Oral Programme AS1.2
AS1.2 Numerical weather prediction, data assimilation and ensemble forecasting |
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Convener: Haraldur Ólafsson | Co-Convener: Jian-Wen Bao | |
Oral Programme
/ Fri, 27 Apr, 08:30–12:00
/ 13:30–15:00
/ Room 14
Poster Programme
/ Attendance Fri, 27 Apr, 15:30–17:00
/ Hall X/Y
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Friday, 27 April 2012 Room 14 Chairperson: Haraldur Ólafsson |
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08:30–08:45 |
EGU2012-1324
WRFDA 2012 Overview (solicited) X.-Y. Huang |
08:45–09:00 |
EGU2012-13154
Assimilating data from an unmanned aircraft into a local-scale numerical weather forecast M.O. Jonassen, H. Ólafsson, H. Ágústsson, Ó. Rögnvaldsson, and J. Reuder |
09:00–09:15 |
EGU2012-8839
| presentation
Detailed Analysis of ECMWF Surface Pressure Data E. Fagiolini, T. Schmidt, G. Schwarz, and L. Zenner |
09:15–09:30 |
EGU2012-12409
Evaluation of Experimental Models for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting in Support of the NOAA Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP) P. A. Kucera, B. G Brown, L. Nance, and C. Williams |
09:30–09:45 |
EGU2012-9662
| presentation
Gradient descent assimilation for the point-vortex model E B Suckling and L A Smith |
09:45–10:00 |
EGU2012-8249
Guidance for targeting campaigns of Mediterranean High-impact weather L. Garcies and V. Homar |
COFFEE BREAK
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10:30–10:45 |
EGU2012-1511
| presentation
Worst case forecasting of Hurricane Irene (2011) R N Hoffman, D Gombos, and B K Woods |
10:45–11:00 |
EGU2012-4140
A Simulation Study on the Torrential Rainfall over Plain Area of Southwestern Taiwan During the Invasion of Typhoon Fanapi (2010) T.-C. Yeh, D.-S. Chen, L.-F. Hsiao, C.-H. Li, M.-H. Cheng, and K.-N. Huang |
11:00–11:15 |
EGU2012-3971
Testing of Typhoon WRF (TWRF) Initial Field and Its Application to Operational Typhoon Prediction at Taiwan D.-S. Chen, L.-F. Hsiao, T.-C. Yeh, and Y.-R. Guo |
11:15–11:30 |
EGU2012-2527
Impact of a Land Surface Model (LSM) in a Mesoscale Model on the Prediction of Heavy Precipitation Events R. Hodur and B. Jakubiak |
11:30–11:45 |
EGU2012-11911
| presentation
Limited area NWP and regional climate modeling: A test of the relaxation vs Eta lateral boundary condition schemes F. Mesinger and K. Veljovic |
11:45–12:00 |
EGU2012-5315
Atmospheric Predictability Revisited L.S.R. Froude and L. Bengtsson |
LUNCH BREAK
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13:30–13:45 |
EGU2012-5018
Further development of NCEP's Multi-scale Eulerian NMMB model Z. Janjic and R. Vasic |
13:45–14:00 |
EGU2012-6090
| presentation
A method for improving time-stepping numerics PD Williams |
14:00–14:15 |
EGU2012-5168
Development of Lagrangian vertical coordinate for UM ENDGame dynamical core I. Kavcic and J. Thuburn |
14:15–14:30 |
EGU2012-6043
Ensemble simulations with perturbed physical parametrisations: Pre-HyMeX case studies A. Hally, S. Fresnay, E. Richard, and D. Lambert |
14:30–14:45 |
EGU2012-2740
| presentation
NWP model forecast skill optimization via closure parameter variations H. Järvinen, P. Ollinaho, M. Laine, A. Solonen, and H. Haario |
14:45–15:00 |
EGU2012-14389
Using synchronization in multi-model ensembles to improve prediction P. Hiemstra and F. Selten |