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Orals CL3.3

CL3.3

Decadal, seasonal and monthly climate predictions
Convener: Wolfgang Müller  | Co-Conveners: Stéphane Vannitsem , Mark A. Liniger , Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes 
Orals
 / Tue, 14 Apr, 08:30–12:00  / Room Y6
Posters
 / Attendance Tue, 14 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Yellow Posters

Tuesday, 14 April 2015
Room Y6
Chairperson: Wolfgang Müller
08:30–08:45
EGU2015-13218
Who is the user of our climate predictions?
Carlo Buontempo
08:45–09:00
EGU2015-3311
Daily calibration of seasonal forecasts to derive impact-relevant climate indices
Jonas Bhend, Christoph Spirig, Irina Mahlstein, and Mark Liniger
09:00–09:15
EGU2015-3755
A novel approach for the predictability of the Indian Summer Monsoon onset
Veronika Stolbova and Jurgen Kurths
09:15–09:30
EGU2015-8276
Seasonal Drought Predictability and Forecast Skill over China
Feng Ma and Xing Yuan
09:30–09:45
EGU2015-12916
Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM
Francois Counillon, Ingo Bethke, Yiguo Wang, Noel Keenlyside, and Laurent Bertino
09:45–10:00
EGU2015-6924
Using Scaling for accurate stochastic macroweather forecasts (including the “pause”)
Shaun Lovejoy and Lenin del Rio Amador
Coffee Break
10:30–10:45
EGU2015-8957
Validation of Atmospheric Dynamics (VADY) – connections between planetary waves and atmospheric circulation types
Benjamin Lang, Jucundus Jacobeit, Christoph Beck, and Andreas Philipp
10:45–11:00
EGU2015-7617
Decadal predictions with the high-resolution HiGEM coupled climate model
Len Shaffrey, Dave Stevens, Jon Robson, Dan Hodson, Ian Stevens, Ed Hawkins, and Rowan Sutton
11:00–11:15
EGU2015-8137
Multiyear Predictability of Surface Air Temperature in the Kiel Climate Model
Yanling Wu, Mojib Latif, and Wonsun Park
11:15–11:30
EGU2015-11705
Probabilistic evaluation of oceanic and atmospheric predictions using the MiKlip system
Sophie Stolzenberger, Rita Glowienka-Hense, Thomas Spangehl, Marc Schroeder, and Andreas Hense
11:30–11:45
EGU2015-12298
Skill of probabilistic decadal forecasts regarding the frequencies of Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical cyclones
Kruschke Tim, Henning Rust, Christopher Kadow, Uwe Ulbrich, and Gregor Leckebusch
11:45–12:00
EGU2015-9068
Decadal predictions of the North Atlantic CO2 uptake
Hongmei Li, Tatiana Ilyina, and Wolfgang Müller