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Orals NP5.2

NP5.2

Error growth dynamics and related predictability problems
Co-Conveners: Wansuo Duan , Stéphane Vannitsem 
Orals
 / Thu, 11 Apr, 13:30–15:00  / Room Y10
Posters
 / Attendance Thu, 11 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Blue Posters

Thursday, 11 Apr 2013
Room Y10
Chairperson: Stéphane Vannitsem, Wansuo Duan
13:30–13:45
EGU2013-7401
Flow dependent predictability of the North Atlantic jet
Thomas Frame, John Methven, Suzanne Gray, and Maarten Ambaum
13:45–14:00
EGU2013-2721
A nonlinear technique to identify optimal model errors
Wansuo Duan and Feifan Zhou
14:00–14:15
EGU2013-780
Error dynamics in shell models for turbulence
Lesley De Cruz and Stéphane Vannitsem
14:15–14:30
EGU2013-1492
Improved ensemble-mean forecast skills of ENSO events by a zero-mean stochastic model-error model of an intermediate coupled model
Fei Zheng and Jiang Zhu
14:30–14:45
EGU2013-5524
A new Approach to Estimate Initial Condition Uncertainty Structures in Mesoscale Models
Liselotte Bach, Jan D. Keller, and Andreas Hense
14:45–15:00
EGU2013-1159
Relationships between the Limit of Predictability and Initial Error in the Uncoupled and Coupled Lorenz Models
Ruiqiang Ding and Jianping Li