Orals NP4.4
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NP4.4 Inferring Models from Data for Qualitative vs. Quantitative Forecasts |
| Convener: Alexander Feigin | Co-Conveners: Jürgen Kurths , Jonathan Donges , Karsten Steinhaeuser |
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Monday, 13 April 2015 Room B1 Chairperson: Alexander Feigin |
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| 08:30–09:00 |
EGU2015-5729
Reconstruction of principal dynamical modes from climatic variability: nonlinear approach (solicited) Dmitry Mukhin, Andrey Gavrilov, Evgeny Loskutov, Alexander Feigin, and Juergen Kurths |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EGU2015-2853
Stochastic Modeling of Decadal Variability in Ocean Gyres Dmitri Kondrashov and Pavel Berloff |
| 09:15–09:45 |
EGU2015-3263
The use of complex network techniques to determine (future) climate transitions (solicited) Media interest Qingyi Feng, Jan Viebahn, and Henk A. Dijkstra |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EGU2015-12425
Optimal model-free prediction from multivariate time series Jakob Runge, Reik V. Donner, and Jürgen Kurths |
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Coffee Break
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| 10:30–11:00 |
EGU2015-3865
Data-based Non-Markovian Model Inference (solicited) Media interest Michael Ghil |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2015-3384
Weather and event generators based on analogues of atmospheric circulation Pascal Yiou |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2015-10483
Percolation-based precursors of transitions in dynamical systems Victor Manuel Rodriguez Mendez, Victor M. Eguiluz, Jose J. Ramasco, and Emilio Hernandez-Garcia |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2015-10922
How Amazonian deforestation can alter the South American circulation regime: Insights from a non-linear moisture transport model Niklas Boers, Norbert Marwan, Henrique Barbosa, and Jürgen Kurths |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2015-14422
Climate network reveals the effect of deep equatorial Pacific ridge on El-Nino yang wang, avi Gozolchiani, Yosef Ashkenazy, and Shlomo Havlin |