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Orals AS1.2

AS1.2

Forecasting the weather
Convener: Yong Wang  | Co-Conveners: Jing Chen , Estelle de Coning , Ken Mylne , David Richardson , Kathrin Wapler , Yuejian Zhu 
Orals
 / Mon, 09 Apr, 08:30–12:00  / 13:30–17:00  / Room E2
Posters
 / Attendance Mon, 09 Apr, 17:30–19:00  / Hall X5

Monday, 09 Apr 2018
Room E2
Chairperson: Estelle De Coning
08:30–08:45
EGU2018-7962
Seamless probabilistic analysis and forecasting: from minutes to days ahead Highlight
Alexander Kann, Yong Wang, Aitor Atencia, Nauman Awan, Markus Dabernig, Josef Kemetmüller, Florian Meier, Irene Schicker, Lukas Tüchler, Clemens Wastl, and Christoph Wittmann
08:45–09:00
EGU2018-6361
Nowcasting orographic precipitation growth and decay using machine learning algorithms on a 10-year radar archive in the Swiss Alps
Loris Foresti, Ioannis V. Sideris, Luca Panziera, Lea Beusch, Daniele Nerini, and Urs Germann
09:00–09:15
EGU2018-8856
Ensemble nowcasting from INCA and AROME-EPS
Aitor Atencia, Alexander Kann, Yong Wang, and Clemens Wastl
09:15–09:30
EGU2018-10716
Weather Perceptualized
Steve Albers, Zoltan Toth, and Daniel Nietfeld
09:30–09:45
EGU2018-8160
Development of a limited area NWP model based nowcasting version for Austria
Florian Meier, Yong Wang, Christoph Wittmann, Xingsheng Xu, Mirela Pietrisi, and Lukas Tüchler
09:45–10:00
EGU2018-16337
Configuration of sub-km Harmonie-nowcasting ensemble
Xiaohua Yang
Coffee break
10:30–10:45
EGU2018-8646 | presentation | presentation
Improving forecasts through rapid updating of temperature trajectories and statistical post-processing
Nina Schuhen, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, and Alex Lenkoski
10:45–11:00
EGU2018-16112 | presentation | presentation
Using Model Output Statistics for Aerodrome Weather Forecasts
Sebastian Trepte, Michael Eckert, and Günter Mahringer
11:00–11:15
EGU2018-13223
Highly resolved spatial temperature and precipitation calibrations of ensemble forecasts for Austria with standardized anomalies
Irene Schicker, Moritz Lang, Markus Dabernig, Alexander Kann, and Yong Wang
11:15–11:30 EGU2018-15374
Are precipitation amounts and threshold probabilities based on calibrated point forecasts (withdrawn)
Reinhold Hess, Björn Kriesche, Peter Schaumann, Bernhard K. Reichert, and Volker Schmidt
11:30–11:45
EGU2018-2932
Comparison of integrated bias correction to ensemble forecast of precipitation in Southeast China
Linna Zhao, Ruiwen Yang, Yuanfa Gong, Xiaomeng Li, and Yue Cao
11:45–12:00
EGU2018-9189
Downscaling precipitation data over the UK
Rachel Prudden
Lunch break
13:30–13:45
EGU2018-9610
NOAA's Strategic Plans for operational environmental modeling Highlight
Hendrik Tolman and Ivanka Stajner
13:45–14:00 EGU2018-8619
Predictability of thunderstorm events with a convection-permitting ensemble (withdrawn)
Chiara Marsigli, Andrea Montani, Tiziana Paccagnella, Davide Cesari, and Maria Stefania Tesini
14:00–14:15
EGU2018-1966
Physical process based stochastic perturbation of model tendencies
Clemens Wastl, Yong Wang, and Christoph Wittmann
14:15–14:30
EGU2018-3793
Ensemble Forecasting and Verification of Extreme Temperature Events in China
Li Gao and Jing Chen
14:30–14:45
EGU2018-1748
Predictability of Wind Gusts during Winter Storms in Central Europe using convection-permitting ensemble forecasts
Florian Pantillon, Sebastian Lerch, Peter Knippertz, and Ulrich Corsmeier
14:45–15:00
EGU2018-1610
The influence of tropical cyclones targeted singular vectors on ensemble forecasts
Zhenhua Huo, Jing Chen, Yongzhu Liu, and Xiaoli Li
Coffee break
15:30–15:45
EGU2018-7359
Extreme precipitation events over Northern Italy and their link with the large-scale dynamics
Federico Grazzini, George Craig, Volkmar Wirth, Gabriele Antolini, and Valentina Pavan
15:45–16:00
EGU2018-4985
Sensitivity of WRF forecasts of nocturnal convective system morphology evolution in weakly-forced environments to microphysical schemes and horizontal resolution.
William Gallus, Jonathan Thielen, and Brian Squitieri
16:00–16:15
EGU2018-11181
Spatio-temporal Characteristics of East Asian Subtropical Jet Perturbationsin Summer
Ronghua Jin, Yan Li, Qingrou Long, and Sijia Liu
16:15–16:30
EGU2018-2892
New developments in the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's thunderstorm prediction system - Calibrated Thunder
Harald Richter, Greg Collecutt, and Andrew Treloar
16:30–16:45
EGU2018-5872
Precipitation Forecast Experiments Using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model at Gray-Zone Resolutions
Ji-Young Han and Song-You Hong
16:45–17:00
EGU2018-2131
Assimilation Experiments for the Application of Dual-Radar Retrieval Wind Mosaics in Detailed Heavy Precipitation Forecast Produced by Landfall Typhoon “Meranti” (1614)
Yehong Wang, Yuchun Zhao, Changrong Luo, and Songyu Han