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Orals HS4.3/AS1.17/NH1.10

HS4.3/AS1.17/NH1.10

Ensemble hydro-meteorological forecasting (co-organized)
Convener: Schalk Jan van Andel  | Co-Conveners: Maria-Helena Ramos , Sara Liguori , Florian Pappenberger , Yi He , Ronald Hutjes 
Orals
 / Thu, 01 May, 08:30–12:00
Posters
 / Attendance Thu, 01 May, 17:30–19:00

Thursday, 1 May 2014
Room R6
Chairperson: Sara Liguori and Schalk Jan van Andel
08:30–08:45
EGU2014-1049
Is it bias or not? (solicited)
Marie-Amélie Boucher
08:45–09:00
EGU2014-3129 | presentation
Model-based approach to seasonal ensemble forecast of snowmelt water inflow into a reservoir
Alexander Gelfan, Yuri Motovilov, and Vsevolod Moreido
09:00–09:15
EGU2014-14191
Ensemble Streamflow Predictions in the Três Marias Basin, Brazil
Fernando Mainardi Fan, Dirk Schwanenberg, Julio Kuwajima, Alberto Assis dos Reis, and Walter Collischonn
09:15–09:30
EGU2014-12028
Probabilistic rainfall and streamflow prediction in Japanese small basin using EnKF
Tomoki Ushiyama, Takahiro Sayama, Yoichi Iwami, and Takemasa Miyoshi
09:30–09:45
EGU2014-1390
Seasonal forecasting of groundwater levels in natural aquifers in the United Kingdom
Jonathan Mackay, Christopher Jackson, Magdalena Pachocka, Anca Brookshaw, and Adam Scaife
09:45–10:00
EGU2014-2268
Developing a Seamless Hydrologic Forecast System: Integrating weather and climate prediction
Xing Yuan, Eric Wood, and Miaoling Liang
Coffee Break
10:30–11:00
EGU2014-3873
HEPS challenges the wisdom of the crowds: the PEAK-Box Game. Try it yourself! (solicited)
Massimiliano Zappa, Kaethi Liechti, Florian Pappenberger, Schalk Jan van Andel, and Maria-Helena Ramos
11:00–11:15
EGU2014-2359
Multimodel ensemble predictions of river stages computed in real time: application of the HydroProg system in the upper Nysa Kłodzka basin (SW Poland)
Tomasz Niedzielski, Bartłomiej Miziński, Maciej Kryza, Paweł Netzel, Małgorzata Wieczorek, Waldemar Spallek, Mariusz Szymanowski, Piotr Migoń, Marek Kasprzak, Matylda Witek, Justyna Jeziorska, and Wiesław Kosek
11:15–11:30
EGU2014-13240 | presentation
The curse of abundance - A first attempt to design a hydrological multimodel system for forecasting purposes over Europe
Fredrik Wetterhall, Emanuel Dutra, Chantal Donnelly, Lena Strömbäck, Peter Salamon, Lorenzo Alfieri, Konrad Bogner, Gianpaolo Balsamo, and Florian Pappenberger
11:30–11:45
EGU2014-12808
Development of a flood early warning system and communication with end-users: the Vipava/Vipacco case study in the KULTURisk FP7 project
Giovanna Grossi, Paolo Caronna, and Roberto Ranzi
11:45–12:00
EGU2014-7131
Decision-relevant early-warning thresholds for ensemble flood forecasting systems
Liz Stephens, Florian Pappenberger, Hannah Cloke, and Lorenzo Alfieri