Orals NP5.2
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NP5.2 Initial error dynamics and model error physics in predictability studies of weather and climate |
| Co-Conveners: Stéphane Vannitsem , Wansuo Duan |
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Thursday, 1 May 2014 Room B3 Chairperson: Mu Mu, Stéphane Vannitsem, Wansuo Duan |
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| 10:30–10:45 |
EGU2014-13882
Sensitivity and predictability for weather and climate (solicited) Michael Ghil |
| 10:45–11:00 |
EGU2014-1490
Optimal precursor and optimally growing initial error in the predictability studies of Kuroshio large meander and their nonlinear evolution mechanism Mu Mu, Qiang Wang, and Henk A. Dijkstra |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2014-1762
Avoiding the ensemble decorrelation problem using member-by-member post-processing Bert Van Schaeybroeck and Stéphane Vannitsem |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2014-1706
Nonlinear forcing singular vector -type tendency errors of the Zebiak-Cane model and its effect on ENSO predictability Wansuo Duan and Peng Zhao |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2014-4816
Predictability of extreme values in geophysical models Alef Sterk, Mark Holland, Pau Rabassa, Henk Broer, and Renato Vitolo |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2014-16379
The Application of Nonlinear Local Lyapunov Vectors to Ensemble Prediction in a barotropic quasi-geostrophicmodel Ruiqiang Ding, Jie Feng, Deqiang Liu, and Jianping Li |