Orals CL2.03
|
CL2.03 Detecting and attributing climate change: trends, extreme events, and impacts |
| Convener: Pardeep Pall | Co-Conveners: Alexis Hannart , Seung-Ki Min , Aurélien Ribes |
|
Monday, 9 April 2018 Room F2 Chairperson: Pardeep Pall & Alexis Hannart |
|
|
Block I: 'trend detection' type presentations
|
|
| 13:30–13:45 |
EGU2018-19067
Has there ever been good evidence for a "global warming hiatus"? Stefan Rahmstorf, Stephan Lewandowski, James Risbey, Kevin Cowtan, Naomi Oreskes, Ari Jokimäki, and Grant Foster |
| 13:45–14:00 |
EGU2018-6007
Increasing trends in weather-timescale disturbances due to tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling Pei-Chun Hsu, Huang-Hsiung Hsu, and Yu-Lun Chen |
| 14:00–14:15 |
EGU2018-17970
Increase of observed record-wet and record-dry months significantly exceeds expectations from a stationary climate Jascha Lehmann, Finn Mempel, and Dim Coumou |
| 14:15–14:30 |
EGU2018-8931
Climate change in West Africa: a time-of-emergence approach Marco Gaetani, Adjoua Moise Famien, Serge Janicot, Mathieu Vrac, and Benjamin Sultan |
| 14:30–14:45 |
EGU2018-5576
Human-induced vegetation shifts based on bioclimatic estimates Celine Bonfils, Thomas Phillips, and Benjamin Santer |
| 14:45–15:00 |
EGU2018-1117
Behind the veil of extreme event attribution Aglae Jezequel, Vivian Dépoues, Hélène Guillemot, Mélodie Trolliet, Jean-Paul Vanderlinden, and Pascal Yiou |
|
Coffee break
|
|
|
Block II: 'event attribution' type presentations (first presentation at end of Block I)
|
|
| 15:30–15:45 |
EGU2018-2541
Attribution of forced decadal climate change in coupled and uncoupled ocean-atmosphere model experiments Buwen Dong, Rowan Sutton, Len Shaffrey, and Nicholas Klingaman |
| 15:45–16:00 |
EGU2018-13739
Limitations of event attribution statements based on prescribed SST simulations Erich Fischer and Reto Knutti |
| 16:00–16:15 |
EGU2018-13705
Attributing 2015-2017 drought in Western Cape, South Africa Piotr Wolski, Chris Jack, Stefaan Conradie, Andrew Hall, Bruce Hewitson, and Mark New |
| 16:15–16:30 |
EGU2018-526
The role of anthropogenic forcing in extreme rainfall during early March 2014 in Christchurch, New Zealand Benjamin Nistor, Suzanne Rosier, James Renwick, David Frame, Mitchell Black, and Sarah Sparrow |
| 16:30–16:45 |
EGU2018-11632
WEATHER@HOME Mexico: First attribution study in Mexico Ruth Cerezo-Mota, Martín Guillén Cadena, Neil Massey, and Sarah Sparrow |
| 16:45–17:00 |
EGU2018-3545
Estimating the human influence on recent hurricanes Highlight Michael Wehner, Christina Patricola, and Mark Risser |