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Orals HS4.2/NH1.11

HS4.2/NH1.11

Predictability, predictive uncertainty estimation and decision-making in hydrologic forecasting (co-organized)
Convener: Albrecht Weerts  | Co-Conveners: Henrik Madsen , Giovanni Battista Chirico , Oldrich Rakovec , Rodolfo Alvarado Montero , Joshua K. Roundy , Hamid Moradkhani , Jan Verkade 
Orals
 / Thu, 27 Apr, 13:30–15:00  / Room 2.44
Posters
 / Attendance Thu, 27 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Hall A

Thursday, 27 Apr 2017
Room 2.44
Chairperson: Albrecht Weerts
13:30–13:45
EGU2017-261
Economic assessment of flood forecasts for a risk-averse decision-maker
Simon Matte, Marie-Amélie Boucher, Vincent Boucher, and Thomas-Charles Fortier-Filion
13:45–14:00
EGU2017-7722
What is the relative role of initial hydrological conditions and meteorological forcing to the seasonal hydrological forecasting skill? Analysis along Europe’s hydro-climatic gradient
Ilias Pechlivanidis and Louise Crochemore
14:00–14:15
EGU2017-11197
Practical implementation of a particle filter data assimilation approach to estimate initial hydrologic conditions and initialize medium-range streamflow forecasts
Elizabeth Clark, Andy Wood, Bart Nijssen, Pablo Mendoza, Andy Newman, Kenneth Nowak, and Jeffrey Arnold
14:15–14:30
EGU2017-18506
Improving probabilistic prediction of daily streamflow by identifying Pareto optimal approaches for modelling heteroscedastic residual errors
McInerney David, Thyer Mark, Kavetski Dmitri, and Kuczera George
14:30–14:45
EGU2017-15679
Combining empirical approaches and error modelling to enhance predictive uncertainty estimation in extrapolation for operational flood forecasting. Tests on flood events on the Loire basin, France.
Lionel Berthet, Renaud Marty, François Bourgin, Julie Viatgé, Olivier Piotte, and Charles Perrin
14:45–15:00
EGU2017-2162
Insights into water managers’ perception and handling of uncertainties – a study of the role of uncertainty in practitioners’ planning and decision-making
Britta Höllermann and Mariele Evers