bmwfm logo

Find the EGU on

Orals HS4.3/AS1.3/NH1.3

HS4.3/AS1.3/NH1.3

Ensemble hydro-meteorological forecasting (co-organized)
Conveners: Sara Liguori , Maria-Helena Ramos  | Co-Conveners: Florian Pappenberger , Schalk Jan van Andel , Giovanni Battista Chirico 
Orals
 / Wed, 15 Apr, 08:30–12:00  / Room R4
Posters
 / Attendance Wed, 15 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Red Posters

Wednesday, 15 April 2015
Room R4
Chairperson: Maria-Helena Ramos
08:30–08:45
EGU2015-12453
Ensemble seasonal hydrological forecasting at the pan-European scale
Ilias Pechlivanidis, Henrik Spångmyr, Thomas Bosshard, David Gustafsson, and Jonas Olsson
08:45–09:00
EGU2015-4910
Forecasting European Droughts using the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME)
Stephan Thober, Rohini Kumar, Luis Samaniego, Justin Sheffield, David Schäfer, and Juliane Mai
09:00–09:15
EGU2015-13741
Using ensembles in water management: forecasting dry and wet episodes
Tessa van het Schip-Haverkamp, Wim van den Berg, and Remco van de Beek
09:15–09:30
EGU2015-6095
Against all odds -- Probabilistic forecasts and decision making
Katharina Liechti and Massimiliano Zappa
09:30–10:00
EGU2015-12238
How much are you prepared to PAY for a forecast? (solicited)
Louise Arnal, Erin Coughlan, Maria-Helena Ramos, Florian Pappenberger, Fredrik Wetterhall, Carina Bachofen, and Schalk Jan van Andel
Coffee Break
10:30–10:45
EGU2015-6529
Multimodel hydrologic ensemble predictions of peak flows: lessons learned from the real-time experiment in the upper Nysa Klodzka basin (SW Poland)
Tomasz Niedzielski and Bartlomiej Mizinski
10:45–11:00
EGU2015-15786
Extracting local information from crowds through betting markets
Steven Weijs
11:00–11:15
EGU2015-730
A pan-African medium-range ensemble flood forecast system
Vera Thiemig, Bernard Bisselink, Florian Pappenberger, and Jutta Thielen
11:15–11:30
EGU2015-4171
A New Multivariate Approach in Generating Ensemble Meteorological Forcings for Hydrological Forecasting
Sepideh Khajehei and Hamid Moradkhani
11:30–11:45
EGU2015-11533
Bayesian modeling of rainfall-runoff uncertainty to improve probabilistic forecasts
Marie Courbariaux, Éric Parent, Anne-Catherine Favre, Luc Perreault, Joël Gailhard, and Pierre Barbillon
11:45–12:00
EGU2015-10365
On the proper use of Ensembles for Predictive Uncertainty assessment
Ezio Todini, Gabriele Coccia, and Enrique Ortiz