Orals NP2.4
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Friday, 13 April 2018 Room M1 Chairperson: Jurgen Kurths |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EGU2018-6421
On climate prediction: How much can we expect from climate memory? Naiming Yuan, Yan Huang, Jianping Duan, Congwen Zhu, Elena Xoplaki, and Juerg Luterbacher |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EGU2018-5534
Stochastic Variational Principles for GFD: Modelling the unknown unknowns Darryl Holm |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EGU2018-8386
Predictability of Fat-tailed Extremes Tamas Bodai and Christian Franzke |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EGU2018-2604
Representing uncertainties in the Next Generation Global Prediction System associated with unresolved flows (solicited) Lisa Bengtsson, Jian-Wen Bao, Philip Pegion, Sara Michaelson, Cecile Penland, and Jeffrey Withaker |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EGU2018-3222
A transition between a quasi-linear and nonlinear regime of the tropospheric jet stream Orli Lachmy and Nili Harnik |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EGU2018-11289
Constraining Stochastic Parametrisation Schemes using High-Resolution Model Simulations Hannah Christensen, Andrew Dawson, and Tim Palmer |
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Coffee break
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| 10:30–10:45 |
EGU2018-8073
Forced Non-autonomous Empirical Model of the Mid-Pleistocene Transition (solicited) Highlight Evgeny Loskutov, Dmitry Mukhin, Andrey Gavrilov, Alexey Seleznev, and Alexander Feigin |
| 10:45–11:00 |
EGU2018-15457
Identifying sudden dynamical shifts in time series with uncertainties (withdrawn after no-show) Bedartha Goswami, Niklas Boers, Aljoscha Rheinwalt, Norbert Marwan, Jobst Heitzig, Sebastian Breitenbach, and Jürgen Kurths |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2018-3683
Causal dependences between the coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics over the Tropical Pacific, the North Pacific and the North Atlantic Stéphane Vannitsem and Pierre Ekelmans |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2018-9361
CanStoc: a merged CanSIPS-StocSIPS macroweather forecasting system Lenin Del Rio Amador, Nikola Jajcay, Shaun Lovejoy, and Milan Paluš |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2018-6190
Detecting abrupt transitions during the Late Quaternary in southern Ethiopia using Recurrence Quantification Analyses Hauke Krämer, Reik V. Donner, Norbert Marwan, and Martin H. Trauth |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2018-9521
From Critical Fluctuations to Prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon Highlight Elena Surovyatkina and Jurgen Kurths |