Orals AS1.1
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AS1.1 Numerical weather prediction, data assimilation and ensemble forecasting |
| Convener: Haraldur Ólafsson | Co-Convener: Jian-Wen Bao |
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Monday, 8 April 2013 Room B14 Chairperson: Jian-Wen Bao |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EGU2013-4678
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The ECMWF OpenIFS model (solicited) Glenn Carver, Filip Váňa, Walter Zwieflhofer, Erland Källén, Peter Bauer, Umberto Modigliani, Deborah Salmond, Abdel Hannachi, Joakim Kjellsson, and Michael Tjernström |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EGU2013-1516
Factors influencing skill improvements in the ECMWF forecasting system Erland Källén and Linus Magnusson |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EGU2013-4485
Characteristics of occasional poor medium-range weather forecasts for Europe Mark Rodwell, Linus Magnusson, Peter Bauer, Peter Bechtold, Massimo Bonavita, Carla Cardinali, Michail Diamantakis, Paul Earnshaw, Antonio Garcia-Mendez, Lars Isaksen, Erland Kallen, Daniel Klocke, Philippe Lopez, Tony McNally, Anders Persson, Fernando Prates, and Nils Wedi |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EGU2013-4738
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A novel approach for tuning ensemble prediction systems Antti Solonen and Heikki Järvinen |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EGU2013-5925
Towards an adaptive multiscale ensemble system with stochastic parameterisations Kirstin Kober, George C. Craig, Annette Förster, and Tobias Selz |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EGU2013-12517
The HARMONIE system: scientific status and challenges (solicited) Piet Termonia |
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COFFEE BREAK
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| 10:30–10:45 |
EGU2013-6557
NCEP's Multi-scale Eulerian NMMB model (solicited) Zavisa Janjic, Vladimir Djurdjevic, Ratko Vasic, Brad Ferrier, and Hsin-Mu Lin |
| 10:45–11:00 |
EGU2013-6332
Testing and Improvement of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model to Support Research and Real-Time Forecasts Wei Wang |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2013-5973
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Eta or eta-like vs sigma coordinate: A review of available evidence Fedor Mesinger, Pablo Luis Antico, Katarina Veljovic, Caroline Mourão, and Sin Chan Chou |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2013-8217
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NCEP's multi-scale NMMB model in the Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia: experiences and recent model developments Vladimir Djurdjevic, Zavisa Janjic, Goran Pejanovic, Ratko Vasic, Borivoj Rajkovic, Mirjam Vujadinovic, Ana Vukovic, and Milos Lompar |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2013-10170
Predictability of a catastrophic rainfall event: evaluation of precursors. Simon Fresnay, Philippe Arbogast, Dominique Lambert, Karine Maynard, and Evelyne Richard |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2013-8832
Ensemble postprocessing and verification of the vertical structure of the atmosphere Christoph Renkl and Petra Friederichs |
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LUNCH BREAK
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| 13:30–13:45 |
EGU2013-11736
Mesoscale ensemble sensitivity analysis for predictability studies and observing network design in complex terrain (solicited) Joshua Hacker |
| 13:45–14:00 |
EGU2013-2127
Assimilation of wind speed and direction observations: A new formulation and results from idealized experiments Xiang-Yu Huang, Feng Gao, Neil Jacobs, and Hongli Wang |
| 14:00–14:15 |
EGU2013-1799
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Typhoon Track Forecast with a hybrid GSI-ETKF data assimilation system Hong Li, Jingyao Luo, Baode Chen, and Xiaofeng Wang |
| 14:15–14:30 |
EGU2013-3891
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Correction of non-additive errors in variational and ensemble data assimilation using image registration Tomas Landelius, Jelena Bojarova, Nils Gustafsson, and Magnus Lindskog |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EGU2013-6647
Local deep convection in a megacity environment: A high-resolution modeling study with a rapid refresh system Xiaofeng Wang, Xiaolin Xu, Ping Wang, Jia Li, Lei Zhang, and Baode Chen |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EGU2013-8956
The Prediction of Significant Precipitation Events using a High-Resolution Mesoscale Model Richard M. Hodur and Bogumil Jakubiak |
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COFFEE BREAK
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| 15:30–15:45 |
EGU2013-2158
A multi-scale modeling system with unified physics (solicited) Song-You Hong |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EGU2013-2096
Representation of model error in a convective-scale ensemble Alison Rudd, Laura Baker, Stefano Migliorini, and Ross Bannister |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EGU2013-2577
A numerical study of background cloud condensation nuclei's effects on microphysics of the typhoon Morakot Baode Chen, Xiaojing Liang, and Xiaofeng Wang |
| 16:15–16:30 |
EGU2013-5746
Experimenting with a Convective Parameterization Scheme Suitable for High-Resolution Mesoscale Models in Tropical Cyclone Simulations Evelyn Grell, Georg Grell, and Jian-Wen Bao |
| 16:30–16:45 |
EGU2013-2829
Evaluation of PBL Parameterization schemes based on Large-eddy Simulation Yuhua Yang, Changhai Liu, Jimy Dudhia, Mitch Moncrieff, Wei Wang, and Baode Chen |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EGU2013-2536
Soil Field Model Interoperability: Challenges and Impact on Screen Temperature Forecast Skill during the Nordic Winter Jørn Kristiansen, Dag Bjørge, John M. Edwards, and Gabriel G. Rooney |