Orals NP2.1/AS1.25/CL2.10/OS1.13
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NP2.1/AS1.25/CL2.10/OS1.13 ENSO: Dynamics, Predictability and Modelling (co-organized) |
| Convener: Dietmar Dommenget | Co-Conveners: Michael J McPhaden , Andrew Wittenberg , Eric Guilyardi |
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Tuesday, 10 April 2018 Room L2 |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EGU2018-1564
Understanding the warm water volume precursor of ENSO events and its interdecadal variation (solicited) Sonja Neske and Shayne McGregor |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EGU2018-1983
Thermocline feedback associated with the increasing occurrence of Central Pacific ENSO assessed using a linear, multi-mode model Xiaoting Zhu, Richard Greatbatch, and Martin Claus |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EGU2018-8559
Unprecedented 2015/16 Indo-Pacific heat transfer speeds up Tropical Pacific heat recharge Michael Mayer, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, and Leopold Haimberger |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EGU2018-6411
| presentation
On the physical interpretation of the lead relation between Warm Water Volume and the El Niño Southern Oscillation Takeshi Izumo, Matthieu Lengaigne, Jerome Vialard, Iyyappan Suresh, and Yann Planton |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EGU2018-13179
| presentation
The warm water volume, a better predictor of La Niña than of El Niño amplitude Yann Planton, Éric Guilyardi, Matthieu Lengaigne, and Jérôme Vialard |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EGU2018-11560
Predicting El Nino Beyond 1-year Lead: Effect of Western Hemisphere Warm Pool Jong-Seong Kug, Jae-Heung Park, Tim Li, Swadhin Behera, and Jee-Hoon Jeong |
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Coffee break
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| 10:30–10:45 |
EGU2018-14306
Predicting El Niño in 2014 and 2015 with Met Office GloSea5 and ECMWF System4 Sarah Ineson, Magdalena Balmaseda, Mike Davey, Damien Decremer, Nick Dunstone, Margaret Gordon, Hongli Ren, Adam Scaife, and Antje Weisheimer |
| 10:45–11:00 |
EGU2018-9104
ENSO change in climate projections: forced response or internal variability? Nicola Maher, Daniela Matei, Sebastian Milinski, Thibault Tabarin, and Jochem Marotzke |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2018-6627
ENSO's different flavors and global patterns of seasonal climate anomalies Catrin Kirsch, Anna Lensch, and Reik Donner |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2018-11618
Understanding regional teleconnections from strong El Niño events: a case study of east Australian springtime rainfall Peter van Rensch, Julie Arblaster, Ailie Gallant, Wenju Cai, Neville Nicholls, and Paul Durack |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2018-1273
Changes in structure and radiative impact of mesoscale convective systems with ENSO phase Sylvia Sullivan and Pierre Gentine |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2018-3275
Mean-State Dependence of ENSO atmospheric feedbacks and ENSO dynamics in climate models (solicited) Tobias Bayr, Mojib Latif, Dietmar Dommenget, Christian Wengel, Joke Lübbecke, Jan Harlaß, and Wonsun Park |