Orals CL3.3
CL3.3 Decadal, seasonal and monthly climate predictions |
Convener: Wolfgang Müller | Co-Conveners: Stéphane Vannitsem , Mark A. Liniger , Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes |
Tuesday, 14 April 2015 Room Y6 Chairperson: Wolfgang Müller |
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08:30–08:45 |
EGU2015-13218
Who is the user of our climate predictions? Carlo Buontempo |
08:45–09:00 |
EGU2015-3311
Daily calibration of seasonal forecasts to derive impact-relevant climate indices Jonas Bhend, Christoph Spirig, Irina Mahlstein, and Mark Liniger |
09:00–09:15 |
EGU2015-3755
A novel approach for the predictability of the Indian Summer Monsoon onset Veronika Stolbova and Jurgen Kurths |
09:15–09:30 |
EGU2015-8276
Seasonal Drought Predictability and Forecast Skill over China Feng Ma and Xing Yuan |
09:30–09:45 |
EGU2015-12916
Seasonal-decadal prediction with the EnKF and NorESM Francois Counillon, Ingo Bethke, Yiguo Wang, Noel Keenlyside, and Laurent Bertino |
09:45–10:00 |
EGU2015-6924
Using Scaling for accurate stochastic macroweather forecasts (including the “pause”) Shaun Lovejoy and Lenin del Rio Amador |
Coffee Break
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10:30–10:45 |
EGU2015-8957
Validation of Atmospheric Dynamics (VADY) – connections between planetary waves and atmospheric circulation types Benjamin Lang, Jucundus Jacobeit, Christoph Beck, and Andreas Philipp |
10:45–11:00 |
EGU2015-7617
Decadal predictions with the high-resolution HiGEM coupled climate model Len Shaffrey, Dave Stevens, Jon Robson, Dan Hodson, Ian Stevens, Ed Hawkins, and Rowan Sutton |
11:00–11:15 |
EGU2015-8137
Multiyear Predictability of Surface Air Temperature in the Kiel Climate Model Yanling Wu, Mojib Latif, and Wonsun Park |
11:15–11:30 |
EGU2015-11705
Probabilistic evaluation of oceanic and atmospheric predictions using the MiKlip system Sophie Stolzenberger, Rita Glowienka-Hense, Thomas Spangehl, Marc Schroeder, and Andreas Hense |
11:30–11:45 |
EGU2015-12298
Skill of probabilistic decadal forecasts regarding the frequencies of Northern Hemisphere extra-tropical cyclones Kruschke Tim, Henning Rust, Christopher Kadow, Uwe Ulbrich, and Gregor Leckebusch |
11:45–12:00 |
EGU2015-9068
Decadal predictions of the North Atlantic CO2 uptake Hongmei Li, Tatiana Ilyina, and Wolfgang Müller |