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Orals AS1.1

AS1.1

Numerical weather prediction, data assimilation and ensemble forecasting
Convener: Haraldur Ólafsson  | Co-Convener: Jian-Wen Bao 
Orals
 / Fri, 22 Apr, 13:30–17:00
Posters
 / Attendance Fri, 22 Apr, 17:30–19:00

Friday, 22 April 2016
Room 0.93
Chairperson: Haraldur Olafsson
13:30–13:45
EGU2016-7391
The DYMECS Project: A Statistical Approach for the Evaluation of Convective Storms in High-Resolution NWP Models (solicited)
Thorwald Stein, Robin Hogan, Kirsty Hanley, Peter Clark, Carol Halliwell, Humphrey Lean, John Nicol, and Robert Plant
13:45–14:00
EGU2016-9321
2015-16 results from the FIM global model for medium-range to subseasonal forecast duration
Stan Benjamin, Shan Sun, Rainer Bleck, Georg Grell, Jian-Wen Bao, and John Brown
14:00–14:15
EGU2016-3846
Challenges and Opportunities in Modeling of the Global Atmosphere
Zavisa Janjic, Vladimir Djurdjevic, and Ratko Vasic
14:15–14:30
EGU2016-11573
Consistency among microphysics-convection-radiation processes in a numerical forecasting model
Soo Ya Bae, Raeseol Park, and Song-You Hong
14:30–14:45
EGU2016-5447
Climatology and Impact of Polar Lows in the North Atlantic: Present and Future
Clio Michel, Magnus Haukeland, and Thomas Spengler
14:45–15:00
EGU2016-5181
Evaluation of high-resolution MetUM and AMPS forecasts of near-surface meteorological variables over Larsen C ice shelf and northern Antarctic Peninsula
Andrew Orr, Amelie Kirchgaessner, John King, Mark Weeks, Alan Gadian, Peter Kuipers Munneke, Michiel van den Broeke, and Konrad Steffen
Coffee break
15:30–15:45
EGU2016-2626
Soil Moisture Prediction in the Soil, Vegetation and Snow (SVS) Scheme
Nasim Alavi, Stéphane Bélair, Vincent Fortin, Shunli Zhang, Syed Husain, Marco Carrera, and Maria Abrahamowicz
15:45–16:00
EGU2016-3074
Evaluating the impact of AMDAR data quality control in China on the short-range convection forecasts using the WRF model
Xiaofeng Wang, Qin Jiang, and Lei Zhang
16:00–16:15
EGU2016-7723
A weak-constraint 4DEnsembleVar
Javier Amezcua, Michael Goodliff, and Peter Jan van Leeuwen
16:15–16:30
EGU2016-13429
Convective-scale data assimilation in the Weather Research and Forecasting model using a nonlinear ensemble filter
Jonathan Poterjoy, Jeffrey Anderson, and Ryan Sobash
16:30–16:45
EGU2016-8884
Diagnostic studies of ensemble forecast “jumps”
Linus Magnusson, Tim Hewson, Laura Ferranti, and Mark Rodwell
16:45–17:00
EGU2016-6320
A global perspective of the limits of prediction skill based on the ECMWF ensemble
Nedjeljka Zagar