Orals AS1.1
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AS1.1 Numerical weather prediction, data assimilation and ensemble forecasting |
| Convener: Haraldur Ólafsson | Co-Convener: Jian-Wen Bao |
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Tuesday, 25 April 2017 Room E2 Chairperson: Jian-Wen Bao |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EGU2017-16974
The NWP system at Météo-France and the low cloud forecast: still a challenge ? (solicited) Eric Bazile |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EGU2017-11399
NWP prediction at ESRL/GSD: Latest developments and applications for physics parameterizations (solicited) Georg Grell, Joseph Olson, Stan Benjamin, Tanya Smirnova, Jaymes Kenyon, Eric James, Li Zhang, Ravan Ahmadov, and John Brown |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EGU2017-3091
Medium-range forecasts with a non-hydrostatic global atmospheric model on a cubed sphere grid (solicited) Song-You Hong, Young-Cheol Kwon, Kyung-Hee Seol, Suk-Jin Choi, In-Hyeok Kwon, Tae-Hoon Kim, Eun-Hee Lee, Rae-Seol Park, and Dong-Il Kim |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EGU2017-3955
Developing a high-resolution regional atmospheric reanalysis for Australia Christopher White, Paul Fox-Hughes, Chun-Hsu Su, Dörte Jakob, Greg Kociuba, Nathan Eisenberg, Peter Steinle, Rebecca Harris, Stuart Corney, Peter Love, Tomas Remenyi, Mark Chladil, John Bally, and Nathan Bindoff |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EGU2017-15066
Can limited area NWP and/or RCM models improve on large scales inside their domain? Fedor Mesinger and Katarina Veljovic |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EGU2017-19274
Does the Representation of Flow Structure and Turbulence at a Cold Front Converge on Multi-scale Observations with Model Resolution? Ben Harvey, John John Methven, Chloe Eagle, and Humphrey Lean |
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Coffee break
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| 10:30–10:45 |
EGU2017-3740
Stochastic parameterization testing with NOAA’s developmental Global Ensemble Forecast System (solicited) Thomas M. Hamill |
| 10:45–11:00 |
EGU2017-11896
| presentation
Predictability of 2-m temperature across space and time scales Thomas Haiden and Zied Ben Bouallegue |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2017-5633
Orographic drag uncertainties impact forecast skill Irina Sandu, Ayrton Zadra, Nils Wedi, and Julio Bacmeister |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2017-8222
Uncertainties and coupled error covariances in the CERA-20C, ECMWF's first coupled reanalysis ensemble Xiangbo Feng and Keith Haines |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2017-11668
For how long can we predict the weather? – Insights into atmospheric predictability from global convection-allowing simulations Falko Judt |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2017-18038
Predictability and Model Uncertainty of MJO Convective Initiation and Propagation in ECMWF Stochastic Ensemble Forecasts Shuyi Chen, Brandon Kerns, Hannah Christensen, and Mahsa Mirzargar |
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Lunch break
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| 13:30–13:45 |
EGU2017-4168
Shallow marine cloud topped boundary layer in atmospheric models Zavisa Janjic |
| 13:45–14:00 |
EGU2017-17891
WOD - Weather On Demand forecasting system Olafur Rognvaldsson, Logi Ragnarsson, and Karolina Stanislawska |
| 14:00–14:15 |
"Scale-dependent estimates of the growth of forecast uncertainties in a global prediction system" by Nedjeljka Žagar
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| 14:15–14:30 |
EGU2017-11092
Predicting weak winds Haraldur Ólafsson |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EGU2017-3395
“Big Data Assimilation” for 30-second-update 100-m-mesh Numerical Weather Prediction Takemasa Miyoshi, Guo-Yuan Lien, Masaru Kunii, Juan Ruiz, Yasumitsu Maejima, Shigenori Otsuka, Keiichi Kondo, Hiromu Seko, Shinsuke Satoh, Tomoo Ushio, Kotaro Bessho, Kazumi Kamide, Hirofumi Tomita, Seiya Nishizawa, Tsuyoshi Yamaura, and Yutaka Ishikawa |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EGU2017-6776
The development of global GRAPES 4DVAR yongzhu liu |
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Coffee break
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| 15:30–15:45 |
EGU2017-10487
Impact of GPS-Integrated Water Vapour assimilation on Regional Climate Model simulations of heavy precipitation events in the western Mediterranean Alberto Caldas-Alvarez and Samiro Khodayar |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EGU2017-1310
Preliminary validation of WRF model in two Arctic fjords, Hornsund and Porsanger Paulina Aniskiewicz and Małgorzata Stramska |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EGU2017-14697
Verification and spread/skill evaluation of a convection-permitting ensemble in dependence of the perturbation strategy. Chiara Marsigli, Andrea Montani, and Tiziana Paccagnella |
| 16:15–16:30 |
EGU2017-18541
Scale-dependent verification of TIGGE forecasts (withdrawn) Suvarchal Kumar Cheedela and Brian Mapes |
| 16:30–16:45 |
EGU2017-18741
Observation impact in short-range ensemble forecasts Tobias Necker, Martin Weissmann, and Matthias Sommer |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EGU2017-11596
Estimation and correction of different flavors of surface observation biases in ensemble Kalman filter Raquel Lorente-Plazas, Josua P. Hacker, Nancy Collins, and Jared A. Lee |