PICOs NH9.16
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NH9.16 Uncertainty Quantification in Natural Hazard and Risk Assessments: Best practices and lessons learned across different hazards |
| Convener: Jeremy Rohmer | Co-Conveners: J. T. Rougier , Thorsten Wagener , Bruce D. Malamud |
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PICOs
/ Tue, 25 Apr, 15:30–17:00
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Tuesday, 25 April 2017 PICO spot 1 Chairperson: T. Wagener & B. Malamud |
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15:30–15:40 PICO1.1 |
EGU2017-7601
Uncertainty quantification in flood risk assessment Highlight Günter Blöschl, Julia Hall, Andrea Kiss, Juraj Parajka, Rui A.P. Perdigão, Magdalena Rogger, José Luis Salinas, and Alberto Viglione |
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Chairperson: T. Wagener & B. Malamud |
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15:40–15:42 PICO1.2 |
EGU2017-4926
Feedback from uncertainties propagation research projects conducted in different hydraulic fields: outcomes for engineering projects and nuclear safety assessment. Highlight Vito Bacchi, Claire-Marie Duluc, Nathalie Bertrand, and Lise Bardet |
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Chairperson: T. Wagener & B. Malamud |
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15:42–15:44 PICO1.3 |
EGU2017-10619
On the Application of Science Systems Engineering and Uncertainty Quantification for Ice Sheet Science and Sea Level Projections Highlight Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel, Carmen Boening, Eric Larour, Daniel Limonadi, Michael Schodlok, Helene Seroussi, and Michael Watkins |
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Chairperson: T. Wagener & B. Malamud |
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15:44–15:46 PICO1.4 |
EGU2017-11988
Management of uncertainties on parameters elicited by experts – Applications to sea-level rise and to CO2 storage operations risk assessment Jean-Charles Manceau, Annick Loschetter, Jérémy Rohmer, Gonéri Le Cozannet, de Lary Louis, Le Guénan Thomas, and Hnottavange-Telleen Ken |
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Chairperson: T. Wagener & B. Malamud |
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15:46–15:48 PICO1.5 |
EGU2017-7972
Bounding probabilistic sea-level projections within the framework of the possibility theory (withdrawn) Gonéri Le Cozannet, Jean-Charles Manceau, and Jeremy Rohmer |
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Chairperson: T. Wagener & B. Malamud |
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15:48–15:50 PICO1.6 |
EGU2017-3174
Statistical Characteristics of Mesoscale Convective Systems over the Middle Reaches area of the Yellow River During 2005-2014 Zhao Guixiang |
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Chairperson: T. Wagener & B. Malamud |
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15:50–15:52 PICO1.7 |
EGU2017-4460
Combination of uncertainty theories and decision-aiding methods for natural risk management in a context of imperfect information Highlight Jean-Marc Tacnet, Guillaume Dupouy, Simon Carladous, Jean Dezert, and Mireille Batton-Hubert |
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Chairperson: T. Wagener & B. Malamud |
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15:52–15:54 PICO1.8 |
EGU2017-15720
Bayesian inference in mass flow simulations - from back calculation to prediction Andreas Kofler, Jan-Thomas Fischer, Valentin Hellweger, Andreas Huber, Martin Mergili, Shiva Pudasaini, Wolfgang Fellin, and Michael Oberguggenberger |
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Chairperson: T. Wagener & B. Malamud |
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15:54–15:56 PICO1.9 |
EGU2017-7858
Joint analysis of epistemic and aleatory uncertainty in stability analysis for geo-hazard assessments Jeremy Rohmer and Thierry Verdel |
| 15:56–17:00 |
Interactive presentations at PICO screens
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