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Orals CL2.03

CL2.03

Detecting and attributing climate change: trends, extreme events, and impacts
Convener: Pardeep Pall 
Co-Conveners: Alexis Hannart , Seung-Ki Min , Aurélien Ribes 
Session details
Orals
 / Mon, 09 Apr, 13:30–17:00 / Room F2
Posters
 / Attendance Mon, 09 Apr, 17:30–19:00 / Hall X5
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Monday, 09 Apr 2018
Room F2
Chairperson: Pardeep Pall & Alexis Hannart
Block I: 'trend detection' type presentations

13:30–13:45
EGU2018-19067
Has there ever been good evidence for a "global warming hiatus"?
Stefan Rahmstorf, Stephan Lewandowski, James Risbey, Kevin Cowtan, Naomi Oreskes, Ari Jokimäki, and Grant Foster
13:45–14:00
EGU2018-6007
Increasing trends in weather-timescale disturbances due to tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling
Pei-Chun Hsu, Huang-Hsiung Hsu, and Yu-Lun Chen
14:00–14:15
EGU2018-17970
Increase of observed record-wet and record-dry months significantly exceeds expectations from a stationary climate
Jascha Lehmann, Finn Mempel, and Dim Coumou
14:15–14:30
EGU2018-8931
Climate change in West Africa: a time-of-emergence approach
Marco Gaetani, Adjoua Moise Famien, Serge Janicot, Mathieu Vrac, and Benjamin Sultan
14:30–14:45
EGU2018-5576
Human-induced vegetation shifts based on bioclimatic estimates
Celine Bonfils, Thomas Phillips, and Benjamin Santer
14:45–15:00
EGU2018-1117
Behind the veil of extreme event attribution
Aglae Jezequel, Vivian Dépoues, Hélène Guillemot, Mélodie Trolliet, Jean-Paul Vanderlinden, and Pascal Yiou
Coffee break
Chairperson: Pardeep Pall & Alexis Hannart
Block II: 'event attribution' type presentations (first presentation at end of Block I)

15:30–15:45
EGU2018-2541
Attribution of forced decadal climate change in coupled and uncoupled ocean-atmosphere model experiments
Buwen Dong, Rowan Sutton, Len Shaffrey, and Nicholas Klingaman
15:45–16:00
EGU2018-13739
Limitations of event attribution statements based on prescribed SST simulations
Erich Fischer and Reto Knutti
16:00–16:15
EGU2018-13705
Attributing 2015-2017 drought in Western Cape, South Africa
Piotr Wolski, Chris Jack, Stefaan Conradie, Andrew Hall, Bruce Hewitson, and Mark New
16:15–16:30
EGU2018-526
The role of anthropogenic forcing in extreme rainfall during early March 2014 in Christchurch, New Zealand
Benjamin Nistor, Suzanne Rosier, James Renwick, David Frame, Mitchell Black, and Sarah Sparrow
16:30–16:45
EGU2018-11632
WEATHER@HOME Mexico: First attribution study in Mexico
Ruth Cerezo-Mota, Martín Guillén Cadena, Neil Massey, and Sarah Sparrow
16:45–17:00
EGU2018-3545
Estimating the human influence on recent hurricanes | Highlight
Michael Wehner, Christina Patricola, and Mark Risser