral Programme
 / Fri, 27 Apr, 08:30–12:00  / 13:30–15:00  / Room 14
Poster Programme
 / Attendance Fri, 27 Apr, 15:30–17:00  / Hall X/Y
Poster Summaries & DiscussionsPSD10.1 

Friday, 27 April 2012
Room 14
Chairperson: Haraldur Ólafsson
08:30–08:45
EGU2012-1324
WRFDA 2012 Overview (solicited)
X.-Y. Huang
08:45–09:00
EGU2012-13154
Assimilating data from an unmanned aircraft into a local-scale numerical weather forecast
M.O. Jonassen, H. Ólafsson, H. Ágústsson, Ó. Rögnvaldsson, and J. Reuder
09:00–09:15
EGU2012-8839 | presentation
Detailed Analysis of ECMWF Surface Pressure Data
E. Fagiolini, T. Schmidt, G. Schwarz, and L. Zenner
09:15–09:30
EGU2012-12409
Evaluation of Experimental Models for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting in Support of the NOAA Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP)
P. A. Kucera, B. G Brown, L. Nance, and C. Williams
09:30–09:45
EGU2012-9662 | presentation
Gradient descent assimilation for the point-vortex model
E B Suckling and L A Smith
09:45–10:00
EGU2012-8249
Guidance for targeting campaigns of Mediterranean High-impact weather
L. Garcies and V. Homar
COFFEE BREAK
10:30–10:45
EGU2012-1511 | presentation
Worst case forecasting of Hurricane Irene (2011)
R N Hoffman, D Gombos, and B K Woods
10:45–11:00
EGU2012-4140
A Simulation Study on the Torrential Rainfall over Plain Area of Southwestern Taiwan During the Invasion of Typhoon Fanapi (2010)
T.-C. Yeh, D.-S. Chen, L.-F. Hsiao, C.-H. Li, M.-H. Cheng, and K.-N. Huang
11:00–11:15
EGU2012-3971
Testing of Typhoon WRF (TWRF) Initial Field and Its Application to Operational Typhoon Prediction at Taiwan
D.-S. Chen, L.-F. Hsiao, T.-C. Yeh, and Y.-R. Guo
11:15–11:30
EGU2012-2527
Impact of a Land Surface Model (LSM) in a Mesoscale Model on the Prediction of Heavy Precipitation Events
R. Hodur and B. Jakubiak
11:30–11:45
EGU2012-11911 | presentation
Limited area NWP and regional climate modeling: A test of the relaxation vs Eta lateral boundary condition schemes
F. Mesinger and K. Veljovic
11:45–12:00
EGU2012-5315
Atmospheric Predictability Revisited
L.S.R. Froude and L. Bengtsson
LUNCH BREAK
13:30–13:45
EGU2012-5018
Further development of NCEP's Multi-scale Eulerian NMMB model
Z. Janjic and R. Vasic
13:45–14:00
EGU2012-6090 | presentation
A method for improving time-stepping numerics
PD Williams
14:00–14:15
EGU2012-5168
Development of Lagrangian vertical coordinate for UM ENDGame dynamical core
I. Kavcic and J. Thuburn
14:15–14:30
EGU2012-6043
Ensemble simulations with perturbed physical parametrisations: Pre-HyMeX case studies
A. Hally, S. Fresnay, E. Richard, and D. Lambert
14:30–14:45
EGU2012-2740 | presentation
NWP model forecast skill optimization via closure parameter variations
H. Järvinen, P. Ollinaho, M. Laine, A. Solonen, and H. Haario
14:45–15:00
EGU2012-14389
Using synchronization in multi-model ensembles to improve prediction
P. Hiemstra and F. Selten