Orals NP5.2
NP5.2 Error growth dynamics and related predictability problems |
Co-Conveners: Wansuo Duan , Stéphane Vannitsem |
Thursday, 11 April 2013 Room Y10 Chairperson: Stéphane Vannitsem, Wansuo Duan |
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13:30–13:45 |
EGU2013-7401
Flow dependent predictability of the North Atlantic jet Thomas Frame, John Methven, Suzanne Gray, and Maarten Ambaum |
13:45–14:00 |
EGU2013-2721
A nonlinear technique to identify optimal model errors Wansuo Duan and Feifan Zhou |
14:00–14:15 |
EGU2013-780
Error dynamics in shell models for turbulence Lesley De Cruz and Stéphane Vannitsem |
14:15–14:30 |
EGU2013-1492
Improved ensemble-mean forecast skills of ENSO events by a zero-mean stochastic model-error model of an intermediate coupled model Fei Zheng and Jiang Zhu |
14:30–14:45 |
EGU2013-5524
A new Approach to Estimate Initial Condition Uncertainty Structures in Mesoscale Models Liselotte Bach, Jan D. Keller, and Andreas Hense |
14:45–15:00 |
EGU2013-1159
Relationships between the Limit of Predictability and Initial Error in the Uncoupled and Coupled Lorenz Models Ruiqiang Ding and Jianping Li |