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Orals NP2.4

NP2.4

New model and data-based approaches to study climate behavior
Convener: Jürgen Kurths  | Co-Conveners: Alexander Feigin , Sergey Kravtsov , Henk A. Dijkstra , Dmitri Kondrashov , Michael Ghil , Christian Franzke , Petra Friederichs , Paul Williams 
Orals
 / Fri, 13 Apr, 08:30–12:00  / Room M1
Posters
 / Attendance Fri, 13 Apr, 13:30–15:00  / Hall X4

Friday, 13 April 2018
Room M1
Chairperson: Jurgen Kurths
08:30–08:45
EGU2018-6421
On climate prediction: How much can we expect from climate memory?
Naiming Yuan, Yan Huang, Jianping Duan, Congwen Zhu, Elena Xoplaki, and Juerg Luterbacher
08:45–09:00
EGU2018-5534
Stochastic Variational Principles for GFD: Modelling the unknown unknowns
Darryl Holm
09:00–09:15
EGU2018-8386
Predictability of Fat-tailed Extremes
Tamas Bodai and Christian Franzke
09:15–09:30
EGU2018-2604
Representing uncertainties in the Next Generation Global Prediction System associated with unresolved flows (solicited)
Lisa Bengtsson, Jian-Wen Bao, Philip Pegion, Sara Michaelson, Cecile Penland, and Jeffrey Withaker
09:30–09:45
EGU2018-3222
A transition between a quasi-linear and nonlinear regime of the tropospheric jet stream
Orli Lachmy and Nili Harnik
09:45–10:00
EGU2018-11289
Constraining Stochastic Parametrisation Schemes using High-Resolution Model Simulations
Hannah Christensen, Andrew Dawson, and Tim Palmer
Coffee break
10:30–10:45
EGU2018-8073
Forced Non-autonomous Empirical Model of the Mid-Pleistocene Transition (solicited) Highlight
Evgeny Loskutov, Dmitry Mukhin, Andrey Gavrilov, Alexey Seleznev, and Alexander Feigin
10:45–11:00 EGU2018-15457
Identifying sudden dynamical shifts in time series with uncertainties (withdrawn after no-show)
Bedartha Goswami, Niklas Boers, Aljoscha Rheinwalt, Norbert Marwan, Jobst Heitzig, Sebastian Breitenbach, and Jürgen Kurths
11:00–11:15
EGU2018-3683
Causal dependences between the coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics over the Tropical Pacific, the North Pacific and the North Atlantic
Stéphane Vannitsem and Pierre Ekelmans
11:15–11:30
EGU2018-9361
CanStoc: a merged CanSIPS-StocSIPS macroweather forecasting system
Lenin Del Rio Amador, Nikola Jajcay, Shaun Lovejoy, and Milan Paluš
11:30–11:45
EGU2018-6190
Detecting abrupt transitions during the Late Quaternary in southern Ethiopia using Recurrence Quantification Analyses
Hauke Krämer, Reik V. Donner, Norbert Marwan, and Martin H. Trauth
11:45–12:00
EGU2018-9521
From Critical Fluctuations to Prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon Highlight
Elena Surovyatkina and Jurgen Kurths