Orals AS1.2
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AS1.2 Forecasting the weather |
| Convener: Yong Wang | Co-Conveners: Jing Chen , Estelle de Coning , Ken Mylne , David Richardson , Kathrin Wapler , Yuejian Zhu |
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Monday, 9 April 2018 Room E2 Chairperson: Estelle De Coning |
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| 08:30–08:45 |
EGU2018-7962
Seamless probabilistic analysis and forecasting: from minutes to days ahead Highlight Alexander Kann, Yong Wang, Aitor Atencia, Nauman Awan, Markus Dabernig, Josef Kemetmüller, Florian Meier, Irene Schicker, Lukas Tüchler, Clemens Wastl, and Christoph Wittmann |
| 08:45–09:00 |
EGU2018-6361
Nowcasting orographic precipitation growth and decay using machine learning algorithms on a 10-year radar archive in the Swiss Alps Loris Foresti, Ioannis V. Sideris, Luca Panziera, Lea Beusch, Daniele Nerini, and Urs Germann |
| 09:00–09:15 |
EGU2018-8856
Ensemble nowcasting from INCA and AROME-EPS Aitor Atencia, Alexander Kann, Yong Wang, and Clemens Wastl |
| 09:15–09:30 |
EGU2018-10716
Weather Perceptualized Steve Albers, Zoltan Toth, and Daniel Nietfeld |
| 09:30–09:45 |
EGU2018-8160
Development of a limited area NWP model based nowcasting version for Austria Florian Meier, Yong Wang, Christoph Wittmann, Xingsheng Xu, Mirela Pietrisi, and Lukas Tüchler |
| 09:45–10:00 |
EGU2018-16337
Configuration of sub-km Harmonie-nowcasting ensemble Xiaohua Yang |
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Coffee break
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| 10:30–10:45 |
EGU2018-8646
| presentation
Improving forecasts through rapid updating of temperature trajectories and statistical post-processing Nina Schuhen, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, and Alex Lenkoski |
| 10:45–11:00 |
EGU2018-16112
| presentation
Using Model Output Statistics for Aerodrome Weather Forecasts Sebastian Trepte, Michael Eckert, and Günter Mahringer |
| 11:00–11:15 |
EGU2018-13223
Highly resolved spatial temperature and precipitation calibrations of ensemble forecasts for Austria with standardized anomalies Irene Schicker, Moritz Lang, Markus Dabernig, Alexander Kann, and Yong Wang |
| 11:15–11:30 |
EGU2018-15374
Are precipitation amounts and threshold probabilities based on calibrated point forecasts (withdrawn) Reinhold Hess, Björn Kriesche, Peter Schaumann, Bernhard K. Reichert, and Volker Schmidt |
| 11:30–11:45 |
EGU2018-2932
Comparison of integrated bias correction to ensemble forecast of precipitation in Southeast China Linna Zhao, Ruiwen Yang, Yuanfa Gong, Xiaomeng Li, and Yue Cao |
| 11:45–12:00 |
EGU2018-9189
Downscaling precipitation data over the UK Rachel Prudden |
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Lunch break
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| 13:30–13:45 |
EGU2018-9610
NOAA's Strategic Plans for operational environmental modeling Highlight Hendrik Tolman and Ivanka Stajner |
| 13:45–14:00 |
EGU2018-8619
Predictability of thunderstorm events with a convection-permitting ensemble (withdrawn) Chiara Marsigli, Andrea Montani, Tiziana Paccagnella, Davide Cesari, and Maria Stefania Tesini |
| 14:00–14:15 |
EGU2018-1966
Physical process based stochastic perturbation of model tendencies Clemens Wastl, Yong Wang, and Christoph Wittmann |
| 14:15–14:30 |
EGU2018-3793
Ensemble Forecasting and Verification of Extreme Temperature Events in China Li Gao and Jing Chen |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EGU2018-1748
Predictability of Wind Gusts during Winter Storms in Central Europe using convection-permitting ensemble forecasts Florian Pantillon, Sebastian Lerch, Peter Knippertz, and Ulrich Corsmeier |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EGU2018-1610
The influence of tropical cyclones targeted singular vectors on ensemble forecasts Zhenhua Huo, Jing Chen, Yongzhu Liu, and Xiaoli Li |
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Coffee break
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| 15:30–15:45 |
EGU2018-7359
Extreme precipitation events over Northern Italy and their link with the large-scale dynamics Federico Grazzini, George Craig, Volkmar Wirth, Gabriele Antolini, and Valentina Pavan |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EGU2018-4985
Sensitivity of WRF forecasts of nocturnal convective system morphology evolution in weakly-forced environments to microphysical schemes and horizontal resolution. William Gallus, Jonathan Thielen, and Brian Squitieri |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EGU2018-11181
Spatio-temporal Characteristics of East Asian Subtropical Jet Perturbationsin Summer Ronghua Jin, Yan Li, Qingrou Long, and Sijia Liu |
| 16:15–16:30 |
EGU2018-2892
New developments in the Australian Bureau of Meteorology's thunderstorm prediction system - Calibrated Thunder Harald Richter, Greg Collecutt, and Andrew Treloar |
| 16:30–16:45 |
EGU2018-5872
Precipitation Forecast Experiments Using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model at Gray-Zone Resolutions Ji-Young Han and Song-You Hong |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EGU2018-2131
Assimilation Experiments for the Application of Dual-Radar Retrieval Wind Mosaics in Detailed Heavy Precipitation Forecast Produced by Landfall Typhoon “Meranti” (1614) Yehong Wang, Yuchun Zhao, Changrong Luo, and Songyu Han |