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Orals AS1.1

AS1.1

Numerical weather prediction, data assimilation and ensemble forecasting
Convener: Haraldur Ólafsson  | Co-Convener: Jian-Wen Bao 
Orals
 / Mon, 08 Apr, 08:30–12:00  / 13:30–17:00  / Room B14
Posters
 / Attendance Mon, 08 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Yellow Posters

Monday, 8 April 2013
Room B14
Chairperson: Jian-Wen Bao
08:30–08:45
EGU2013-4678 | presentation | presentation
The ECMWF OpenIFS model (solicited)
Glenn Carver, Filip Váňa, Walter Zwieflhofer, Erland Källén, Peter Bauer, Umberto Modigliani, Deborah Salmond, Abdel Hannachi, Joakim Kjellsson, and Michael Tjernström
08:45–09:00
EGU2013-1516
Factors influencing skill improvements in the ECMWF forecasting system
Erland Källén and Linus Magnusson
09:00–09:15
EGU2013-4485
Characteristics of occasional poor medium-range weather forecasts for Europe
Mark Rodwell, Linus Magnusson, Peter Bauer, Peter Bechtold, Massimo Bonavita, Carla Cardinali, Michail Diamantakis, Paul Earnshaw, Antonio Garcia-Mendez, Lars Isaksen, Erland Kallen, Daniel Klocke, Philippe Lopez, Tony McNally, Anders Persson, Fernando Prates, and Nils Wedi
09:15–09:30
EGU2013-4738 | presentation | presentation
A novel approach for tuning ensemble prediction systems
Antti Solonen and Heikki Järvinen
09:30–09:45
EGU2013-5925
Towards an adaptive multiscale ensemble system with stochastic parameterisations
Kirstin Kober, George C. Craig, Annette Förster, and Tobias Selz
09:45–10:00
EGU2013-12517
The HARMONIE system: scientific status and challenges (solicited)
Piet Termonia
COFFEE BREAK
10:30–10:45
EGU2013-6557
NCEP's Multi-scale Eulerian NMMB model (solicited)
Zavisa Janjic, Vladimir Djurdjevic, Ratko Vasic, Brad Ferrier, and Hsin-Mu Lin
10:45–11:00
EGU2013-6332
Testing and Improvement of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model to Support Research and Real-Time Forecasts
Wei Wang
11:00–11:15
EGU2013-5973 | presentation | presentation
Eta or eta-like vs sigma coordinate: A review of available evidence
Fedor Mesinger, Pablo Luis Antico, Katarina Veljovic, Caroline Mourão, and Sin Chan Chou
11:15–11:30
EGU2013-8217 | presentation | presentation
NCEP's multi-scale NMMB model in the Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia: experiences and recent model developments
Vladimir Djurdjevic, Zavisa Janjic, Goran Pejanovic, Ratko Vasic, Borivoj Rajkovic, Mirjam Vujadinovic, Ana Vukovic, and Milos Lompar
11:30–11:45
EGU2013-10170
Predictability of a catastrophic rainfall event: evaluation of precursors.
Simon Fresnay, Philippe Arbogast, Dominique Lambert, Karine Maynard, and Evelyne Richard
11:45–12:00
EGU2013-8832
Ensemble postprocessing and verification of the vertical structure of the atmosphere
Christoph Renkl and Petra Friederichs
LUNCH BREAK
13:30–13:45
EGU2013-11736
Mesoscale ensemble sensitivity analysis for predictability studies and observing network design in complex terrain (solicited)
Joshua Hacker
13:45–14:00
EGU2013-2127
Assimilation of wind speed and direction observations: A new formulation and results from idealized experiments
Xiang-Yu Huang, Feng Gao, Neil Jacobs, and Hongli Wang
14:00–14:15
EGU2013-1799 | presentation | presentation
Typhoon Track Forecast with a hybrid GSI-ETKF data assimilation system
Hong Li, Jingyao Luo, Baode Chen, and Xiaofeng Wang
14:15–14:30
EGU2013-3891 | presentation | presentation
Correction of non-additive errors in variational and ensemble data assimilation using image registration
Tomas Landelius, Jelena Bojarova, Nils Gustafsson, and Magnus Lindskog
14:30–14:45
EGU2013-6647
Local deep convection in a megacity environment: A high-resolution modeling study with a rapid refresh system
Xiaofeng Wang, Xiaolin Xu, Ping Wang, Jia Li, Lei Zhang, and Baode Chen
14:45–15:00
EGU2013-8956
The Prediction of Significant Precipitation Events using a High-Resolution Mesoscale Model
Richard M. Hodur and Bogumil Jakubiak
COFFEE BREAK
15:30–15:45
EGU2013-2158
A multi-scale modeling system with unified physics (solicited)
Song-You Hong
15:45–16:00
EGU2013-2096
Representation of model error in a convective-scale ensemble
Alison Rudd, Laura Baker, Stefano Migliorini, and Ross Bannister
16:00–16:15
EGU2013-2577
A numerical study of background cloud condensation nuclei's effects on microphysics of the typhoon Morakot
Baode Chen, Xiaojing Liang, and Xiaofeng Wang
16:15–16:30
EGU2013-5746
Experimenting with a Convective Parameterization Scheme Suitable for High-Resolution Mesoscale Models in Tropical Cyclone Simulations
Evelyn Grell, Georg Grell, and Jian-Wen Bao
16:30–16:45
EGU2013-2829
Evaluation of PBL Parameterization schemes based on Large-eddy Simulation
Yuhua Yang, Changhai Liu, Jimy Dudhia, Mitch Moncrieff, Wei Wang, and Baode Chen
16:45–17:00
EGU2013-2536
Soil Field Model Interoperability: Challenges and Impact on Screen Temperature Forecast Skill during the Nordic Winter
Jørn Kristiansen, Dag Bjørge, John M. Edwards, and Gabriel G. Rooney